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Woj Analyzes the New NBA Landscape

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theSTEREO.

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Smooth posted part of this in the Lebron thread, but it really has more significance than just the LBJ to Cleveland rumors (and that portion can obviously be discussed in the Lebron thread)

The bigger part is that this article shows how keenly this team is being built on the future of the league, and we may be in a better position than any other team when you combine our youth talent with an owner that won't be having a Grizzlies style fire sale for quite some time, if ever.

We always talk about how no Free Agents want to come to Cleveland, but its interesting how much better of a landing spot we might be than we ever have been before.

Read the whole article if you can.

Rudy Gay trade shows LeBron James the future: Super team era ending

NEW YORK – As a Western Conference contender disassembled out of frugality and panic on Wednesday, Miami Heat star LeBron James should've been recalibrating the realities of the free-agent frenzy awaiting him in 2014. For him, the economics of the sport keep reaffirming that three's a crowd now, that James will have to choose a partnership with one superstar teammate.

The Super Friends scenarios are gone, replaced with the NBA's vision of talent spreading out to the have-nots. James Harden leaves Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook for Houston. And months before it was necessary to do so, before the Memphis Grizzlies could make a run in the Western Conference playoffs, they moved Rudy Gay to Toronto and out of Zach Randolph's and Marc Gasol's lives.

James has helped to make it so profitable to be an NBA owner that Robert Pera bought the Grizzlies, hired a front office of novices, ran out a successful scouting staff and began to unload genuine assets for pennies on the dollar. Just recently, James tweeted, "What the hell we have lockout for?" upon learning of the $525 million selling price of the Sacramento Kings.

Why? Simple: The NBA's owners wanted to break up the super teams and create a system that'll assure Pera can mismanage the Grizzlies into oblivion and still make money on the enterprise. The max contract system makes James the most underpaid athlete on the planet, and soon it will do something else, too: It makes most precarious his future with the Miami Heat.

James' agent and childhood friend, Rich Paul, born and raised and still living in Cleveland, has been privately telling people for two years of his intrigue with bringing the prodigal son back as the conquering hero in Cleveland. James will ultimately make the call to return – just like he made it to leave – rest assured that the most important voices in his ear will be partial to Cleveland again.

Klutch Sports – Paul's new agency – calls Cleveland home. And its client, Tristan Thompson, would assuredly benefit with an eventual rich contract extension should Paul deliver James back to the Cavaliers.
"Riley has never given them the run of the place in Miami," one high-level associate of James' inner-circle said, "and they could all be back in business together in Cleveland. For Rich and [business manager] Maverick [Carter], they all see the benefits of getting the credit for bringing LeBron home again."

As significant as sentiment could play into the possibility of James returning to the Cavaliers, there's an understanding that as Dwyane Wade pushes into his 30s, past his prime, Cleveland's Kyrie Irving will emerge as the planet's preeminent point guard in two years.

Meanwhile, the Brooklyn Nets' Reggie Evans disputed the legitimacy of the Heat's shortened lockout-season championship on Wednesday morning, declaring James a comparable talent to the Nets' Joe Johnson. That didn't turn out too well for Brooklyn on Wednesday night. James marched into the Barclays Center and dismantled the Nets with 24 points, nine rebounds and seven assists in a 105-85 victory.
"No one knows what it takes until you've done it," James said. "He hasn't done it."

Indeed, James is a champion, and he could win two more titles before he has to make a choice on his opt-out in the summer of 2014.

Before trading Gay, Memphis had already moved under the tax threshold with a trade last week. It could've waited until the summer to move its star and made one more run in the Western Conference. But winning isn't a priority for Pera. Owners are virtually guaranteed profit in this changing economic setup, and small-market owners can play the NBA's corporate welfare game off the profits that the LeBron Jameses, Kobe Bryants and Chris Pauls produce for the sport.

These Grizzlies aren't the Lakers, and they don't get a lot of chances at making a deep playoff run. They could've hung in there for this season, but instead bailed on it. Across the NBA, front offices were incredulous with the way that Memphis unloaded Marreese Speights, Wayne Ellington and Josh Selby, along with a future first-round pick, in a salary dump to Cleveland last week.

Several league executives insisted Memphis could've waited until closer to the deadline, traded the parts individually and, minimally, received returns on Speights and Ellington.

"Beyond a panic move," one Eastern Conference GM said. "Cleveland would always be there with that deal."

To return to the Cavaliers, James has to believe that general manager Chris Grant can construct a champion around him. Irving is fabulous, but that wouldn't be enough. As much as anything, that's the biggest thing that Heat will have going for them. In the end, Riley and Miami owner Micky Arison will make it hard to walk away, because there will forever be a commitment, a competency, in South Beach. How long Riley will stay on the job is a different matter, and that uncertainty will play a part, too.

James has been thinking about a return to Cleveland for most of his time with the Heat, including the night of his cable TV special. He had second-guessed himself that night, but once Cleveland owner Dan Gilbert released that vitriolic letter, James understood: There was no turning back.

Rich Paul has stayed back in Cleveland to run his business and now represents Thompson, the Cavaliers' young forward. As Yahoo! Sports reported last February, James' associates had been feeling out members of the Cavaliers organization on a possible return in 2014.

For now, though, James understands that he'll get two more chances at a championship with Wade and Bosh, and that's precious in this evolving NBA landscape. These Heat aren't perfect, but they're well-constructed, well-coached, and there are never mixed messages from their ownership and management. It's all about winning, all the time.

Whatever James does in 2014, he'll make a decision with the highest of basketball IQs on what will work and what won't. Once again, the breaking down of this Grizzlies roster is a reminder that every NBA star had better make sure he understands the track records of the owners and executives with whom he's turning over his future.

The Grizzlies issued a statement on the trade late Wednesday, and embarrassingly had "general manager Chris Wallace" throw out the obligatory organizational quotes on the deal. Only, Wallace had nothing to do with the trade. Nothing. He isn't making calls to teams. He isn't consulted by the new regime. He's waiting until they agree on the terms of his inevitable parting. So, Pera and new CEO Jason Levien take an unpopular trade and assign it to Wallace in the news release.

Levien is making these deals based largely on the recommendations of John Hollinger, a statistician who worked for a cable sports company. The San Antonio Spurs once used him as a consultant and regretfully took his advice to sign a free agent named Jackie Butler. It was such a disaster, the Spurs had to attach Luis Scola to a trade to get Butler out of town.

This wasn't the '86 Celtics broken up in Memphis today, but, still, a contender became something far less over the past week. All of this didn't need to happen so fast. Between an owner guaranteed to make a profit and a front office guaranteed to believe it's smarter than everyone else, the Western Conference has one less contender to come chasing the defending champion Heat in the NBA Finals.

The Super Friends NBA is going, going and will soon be gone, and James will be left to choose one partner in 2014. Three's a crowd in the new NBA, and that'll be an immense part of James' decision about returning home and making everything right again.

Pera bought into a great time in the NBA, where the genius talents of the sport's biggest stars can fund his revenue-sharing checks in Memphis. Why did they have a lockout? Well, LeBron, this is why: Two stars per team and guaranteed profits for the owners. Make no mistake, James has everything to do with those transformations of the modern NBA.

For now, it won't be long until James makes a choice in 2014 that will leave him with far fewer assurances on his future than arriving in Miami did in 2010. Whatever LeBron James does, wherever he goes, just understand he makes it easy for the freeloading Robert Peras of the NBA.
 
I think what Woj is missing is that the Griz managment doesn't necessarily see these moves as purely cost cutting. Hollinger has to be telling the Griz management that these moves 1) could possibly help short term and 2) open up their salary structure a bit so that they are not "on a collision course with suck" like they were a few weeks ago when their salary cap picture looked bleak.

The people that really hate moves like this are the agents and their clients that are looking for an undeserved payday. The sports writers whose sources are agents are going to be ripping these trades.
 
I think what Woj is missing is that the Griz managment doesn't necessarily see these moves as purely cost cutting. Hollinger has to be telling the Griz management that these moves 1) could possibly help short term and 2) open up their salary structure a bit so that they are not "on a collision course with suck" like they were a few weeks ago when their salary cap picture looked bleak.

The people that really hate moves like this are the agents and their clients that are looking for an undeserved payday. The sports writers whose sources are agents are going to be ripping these trades.

True, but the undercurrent is definitely there. The axe is gonna come down on a lot of the super teams and will prevent a lot from getting started.
 
Woj also doesn't seem to be accounting for the fact that Rudy Gay has been absolutely terrible this year. He was putting up a PER of less than fifteen and making 18 million dollars for his trouble. If Rudy Gay had been playing how he's played in past years, maybe Woj would have had a better argument, but to me it seems like the Grizzlies shed a cancerous contract and got a little better in the process.

That said, I do think they could have gotten a better deal for Calderon, who is a pretty good point guard. Ironically, he had the highest PER in the entire deal and was an expiring contract, yet the Grizzlies offloaded him for two replacement level guys (Prince and Daye), with Prince being on a bad deal.
 
I think Toronto came out worst in the deal. What is Woj trying to imply by writing about Gilbert's letter again? Reading W&G's post in the Lebron thread there seems to be some stuff that has still not come out.
 
I think Toronto came out worst in the deal. What is Woj trying to imply by writing about Gilbert's letter again? Reading W&G's post in the Lebron thread there seems to be some stuff that has still not come out.

I think what he was trying to imply was pretty clear. That after the Decision show, Lebron was already thinking about reconsidering, but Dan's angry letter kinda made that impossible.

Also I don't think that W&G's post was all that cryptic either. Basically that Lebron and his team have interest in coming back, but Dan's not just gonna hug him on the road like the prodigal son. I imagine there'd have to be some face to face repair before a discussion even took place, and that face to face can't happen until he's a free agent.
 
Woj also missed the part about Memphis getting crappy offers for Gay as long as everyone knew they had to get under the luxury tax, albeit the offer they settled on apparently didn't even include a pick, so I can't imagine they did much better.

From what I've read, a big reason Gay wasn't playing well in Memphis is because he's a guy who operates in the paint, and there's no room left in the paint when your front line consists of Gasol & Randolph. Toronto, otoh, is fond of bigs who can shoot ... and now Memphis has a SF who can be effective out on the perimeter.

On paper, the trade could work out well for both teams - all while Memphis achieves their goal of reducing their cap space to a manageable level.

In the "New NBA Landscape" you're foolish to try to sustain a faux-big-3, and a true-big-3 is going to be something reserved for luxury tax payers.
 
I think Toronto came out worst in the deal. What is Woj trying to imply by writing about Gilbert's letter again? Reading W&G's post in the Lebron thread there seems to be some stuff that has still not come out.

Wanna repost his comment here? I cannot seem to find it.
 
It's going to make for a much more fun, balanced, and enjoyable NBA too.

Competitive teams all around.
 
This is front-page news on Yahoo. My goodness. The hype machine is ramping up.
 
there are never mixed messages from their ownership and management. It's all about winning, all the time.

Is the media so in love with the HEAT, that they forgot Pat Riley publicly told Dwayne Wade, in the season before he was free agent, he wasn't spending money on a borderline playoff team?
 
This is my favorite part of the article

Levien is making these deals based largely on the recommendations of John Hollinger, a statistician who worked for a cable sports company.

No mention of ESPN. I love it.
 
Shorter version of this article is that Dan Gilbert won. He and other smaller market owners killed the super teams. And Gilbert might even have that result in LeBron returning to Cleveland. Game, blouses.
 
I don't really get the point of this article. All it is really doing is bashing Memphis for slashing salary and then saying Lebron could return to Cleveland.

What is the new NBA landscape?...The Lakers and Nets "super teams" were created after the lockout. The Grizz just have an owner like the Indians who wants to turn in a profit. Forget about winning.
 
Shorter version of this article is that Dan Gilbert won. He and other smaller market owners killed the super teams. And Gilbert might even have that result in LeBron returning to Cleveland. Game, blouses.

they also killed small market teams like OKC (and Memphis) who drafted all of their young talent and had to trade one of their core players for financial reasons. just wait till our young players will be ready to get paid...in 2-3 years you'll hate those same rules (assuming the Cavs continue to draft well)
 
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