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Game 64 3/6/15: Cleveland at Atlanta

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UncleDrew

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Game 64 3/6/15: Cleveland at Atlanta

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Cleveland Cavaliers
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(39-24) 2nd in the Central
vs.
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Atlanta Hawks
(48-12) 1st in the Southeast

Date: Friday; March 6th, 2015
Where: Philips Arena
Time: 7:30 pm [EST]

Coaches

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David Blatt

Vs.
Mike Budenholzer
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The Crew
Point Guard: Kyrie Irving
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Shooting Guard: J.R. Smith
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Small Forward: LeBron James
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Power Forward: Kevin Love
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Center: Timofey Mozgov
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Vs.

Their Crew
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Point Guard: Thabo Sefelosha

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Shooting Guard: Kyle Corver

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Small Forward: DeMarre Carroll

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Power Forward: Paul Millsap

Center: Al Horford
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The Help
Matthew Dellavedova
Tristan Thompson
Kendrick Perkins
Mike Miller
Iman Shumpert

Their bench
Dennis Schroder
John Jenkins
Kent Bazemore
Mike Scott
Pero Antic

Injured
Anderson Varejao, Center
 
James Jones, Brendan Haywood, Joe Harris, Shawn Marion.
 
wheres james johnson?
 
Well, gents. Kyrie and Kevin are our worst defenders; and acquiring Timofey/Iman/J.R. as defensive pieces wasn't all it was cracked up to be and has done nothing for our team defense..

Boy, if Atlanta thinks like it's fans, they've got some surprises in store.
 
We need to beat Atlanta up. I loved our physicality against Houston despite the loss. The most physical team usually wins and this is the last time we're going to see Atlanta until mid-late May. It's very important that we make them feel us.
 
More than half of the crowd will be in Cavs jerseys. But anyways, this could be another statement win, they proved me right and played one hell of a complete game against Golden State, do it again here to let that seed sprout in the minds of the Hawks that no matter if they have homecourt, Cleveland can and will beat you in Atlanta in a series.
 
Anyone surprised that just about every book has us as a 1 to a 1.5 favorite at Atlanta?

On another note, Atlanta's Pythagorean win total (predicted win total based on ORg and DRtg) is 42 meaning that this team would be about 42-18 if we "simulated" this season thousands of times. They've won a lot of close games. A difference of six games between a team's actual record and predicted a Pythagorean record is rather rare and perhaps suggests that the Hawks might be coming down to Earth even further. Our Pythagorean record is 40-23.

On a related note, Minnesota's Pythagorean win total last year was 48 (they won 40), a difference of 8 between the actual and the predicted, maybe the biggest difference on record. Minnesota was historically bad in close games, losing nearly all of them, but wound up blowing out many teams which gave them a rather hefty 3.10 SRS while playing in the West which is really good. They just choked just about every close game played.
 
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As of 10 hours ago the Hawks official Twitter account was clammoring for fans to buy the remaining tickets as it hadn't yet sold out.

Pathetic.
 
Well once again..my prediction for this game...

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