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Projecting the Cavs in 2014-15

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Top of the List
Top Offensive Player: Most teams have one, perhaps two dominant scorers that are responsible for carrying their teams offensively on any given night, but the new Cleveland Cavaliers are a completely different animal altogether. Obviously LeBron James, who finished third in the league in scoring last year, is one of the most versatile and efficient scorers in the NBA, having scored 27.1 PPG last year on a blazing .567 field goal percentage, comfortably the highest of any player among the top 25 scorers last season. But Kevin Love finished fourth in the league in PPG last year with 26.1 PPG, and Kyrie Irving finished 14th at 20.8 PPG. Obviously all three of those guys won’t post numbers quite that high since they’ll be splitting the load, but that’s as many as 74 points a night from just three players. These three guys will be the most potent scoring trio the league has seen in quite some time.

Top Defensive Player: Back in 2013, when LeBron James was narrowly edged out by Marc Gasol for Defensive Player of the Year, he really wasn’t happy about it, lambasting the vote and making a strong point that he had been robbed. “I mean, I guard everybody on the floor,” he said back in April of 2013. “I don’t know if there’s one player NBA history who’s guarded one through five (positions).” Of course, James also didn’t make the All-Defensive First Team last year for the first time since 2008, and his defensive statistics did drop a bit. However, he’s still a tenacious defender that really can guard anybody on the floor, and that’s something he’ll need to be even better at this year considering the defensive deficiencies of his high-profile teammates.

Top Playmaker: If you watched the All-Star game last winter, you know that Kyrie Irving can do pretty much anything he wants to with a basketball in his hand, and with the additions of James and Love this season, the floor should be more spaced out than ever before, allowing Irving to do his thing and cut through traffic at will. LeBron can handle the ball, too, but in the last four years in Miami he never came close to playing with a point guard this good. Irving being as creative as he is with the ball takes a lot of pressure off of James to do all those other things that make him the most gifted all-around basketball player alive.

Top Clutch Player: According to Michael Beuoy’s Win Probability Added metric, LeBron James put up an effective field goal percentage of 72.6 percent in clutch situations in last year’s playoffs, obviously better than any other player in the league. He has long since put away any questions about his ability to score big baskets when it matters, and when games matter this year in Cleveland, it will be LeBron who decides what to do with the ball.

The Unheralded Player: When James put out his “I’m Coming Home” letter in Sports Illustrated, he specifically mentioned Anderson Varejao, the only player remaining from his previous stint with the Cavaliers, and actually Varejao should be a pretty good fit alongside the current batch of superstars heading to Ohio. He’s an apt scorer but doesn’t need the ball, and he certainly is big enough and tough enough to clean up the boards when his high-volume shooting teammates are having bad nights. He is coming off a foot injury that cost him the bulk of last season, but once he’s healthy (and if he stays that way), he’s going to be a big help for Cleveland. He’d better be, at least, as the Cavs don’t have much behind him at the center position.

Best New Addition: It’s not every offseason that a team acquires two of the league’s top-ten players in a single summer, but James and Love, for the myriad reasons outlined above, have made this team a title contender just by showing up.

– Joel Brigham

Who We Like
1. David Blatt: With all the hubbub surrounding LeBron James and Kevin Love this summer, the signing of new head coach David Blatt really hasn’t received the attention it deserves. A championship head coach at essentially every level short of the NBA, Blatt is a really brilliant guy and would have been a terrific find for the Cavaliers even if James and Love hadn’t have ended up in Ohio. While he’s new to the NBA head coaching ranks and a lot of the players on this team haven’t played together yet, the kinks will eventually work themselves out, and by year’s end we may be talking about Blatt the same way we did Tom Thibodeau after his first full year coaching the Chicago Bulls.

2. Shawn Marion: All offseason, one of the biggest questions about the Cavaliers has been how they’ll fare defensively, but the addition of Marion—still a strong defender even at 36 years old—should help keep opposing second units from running rampant over Cleveland’s middling bench. He was a great bargain for them in free agency and should fit in nicely with this star-studded lineup.

3. Tristan Thompson: As a sure-fire reserve this year, the pressure is off of Thompson, who now can just focus on using his athleticism to grab rebounds and hit easy shots around the rim. While it’s possible he’ll be traded at some point this season, the reality is that this former No. 4 overall pick never has quite lived up to his draft spot, but he should fill a nice role on the second unit this season.

4. Mike Miller: This team is going to shoot the lights out from deep, in part because of Miller. Having both him and James Jones aboard provides some measure of continuity for James, who is very familiar with both having played with them at various times over the course of the last four years, but it also puts guys in that locker room who understand what it means to make the NBA Finals and win a championship ring. Irving and Love have never even played an NBA playoff game. Having that veteran experience in the locker room could go a long way, and the fact that Miller can shoot the way he does is definitely an added bonus.

5. LeBron James: He’s the most physically gifted player alive, and he’s made the decision to go back home. There isn’t a single thing not to love about that.

– Joel Brigham
 
Strengths
Obviously, the Cavaliers are going to score a ton of points, as spelled out in glorious detail above, and with so many strong shooters they’ll probably be among the league leaders in three-pointers attempted next season. To call offense a strength for these guys actually feels like underselling it, and that combined with the star power in the starting lineup will be enough to intimidate a lot of NBA teams. It worked for the Miami HEAT the last four years, so there’s no reason that a better, deeper Cavaliers team shouldn’t also get some wins through intimidation alone.

– Joel Brigham

Weaknesses
While James is a perennial guest of honor at the All-Defensive Team voting party, and role players like Anderson Varejao and Shawn Marion both have earned reputations as solid defenders, the reality is that this could be a rough year for Cleveland defensively, thanks in large part to Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love, two guys that will be on the floor a lot yet often fail to properly defend people. Love simply cannot protect the rim, and last season, Tristan Thompson was even worse. This team is mostly comprised of players that haven’t historically put much effort into the defensive end of the basketball court, and that, if anything, could be Cleveland’s undoing.

– Joel Brigham

The Salary Cap
The Cavaliers have certainly transformed from an Eastern Conference also ran to a potential NBA Finals contender. The team dropped under the salary cap to sign All-Star LeBron James. The team also acquired Kevin Love via trade and made Kyrie Irving their designated player, inking the point guard to a five-year extension (player option on the final year). Cleveland used their Room Exception on Mike Miller. Anderson Varejao’s $9.7 million deal is only $4 million guaranteed, but the team is committed to keeping the veteran. That leaves two spots for the team’s four non/partially-guaranteed players (John Lucas, Malcolm Thomas, Erik Murphy and Alex Kirk).

– Eric Pincus

Dunc’d On
The normal MO in these previews has been to examine the team’s 2013-14 performance and attempt to determine what might be better or worse the next year. For the Cavs, this is of course a useless exercise. With the additions of LeBron James and Kevin Love alongside Kyrie Irving, Cleveland has the talent to be one of the best offenses of all-time.

Perhaps a more interesting exercise is trying to figure out how to stop this team. Pick and pops involving with Love as the screener for James or Irving should be a staple of this offense, although coach David Blatt will no doubt have some inventive sets that will get the ball moving side-to-side as well. I think the best option for all but the best defensive teams will be to switch a lot of actions and force Cleveland to score one-on-one while helping off Anderson Varejao, Tristan Thompson, or Shawn Marion. While the Cavs certainly have the talent to score individually, they will be at their toughest when moving the ball and scoring off an advantage created on the other side of the court. I think we will especially see a lot of switches off Love, inviting the Cavs to waste time moving him from the perimeter to the post and then engaging in a deliberate postup. Love is certainly capable on the block, but he has never been amazingly efficient down there. However, Cleveland could also become one of the rare great offenses in recent years to feature great offensive rebounding with Varejao, Thompson, and of course Love. Too much switching could open up the offensive glass with a guard trying to box out someone like Love. Nonetheless, I think a lot of coaches will pick their poison with that instead of getting beat by threes created by conventional help schemes.

Everyone knows the Cavs’ weakness right now will be defense, as only James and Anderson Varejao among the starters is a plus defender, and the latter will likely be limited to around 25 minutes per night during the regular year. It remains to be seen how much James has left in the tank defensively, as he was unable to assert his will on that end last year in Miami and he is reaching the point where his otherworldly energy and athleticism has begun to decline. Thus, it will fall to Blatt to install solid schemes and obtain greater effort from the young players on the roster to offset the lack of a shot-blocker on the back line. Cleveland’s championship hopes will likely depend on it.

Best Case

68-14

The offense is as good as everyone expects, and then some, combining a historically unmatched combination of spacing, dribble drives, postups, and offensive rebounding. James has a bounce-back year defensively, while players like Irving, Dion Waiters, and Love are more engaged playing for a contender. Varejao stays healthy all year, and the Cavs make a trade mid-season (perhaps using the protected first-rounder they own from Memphis) for another rim-protector on the backline. They cruise to the number one seed.

Worst Case

54-28

Cleveland ends up with the same record as Miami a year ago. This Cavs team, on the surface, would appear to be more talented. But that Miami team was probably a better defensive squad on paper with the presence of Chris Bosh, a year-younger Lebron, and an effective scheme the players had been running for years. Bosh also could play center defensively, creating a true five-out style that Cleveland will likely be loathe to play with Love at center due to his athletic limitations. The Cavs end up third in offense.

Under this scenario, Varejao can’t stay healthy, James plays only about 34 minutes per game, and Irving misses time with his yearly injury. Blatt cannot get the young guys to improve their effort and recognition, while veterans like Marion and Mike Miller fall off a cliff. The Cavs fail to add another big man, and are only slightly above league-average defensively.

– Nate Duncan

The Burning Question
Does the lack of playoff experience for Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving really matter?

Depending on who one talks to, the Cavaliers are either set to be the best team in the Eastern Conference or the second-best team in the Eastern Conference. Those choosing Chicago over Cleveland site continuity and defense and, perhaps most importantly, several shared playoff experiences by the team’s core players. The Cavaliers, obviously, have none of those things, but citing a lack of playoff experience as the reason why they’ll fall short of the Finals is pretty silly considering both have been playing in high-profile games their whole careers. Both went to huge colleges with respected hoops programs, and both have international experience that have put them against tough competition on a pretty huge stage. The Bulls may ultimately be the better team, but it won’t be because of Cleveland’s lack of postseason experience.

– Joel Brigham
 
Interesting that Waiters only has one mention throughout that entire piece.
 
Ric Bucher has cavs finishing 4th in the east. Thats right. 4th. Behind the 1. bulls 2. wizards 3. toronto

Heres the link if you want to watch it. I wish I hadnt given him the page hits but what ever.

He doesnt give much reason other than defense. I was expecting 2 because the bulls are getting so much hype. But 4? come on. When was the last time a team that had lebron finished 4th in the weak east?
 
Bucher trashes everything about cleveland every chance he gets. He's still saying kevin love is going to leave next year once he experiences a year living in cleveland. I seriously hope that guy has some kind of horrible accident or gets some kind of disease. He's a peice of shit
 
Ric Bucher has cavs finishing 4th in the east. Thats right. 4th. Behind the 1. bulls 2. wizards 3. toronto

Heres the link if you want to watch it. I wish I hadnt given him the page hits but what ever.

He doesnt give much reason other than defense. I was expecting 2 because the bulls are getting so much hype. But 4? come on. When was the last time a team that had lebron finished 4th in the weak east?

:laugh:
 
Bucher trashes everything about cleveland every chance he gets. He's still saying kevin love is going to leave next year once he experiences a year living in cleveland. I seriously hope that guy has some kind of horrible accident or gets some kind of disease. He's a peice of shit

Funny thing is the guy is from Ohio...
 
Funny thing is the guy is from Ohio...
I know! When he was talking about why he 'knows' kyrie is leaving, one of the things he said was "I'm from ohio, I know how dreadful cleveland is, nobody wants to live in cleveland people want to get out of there" something along those lines. God I want to cause severe pain to this man. What a fucking prick
 
Howard Beck's prediction is more realistic. Bucher is talking shit maan Cavs will definitely be in the top 2. He also quiestions our DEPTH!!! Whaaat??? Even we put Dion in the starting 5 Bench is: Miller, Marion, TT, Delly, Haywood, Jones. Bench is waaaay better than he think.
Atlanta at 9 and Indiana at 8 is shit too. Indy goes down w/o Lance and PG. Not be in the playoffs. And Atlanta was an 8th seed w/o Horford and they added Sefolosha as 3 and D guy. I would have put them at top 5.
 
Ric Bucher has cavs finishing 4th in the east. Thats right. 4th. Behind the 1. bulls 2. wizards 3. toronto

Heres the link if you want to watch it. I wish I hadnt given him the page hits but what ever.

He doesnt give much reason other than defense. I was expecting 2 because the bulls are getting so much hype. But 4? come on. When was the last time a team that had lebron finished 4th in the weak east?

Anybody who isn't the absolute most casual (read: just started following yesterday) fan of the NBA knows that Bucher is a joke. What little credibility he had went straight out the window when he was duped into reporting that Kyle Lowry was headed to the Heat in a sign and trade over the summer. He's so bad that ESPN doesn't even want him anymore.
 
I'm saying 60 wins.
Also, I'd say LeBron plays around 30 mpg, not 35. Keeping his minutes relatively down is one of the major goals of the regular season.
We might even see a situation where on average :gulp: either Kyrie or Love or :double::gulp: BOTH score more than LeBron. Come playoffs, though - it will be LeBron's team.
 
Howard Beck's prediction is more realistic. Bucher is talking shit maan Cavs will definitely be in the top 2. He also quiestions our DEPTH!!! Whaaat??? Even we put Dion in the starting 5 Bench is: Miller, Marion, TT, Delly, Haywood, Jones. Bench is waaaay better than he think.
Atlanta at 9 and Indiana at 8 is shit too. Indy goes down w/o Lance and PG. Not be in the playoffs. And Atlanta was an 8th seed w/o Horford and they added Sefolosha as 3 and D guy. I would have put them at top 5.

Marion, Miller, TT, Delly is one of the best benches in the NBA.
 

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