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What factor(s) define winning in the NBA? For Dean Oliver, one of the forefathers of analytics in the NBA, it comes down to four factors: 40% - Shooting efficiency measured by effective field goal percentage (eFG%). Formula: (FGM + 0.5 x 3PM) / FGA. This accounts for 3PMs being worth more than 2PMs. 25% - Turnovers measured by turnover rate (TOV%). Formula: TOV / (FGA x 0.44 x FTA + TOV). This evaluates how many possessions end in a turnover. 20% - Offensive rebounding measured by...

Deadlines inspire action. The 2026 offseason was set to be the pivot point -- Donovan Mitchell’s player option would be a year away; Jarrett Allen’s three-year extension would kick in and his salary would jump to $28M; Darius Garland would be extension eligible; it might have been the first year in the 2nd Apron which starts the draft pick penalty clock; and the Cavs would be coming off a fourth playoff run with the core four confirming its stature as boom or bust. From there, the Cavs and...

THE Trade THE Financials There are a talent component and a financial component, and both are drivers for this deal. The apron era has forced teams to be quicker in their decision making in that they literally, and figuratively, cannot afford to wait around. Teams can spend time, and money, in the apron era when play and production permit. But when play and production don’t align with the finances, apron penalties and restrictions have forced teams to be more critical what and on...

As each Cavalier contract is up the question always is: What are they worth? RealCavsFans has developed a methodology over the years to project contracts based on comparable players and their deals on the open market. Next up: Dean Wade. Previous Years Evaluating a new Caris LeVert contract Evaluating a new Ty Jerome contract Evaluating a new Sam Merrill contract Evaluating a new Isaac Okoro contract In President of Basketball Operations Koby Altman’s end-of-year press conference...

Deadline day is approaching. February 5 at 3PM(ET) is when pens and pencils have to be down and teams can no longer make transactions with one another. The buyout market will be open but the trade market will be closed. Since the core four was formed, President of Basketball Operations Koby Altman has gone through three trade deadlines. He's made just one deadline trade over that time period -- the De'Andre Hunter move last deadline. Prior to the core four, Altman had made a trade by the...

RCF Mourns Its Beloved Founder

Welcome to the NBA offseason, home of the Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) and Aprons. The offseason will be defined by what the Cavaliers can and can’t do all thanks to the CBA. NBA reporter Shams Charania recently said the offseason could be the “craziest ever.” Along with that may come the most complicated offseason ever. The Cavs are entering a new era of cap management as they are set to enter the NBA’s 2nd Apron – a spending threshold with the most restrictive roster building...

The Guide To Sustained Success