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Oh absolutely they could make the playoffs, and they likely will, to get swept in the first round. I'm just saying that they have to have a lot go right for them in order to do so. Wade has to be able to play at a high level for more games than he did last year, Bosh has to return to old form (or rather young form), and Loul has to be healthy, just for them to make the playoffs.
Neither of those three guys are singularly able to lead a team to the playoffs, if one of them gets hurt for a significant amount of time they won't make the playoffs, and Minni will he getting a top 14 pick.
Bosh's decline was much, much more about him being the third wheel with LeBron in town. Now, he is going to be the first option, and I fully expect him to put up his best numbers since he joined the Heat.
Couldn't you say that any team has to stay healthy just to advance to the playoffs? I figured that went without saying.