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Brad Daugherty Fan Club
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Conference Championship games...SECNARIOS!
ACC - Clemson has already clinched the Atlantic.
The Coastal is down to 3 teams. Pitt, Virginia and Virginia tech all have 2 losses (Virginia has played one more conference game, so they play Liberty this week). Pitt plays Virginia Tech this week, then next week Virginia and Virginia Tech play while Pitt plays BC.
If Virginia Tech beats Pitt, next weeks Virginia-Virginia Tech game is a winner take all.
If Pitt wins, it would create a tie with Pitt and Virginia. Virgina has the tie-breaker, so Pitt would need Virginia Tech to beat Virginia for Pitt to win.
Virginia and Virginia Tech - control their own destiny
Pitt - needs to win out and have Virginia Tech beat Virginia.
AAC - Cincinnati leads the East by 2 game with 2 to play. They can clinch either by beating Temple this week or Memphis next week. However, if they lose both games, it creates possible ties with Temple or UCF or both. They'd win the tiebreaker over UCF, loses it to Temple, and I believe UCF or Cincy wins a 3 way tie (but don't feel like explaining it).
Cincy - Controls their own destiny.
UCF/Temple - Must win out, have Cincy lose out, then hope the tiebreakers favor you.
The west currently has a 3 team tie with Navy, SMU and Memphis. Navy and SMU both play this week, and Memphis has the tiebreaker over both. Lose of SMU-Navy is automatically eliminated. Winner can win the West is Memphis loses to USF or Cincy.
Memphis - Controls destiny
SMU-Navy - Win out and have Memphis lose a game
B1G - If you're reading this, you probably know that Ohio State-PSU is the defacto B1G East championship game. Technically, OSU can lose to PSU if PSU loses to Rutgers, but lol no.
OSU/PSU - Control destiny
In the West, it seems straightforward - winner of Wisconsin/Minnesota wins the west. Except under this scenario:
Wisconsin loses to Purdue and Minnesota loses to Northwestern this week. Next week, Wisconsin beats Minnesota. Then, Illinois beats Iowa and Northwestern. In that case, the B1G West champ is....ILLINOIS!
Illinois needs to win 2x (1x as an underdog) and then have 2 other sizable dogs win, THEN have Wisconsin beat Minnesota. So long shot. But still alive.
If it happens, Lovie Smith and Illinois would have more B1G Championship games than the University of Michigan.
BIG 12 - Oklahoma and Baylor both just need to win 1 of their final 2 to make the B12 Championship. However, if either lose out, they could fall into a pool of 3 loss teams that could include Iowa St, Okie St and Texas. In theory, there could be a 5 way tie. But it's overwhelmingly likely that it's Baylor and Oklahoma again.
Mountain West - Boise State can clinch the East with a win over Utah St. If Utah St. wins, it creates a likely 3 way tie with Boise, Utah St and Air Force that Boise will likely win anyways. So Boise is a near lock if they don't lose out, but need to win out for any shot at a NY6 bowl.
SDSU and Hawaii meet this week to settle the West. SDSU has a 1 game lead and wins the division outright with a win. However, a Hawaii win creates a 3 team tie with SDSU and Nevada that Hawaii would win.
PAC12 - Oregon has already clinched the North.
Utah controls their own destiny in the South, still having Arizona and Colorado on the schedule. However, if they lose a game, USC can win the PAC12 S with a win over UCLA.
SEC - Boring!
Georgia has already clinched East.
LSU can clinch the West with a win over Arkansas this week, which they will. If somehow LSU loses to Arkansas and TexAM next week, then Bama can win the West with a win over Auburn. If LSU loses 2 and Bama loses to Auburn, LSU would win the tiebreaker over Bama and I think they win a 3 way tie with Bama and TxAM. Doesn't matter, because they'll beat Arkansas and clinch this week.
ACC - Clemson has already clinched the Atlantic.
The Coastal is down to 3 teams. Pitt, Virginia and Virginia tech all have 2 losses (Virginia has played one more conference game, so they play Liberty this week). Pitt plays Virginia Tech this week, then next week Virginia and Virginia Tech play while Pitt plays BC.
If Virginia Tech beats Pitt, next weeks Virginia-Virginia Tech game is a winner take all.
If Pitt wins, it would create a tie with Pitt and Virginia. Virgina has the tie-breaker, so Pitt would need Virginia Tech to beat Virginia for Pitt to win.
Virginia and Virginia Tech - control their own destiny
Pitt - needs to win out and have Virginia Tech beat Virginia.
AAC - Cincinnati leads the East by 2 game with 2 to play. They can clinch either by beating Temple this week or Memphis next week. However, if they lose both games, it creates possible ties with Temple or UCF or both. They'd win the tiebreaker over UCF, loses it to Temple, and I believe UCF or Cincy wins a 3 way tie (but don't feel like explaining it).
Cincy - Controls their own destiny.
UCF/Temple - Must win out, have Cincy lose out, then hope the tiebreakers favor you.
The west currently has a 3 team tie with Navy, SMU and Memphis. Navy and SMU both play this week, and Memphis has the tiebreaker over both. Lose of SMU-Navy is automatically eliminated. Winner can win the West is Memphis loses to USF or Cincy.
Memphis - Controls destiny
SMU-Navy - Win out and have Memphis lose a game
B1G - If you're reading this, you probably know that Ohio State-PSU is the defacto B1G East championship game. Technically, OSU can lose to PSU if PSU loses to Rutgers, but lol no.
OSU/PSU - Control destiny
In the West, it seems straightforward - winner of Wisconsin/Minnesota wins the west. Except under this scenario:
Wisconsin loses to Purdue and Minnesota loses to Northwestern this week. Next week, Wisconsin beats Minnesota. Then, Illinois beats Iowa and Northwestern. In that case, the B1G West champ is....ILLINOIS!
Illinois needs to win 2x (1x as an underdog) and then have 2 other sizable dogs win, THEN have Wisconsin beat Minnesota. So long shot. But still alive.
If it happens, Lovie Smith and Illinois would have more B1G Championship games than the University of Michigan.
BIG 12 - Oklahoma and Baylor both just need to win 1 of their final 2 to make the B12 Championship. However, if either lose out, they could fall into a pool of 3 loss teams that could include Iowa St, Okie St and Texas. In theory, there could be a 5 way tie. But it's overwhelmingly likely that it's Baylor and Oklahoma again.
Mountain West - Boise State can clinch the East with a win over Utah St. If Utah St. wins, it creates a likely 3 way tie with Boise, Utah St and Air Force that Boise will likely win anyways. So Boise is a near lock if they don't lose out, but need to win out for any shot at a NY6 bowl.
SDSU and Hawaii meet this week to settle the West. SDSU has a 1 game lead and wins the division outright with a win. However, a Hawaii win creates a 3 team tie with SDSU and Nevada that Hawaii would win.
PAC12 - Oregon has already clinched the North.
Utah controls their own destiny in the South, still having Arizona and Colorado on the schedule. However, if they lose a game, USC can win the PAC12 S with a win over UCLA.
SEC - Boring!
Georgia has already clinched East.
LSU can clinch the West with a win over Arkansas this week, which they will. If somehow LSU loses to Arkansas and TexAM next week, then Bama can win the West with a win over Auburn. If LSU loses 2 and Bama loses to Auburn, LSU would win the tiebreaker over Bama and I think they win a 3 way tie with Bama and TxAM. Doesn't matter, because they'll beat Arkansas and clinch this week.