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2022 NBA Finals

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You also have to reprogram your brain to think that a 10 point loss doesn't mean what it used to.

When scores were 99-89 then 10 points represented over 10% of the winning teams margin.

But now when games are 125-115 that 10 points actually is a closer score than it appears.

And that works in practice, too. It's now easier for teams to overcome a 10 point deficit than it used to be.
 
Okay. GSW vs Dallas tonight. I figure Dallas has about a 40% chance of victory at home. What do you think?
 
Okay. GSW vs Dallas tonight. I figure Dallas has about a 40% chance of victory at home. What do you think?
Given the comments by Luka and Kidd after game 3, I would say that they are toast. I give them about a 1 in 5 chance at most.
 
Well, well. Mavs up 28 in the 4th. That'll make it 3-1 with them going back to GS. Wouldn't it be nice if the Mavs won game 5?

Up 20 with 9 minutes left.

Golden State Warriors​

PLAYERMINFGMFGAFG%3PM3PA3P%FTMFTAFT%OREBDREBREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS+/-
 HeadshotAndrew WigginsSF27:2941040.0020.0221003251000210-20
 HeadshotDraymond GreenPF25:514850.0020.02540.00666021110-18
 HeadshotKevon LooneyC19:481333.3000.01333.3156101103-20
 HeadshotKlay ThompsonSG25:074944.42633.3010.00111100210-22
 HeadshotStephen CurryPG29:1261540.02540.04580.00556102218-21
 HeadshotJonathan Kuminga15:103837.5020.04666.70551000110-1
 HeadshotJordan Poole20:074757.12540.0000.00000011510-3
 HeadshotMoses Moody15:082450.0010.0000.0011000104-6
 HeadshotDamion Lee09:042540.0010.0000.02350000043
 HeadshotJuan Toscano-Anderson6.1000.0000.0000.00000000000
 HeadshotNemanja Bjelica05:18000.0000.0000.00332000008
 HeadshotOtto Porter Jr.0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
TOTALS 306943.562425.0132259.163144182461379-

Dallas Mavericks​

PLAYERMINFGMFGAFG%3PM3PA3P%FTMFTAFT%OREBDREBREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS+/-
 HeadshotReggie BullockSF28:505862.55862.5000.0022200011522
 HeadshotDorian Finney-SmithPF29:207977.84580.01250.0066200021928
 HeadshotDwight PowellC11:45000.0000.0000.00110000007
 HeadshotJalen BrunsonSG27:0251145.51250.04580.013430102159
 HeadshotLuka DoncicPG30:1972133.331030.04666.701414711322121
 HeadshotMaxi Kleber14:464580.02366.711100145202041111
 HeadshotFrank Ntilikina16:082210011100000.00111100350
 HeadshotSpencer Dinwiddie23:162633.32540.02210002261022811
 HeadshotDavis Bertans08:262633.31425.0000.01451000050
 HeadshotJosh Green02:28000.0000.0000.0000000000-9
 HeadshotSterling Brown0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
 HeadshotTrey Burke0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
 HeadshotMarquese Chriss0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
 HeadshotBoban Marjanovic0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
TOTALS 346850.0193850.0121675.033742243451699-
 
idk why dallas is jacking up 3s
They're coasting into victory. Still, up 13 with 2 minutes left isn't a lock. They need like 6 more points.
 
That was Dallas' token "okay, we got our 1 win, now let's start the offseason" win.
 
Game over, man. Mavs by 10.

Golden State Warriors​

PLAYERMINFGMFGAFG%3PM3PA3P%FTMFTAFT%OREBDREBREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS+/-
 HeadshotAndrew WigginsSF30:3251145.51333.3221003251000313-20
 HeadshotDraymond GreenPF25:514850.0020.02540.00666021110-18
 HeadshotKevon LooneyC19:481333.3000.01333.3156101103-20
 HeadshotKlay ThompsonSG28:1051050.02633.3010.00111200212-22
 HeadshotStephen CurryPG32:3471643.82540.04580.00558102220-23
 HeadshotJonathan Kuminga21:3951145.51333.36875.008810022179
 HeadshotJordan Poole28:365955.62540.02210000040126147
 HeadshotMoses Moody22:404757.12366.7000.002202010104
 HeadshotDamion Lee15:143650.0010.0000.024610000615
 HeadshotJuan Toscano-Anderson6.1000.0000.0000.00000000000
 HeadshotNemanja Bjelica14:5022100000.0000.003330002418
 HeadshotOtto Porter Jr.0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
TOTALS 418349.4102835.7172665.4636512654918109-

Dallas Mavericks​


PLAYERMINFGMFGAFG%3PM3PA3P%FTMFTAFT%OREBDREBREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS+/-
 HeadshotReggie BullockSF38:2261060.061060.0000.0022200011812
 HeadshotDorian Finney-SmithPF38:5291369.24757.11250.0066200232318
 HeadshotDwight PowellC11:45000.0000.0000.00110000007
 HeadshotJalen BrunsonSG34:2151241.71250.04580.014550103150
 HeadshotLuka DoncicPG37:42102638.531127.371070.001414922323013
 HeadshotMaxi Kleber22:075683.32366.71110025721205135
 HeadshotFrank Ntilikina17:022210011100000.0011110035-2
 HeadshotSpencer Dinwiddie27:382728.62540.04410003381032108
 HeadshotDavis Bertans09:432633.31425.0000.0145100005-2
 HeadshotJosh Green02:28000.0000.0000.0000000000-9
 HeadshotSterling Brown0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
 HeadshotTrey Burke0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
 HeadshotMarquese Chriss0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
 HeadshotBoban Marjanovic0.0000.0000.0000.00000000000
TOTALS 418250.0204346.5172277.3440463055819119
 
That was Dallas' token "okay, we got our 1 win, now let's start the offseason" win.
Likely. But wouldn't you like the Mavs to come back from 0-3 and win?
 
Thank you, Dallas !!

At least we have basketball on Thursday now…
 
Okay. Let's start the odds for the Mavs winning in GSW on Thursday.

My personal opinion is they have a less than 10% chance. Say 20:1, 5% chance of winning.
 

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