2016 College Football Lines/Gambling Thread

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bigfoot5415

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Up $800 after Friday night in the NBA, then Michigan alone kills two parlays that would have each won an additional $600.
 

col63onel

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OSU is now about -7. Last week, I thought I saw OSU -4 over Michigan. Did it really jump 3 points after the weekend, or did I just imagine the -4?
 

I'mWithDan

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OSU is now about -7. Last week, I thought I saw OSU -4 over Michigan. Did it really jump 3 points after the weekend, or did I just imagine the -4?

When Speight was injured the line went up.....it has bounced around though.

In Week 10, it got down to 4-4.5 depending on the book. Then when Michigan lost to Iowa and Speight was hurt, the following Monday it went to 7 at most books (from what I see). I think it got to 7.5 to open this week and now is down to 6.5.

61% of the public money is on OSU, which is pretty standard for a TD favorite. If you look at the charts though, there seems to be some spread manipulation by big bettors.

The line swung up a half point to get it to 7 and then right after, swung down a half point to put it back at 6.5, where it has stayed since last night (that likely was some sharp squeezing value out of the line) . All the early betting action was on Michigan (+7.5) to drive it down and then it seems like most of the public money went on OSU at -7.

It's kind of a hedge for Vegas. If Speight can go, they are in a good spot with a juiced line against the public money. If Speight is out, my guess is they hate their positon with OSU only laying 6.5-7 against O'Korn.
 
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I'mWithDan

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Anyone betting the Pac12 Championship tonight? It seems......odd.

Line has jumped all the way to -8.5 UW on a big late swing (it pushed up a point in less than an hour this AM). Westgate opened at -7.

CU crushed on the road and as a dog this season ATS. They were 5-0 ATS on the road and 4-0 ATS as a dog. SU they were 2-2 as dogs (wins @Oregon / @Stanford, losses @UM / @USC). So it's weird there's so much sharp action on UW.

The other thing to look at is the 5 lowest lines of the season for UW: Stanford, Oregon, Utah, USC and WSU. Those were all in the two score or less range, like CU. UW was 3-2 in those games ATS -10.5 or less. They are 1-2 in their last 3 at -10.5 or less. Away from home, UW was additionally 3-2 ATS.

UW isn't a great spread team (6-6 ATS), so I'm curious why the sharps love them so much. Anyone? Is this just a stay away? I'm staring at the +310 CU money line. :chuckle:
 
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Cratylus

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SuperSurge

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What is the spread tonight v. Indiana? Nevermind, ill take the points no matter what.
 

AZ_

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NCAAF:
Marshall -13 at Kent State

NFL:
Tennessee -1 vs. Jacksonville
 

natedagg

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There are tons of underdogs this weekend that I don't think are getting enough love... I haven't dug deep enough yet, but there's some good looking upset chances and plenty of covers out there... Thoughts?

I suppose I should mention that I don't think OSU should be favored by 40. I think that's rich - it's 10 points per quarter. At an o/u of 66, we're looking at a 53-13 expected score. I haven't decided yet what to do about it, but it's looking like betting the under or +40 or both... While I am on the OSU subject, I'd like to posit a theory - against weaker teams, our D-Line depth leads to pretty dominant 2nd halves. It could also be halftime adjustments, or it could be that once a team becomes 1 dimensional (the game finally gets out of hand), we start busting heads. For sure it happened against Indiana, who done wore themselves out of the game. Not sure about Army (didn't watch), but it appears that they got pretty warn out too after a missed FG... Any insight?
 

col63onel

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Tennessee is +36 today. + 36.

PLUS THIRTY SIX. FOR THE TENNESSEE FREAKING VOLUNTEERS.

It's amazing how much the media overrates them every year.
 

SanduskyCav

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Want to roll with the big covers for OSU and Alabama but concerned we could see some second units tonight.
 
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