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2018-2019 Tank Thread

Pjlea28

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Otto Porter is underrated. He will help the Bulls a lot. They are not tanking seriously with that trade.

I think we got this. Knicks are a problem though.
Your right about Chicago. I like Porter a lot even with the over pay. They have the start of a pretty good lineup with Porter/Levin/Markkanen/Wendall (when he returns). They need a legit starting PG and they are on their way. Our big comp will be the Suns & Knicks.
 

Jake

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We play the Knicks on Monday. It may be entertaining to see how both teams attempt to lose. Kind of like watching a train wreck.
Love's toe will probably act up by then, Cedi should still be hurting, Delly needs rest, Sexton needs a minutes reduction.....
 

buzzdog

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I watched much of last night's game on fast forward. It reduces the amount of time it takes to endure watching, but at the same time it somehow compresses and magnifies just how epically bad this team is.
 
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Ozone

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We play the Knicks on Monday. It may be entertaining to see how both teams attempt to lose. Kind of like watching a train wreck.
Love's toe will probably act up by then, Cedi should still be hurting, Delly needs rest, Sexton needs a minutes reduction.....
With the new more balanced % of getting the first for teams in the bottom 3 of the league at the end of the season, I don't think either team will have to "try" to lose and it won't much matter the result
 

6.19.2016

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With the new more balanced % of getting the first for teams in the bottom 3 of the league at the end of the season, I don't think either team will have to "try" to lose and it won't much matter the result
Well, these games between us/NYK/PHX/CHI do matter twice as much as any of their games against the other 26 teams regardless.
 

CavsFanJapan

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CAVS (1 GB/26 games left)
Finished with Chicago
2 against both the Knicks and Suns

KNICKS (Leader/27 games left)
2 against us and Chicago
1 against Suns

BULLS (3 GB/26 games left)
2 against Knicks
1 against Suns

SUNS (0.5 GB/24 games left)
2 against us
1 against Knicks and Bulls

Gonna be close however, I don’t think Chicago will catch us so the Cavs, Suns and NYK will all have the same odds with Bulls a mere 1.5% behind.
 

thunder_down_under

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I don't know the odds on getting the first pick...but after seeing Zion's block from the other night against Virginia...oh my God...we need to swap the current squad with Canton...we must not win another game...my goodness Zion can play...
 

Huber.

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I don't know the odds on getting the first pick...but after seeing Zion's block from the other night against Virginia...oh my God...we need to swap the current squad with Canton...we must not win another game...my goodness Zion can play...
Did you see who was in attendance? Zion's going to sign Lebron.....I mean Rich as his agent and force his way to LA when LA gets the #3/4 pick.
 

Matches

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The odds are shit.

The big reason to fully tank now is to avoid the possibility of falling all the way down to 6 or even 7.

At #3, which is our current position, we are more than twice as likely to draft 6th or 7th (33%) than get the #1 overall (14%).

The #2 team has a 20% chance of drafting 6th. The #1 team will never draft 6th but still has a 48% chance of dropping to 5th.
 

Ozone

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Well, these games between us/NYK/PHX/CHI do matter twice as much as any of their games against the other 26 teams regardless.
it could if by beating those teams the Cavs move out of the worst 3 ranked teams, but if they remain in the bottom 3 it makes no difference.
 

CavsFanJapan

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it could if by beating those teams the Cavs move out of the worst 3 ranked teams, but if they remain in the bottom 3 it makes no difference.
See post above yours, there is a difference when talking 5 through 7.
 
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rcj47

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I don't know the odds on getting the first pick...but after seeing Zion's block from the other night against Virginia...oh my God...we need to swap the current squad with Canton...we must not win another game...my goodness Zion can play...
He looks like he might be able to fly.
 

rcj47

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The odds are shit.

The big reason to fully tank now is to avoid the possibility of falling all the way down to 6 or even 7.

At #3, which is our current position, we are more than twice as likely to draft 6th or 7th (33%) than get the #1 overall (14%).

The #2 team has a 20% chance of drafting 6th. The #1 team will never draft 6th but still has a 48% chance of dropping to 5th.
I actually ran the tankathon simulation 100 times and we ended up #1 15 times. I didn't keep track of the others but quite a few times it hit 6th or 7th.
 

CavsFanJapan

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I actually ran the tankathon simulation 100 times and we ended up #1 15 times. I didn't keep track of the others but quite a few times it hit 6th or 7th.
But the Tankathon does not take bow ties into account. We got this! LOL!!
 

CavsFan07

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The odds are shit.

The big reason to fully tank now is to avoid the possibility of falling all the way down to 6 or even 7.

At #3, which is our current position, we are more than twice as likely to draft 6th or 7th (33%) than get the #1 overall (14%).

The #2 team has a 20% chance of drafting 6th. The #1 team will never draft 6th but still has a 48% chance of dropping to 5th.
Thank you for posting this. I don't think a lot of people understand the lottery odds are much different than the last time we were tanking. We desperately need to stay within the top 3 and get lucky on lottery night.
 

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