shoes22
Hall-of-Famer
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- Dec 4, 2012
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Here's how we look for the Game 4s! After a couple outlier games early in both series, things went as expected for Game 3 in both conferences.
In the East, interestingly Celtics in 7, Cavs in 7, and Cavs in 6 all have nearly equal probabilities right now. In the three years I've been doing this, not sure i've ever seen something like that.
In the West, it is embarrassing how high the Warriors are rated (when fully healthy) compared to any other team.
Boston Celtics (2) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (4)
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<ul class="team" id="ue3-3">
<li data-val="1"><s><span class="m1">6.</span> Celtics in 4: 0.0%</s> <span class="m2">(-12.96%)</span></li>
<li data-val="2"><i><span class="m3">4.</span> Celtics in 5: 16.32%</i> <span class="m2">(-8.1%)</span></li>
<li data-val="3"><span class="m1">5.</span> Celtics in 6: 16.12% <span class="p2">(+0.51%)</span></li>
<li data-val="4"><b><span class="p1">1.</span> Celtics in 7: 22.90%</b> <span class="p2">(+4.52%)</span></li>
<li data-val="5">3. Cavs in 7: 22.00% <span class="p2">(+5.7%)</span></li>
<li data-val="6"><span class="p2">2.</span> Cavs in 6: 22.66% <span class="p2">(+10.34%)</span></li>
<li data-val="7"><s>7. Cavs in 5: 0.0%</s></li>
<li data-val="8"><s>8. Cavs in 4: 0.0%</s></li>
</ul>
<button id="e3-3" class="button" onclick="return myFunction(this)">Sort by Probability</button><br><br>
[/parsehtml]
Game 4 Odds:
Celtics win 32%/Cavs Win 68%
Odds Cleveland forces Game 6: 83.68% (+21.06%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 44.91% (+10.23%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.29 (+0.45)
Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 55.34% likely (-16.04%)
Cavs win series: 44.66% likely (+16.04%)
Houston Rockets (1) vs. Golden State Warriors (2)
[parsehtml]
<ul class="team" id="uw3-3">
<li data-val="1"><s>8. Rockets in 4: 0.0%</s></li>
<li data-val="2"><s>6. Rockets in 5: 0.0%</s> <span class="m2">(-6.39%)</span></li>
<li data-val="3">5. Rockets in 6: 2.98% <span class="m2">(-8.25%)</span></li>
<li data-val="4">4. Rockets in 7: 7.67% <span class="m2">(-6.79%)</span></li>
<li data-val="5">3. Warriors in 7: 12.51% <span class="m2">(-7.46%)</span></li>
<li data-val="6"><i><span class="m1">2.</span> Warriors in 6: 32.20%</i> <span class="p2">(+5.83%)</span></li>
<li data-val="7"><b><span class="p1">1.</span> Warriors in 5: 44.64%</b> <span class="p2">(+23.06%)</span></li>
<li data-val="8"><s>7. Warriors in 4: 0.0%</s></li>
</ul>
<button id="w3-3" class="button" onclick="return myFunction(this)">Sort by Probability</button><br><br>
[/parsehtml]
Game 4 Odds:
Rockets win 28%/Warriors Win 72%
Odds Houston forces Game 6: 55.36% (-16.67%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 20.18% (-14.25%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.76 (-0.3)
Overall Odds:
Rockets win series: 10.65% likely (-21.43%)
Warriors win series: 89.35% likely (+21.43%)
In the East, interestingly Celtics in 7, Cavs in 7, and Cavs in 6 all have nearly equal probabilities right now. In the three years I've been doing this, not sure i've ever seen something like that.
In the West, it is embarrassing how high the Warriors are rated (when fully healthy) compared to any other team.
Boston Celtics (2) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (4)
[parsehtml]
<style>
ul {
margin:0;
margin-left: 0em !important;
padding: 0;
list-style-type: none;
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.m1, .m2 {
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color: #ff0000;
}
.p1 {
color: #0059b3;
}
.p2 {
color: #00b300;
}
li {
list-style: none !important;
}
</style>
<script>
function myFunction(test) {
var div = document.querySelector('#u' + test.id),
para = document.querySelectorAll('#u' + test.id + ' li');
if (div.className == 'team'){
div.className = 'pop';
test.textContent = 'Sort by Team';
} else {
div.className = 'team';
test.textContent = 'Sort by Probability';
}
var paraArr = [].slice.call(para).sort(function (a, b) {
if (div.className == 'team') {
console.log(a.attributes[0]);
return a.attributes[0].value > b.attributes[0].value ? 1 : -1;
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<ul class="team" id="ue3-3">
<li data-val="1"><s><span class="m1">6.</span> Celtics in 4: 0.0%</s> <span class="m2">(-12.96%)</span></li>
<li data-val="2"><i><span class="m3">4.</span> Celtics in 5: 16.32%</i> <span class="m2">(-8.1%)</span></li>
<li data-val="3"><span class="m1">5.</span> Celtics in 6: 16.12% <span class="p2">(+0.51%)</span></li>
<li data-val="4"><b><span class="p1">1.</span> Celtics in 7: 22.90%</b> <span class="p2">(+4.52%)</span></li>
<li data-val="5">3. Cavs in 7: 22.00% <span class="p2">(+5.7%)</span></li>
<li data-val="6"><span class="p2">2.</span> Cavs in 6: 22.66% <span class="p2">(+10.34%)</span></li>
<li data-val="7"><s>7. Cavs in 5: 0.0%</s></li>
<li data-val="8"><s>8. Cavs in 4: 0.0%</s></li>
</ul>
<button id="e3-3" class="button" onclick="return myFunction(this)">Sort by Probability</button><br><br>
[/parsehtml]
Game 4 Odds:
Celtics win 32%/Cavs Win 68%
Odds Cleveland forces Game 6: 83.68% (+21.06%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 44.91% (+10.23%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.29 (+0.45)
Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 55.34% likely (-16.04%)
Cavs win series: 44.66% likely (+16.04%)
Houston Rockets (1) vs. Golden State Warriors (2)
[parsehtml]
<ul class="team" id="uw3-3">
<li data-val="1"><s>8. Rockets in 4: 0.0%</s></li>
<li data-val="2"><s>6. Rockets in 5: 0.0%</s> <span class="m2">(-6.39%)</span></li>
<li data-val="3">5. Rockets in 6: 2.98% <span class="m2">(-8.25%)</span></li>
<li data-val="4">4. Rockets in 7: 7.67% <span class="m2">(-6.79%)</span></li>
<li data-val="5">3. Warriors in 7: 12.51% <span class="m2">(-7.46%)</span></li>
<li data-val="6"><i><span class="m1">2.</span> Warriors in 6: 32.20%</i> <span class="p2">(+5.83%)</span></li>
<li data-val="7"><b><span class="p1">1.</span> Warriors in 5: 44.64%</b> <span class="p2">(+23.06%)</span></li>
<li data-val="8"><s>7. Warriors in 4: 0.0%</s></li>
</ul>
<button id="w3-3" class="button" onclick="return myFunction(this)">Sort by Probability</button><br><br>
[/parsehtml]
Game 4 Odds:
Rockets win 28%/Warriors Win 72%
Odds Houston forces Game 6: 55.36% (-16.67%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 20.18% (-14.25%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.76 (-0.3)
Overall Odds:
Rockets win series: 10.65% likely (-21.43%)
Warriors win series: 89.35% likely (+21.43%)