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2019 College Football Season/Playoff Thread

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Jessie Pinkman while screaming and pouring gasoline: Clemson can’t keep getting away with this.

(They totally will.)
 
Nebraska is not a bad team, but totally outclassed by TOSU.. Bucks are real this year..
 
Rutgers fires Chris Ash.
 
Games of great import, week 6:

UCF @ Cincinnati - UCF finally lost a regular season game. But this is a huge game in the AAC East. Cincy lost to Temple and UCF last year, and get both at home this year. Their toughest crossover game is Memphis (who's very solid). There's a world in which Cincinnati is 11-1 heading into championship weekend. No idea if this helps us with the committee, because they make up rules as they go along, but could be something.

Iowa @ Michigan - Iowa is your typical "good" version of Iowa. Meh offense, bend but don't break defense, win close games, get Kirk Ferentz BTCOY. With Purdue, Nebraska and Northwestern all not looking good to date, the B1G seems like it's down to Iowa and Wisconsin (no, Minnesota, I didn't skip you. This isn't hockey). Wisconsin has crossover games with Michigan, MSU and OSU. Iowa's crossovers are Michigan, Rutgers and PSU. There there's a path for Iowa to win the B1G West even without beating Wisconsin, but that almost certainly involves sweeping their crossovers.

This was the time last year when Michigan went from awful to great, which ALMOST lasted the regular season. Winning this game might springboard them like last year. Michigan is favored at home over an undefeated top 15 team. As much schadenfreude as the Harbaugh era has brought, don't count them out.

Very weird feel to this game. Michigan could win big since it has way better players. Or the could continue to not defend the run and commit turnovers and Iowa wins. B1G division races could hinge on this game. No idea what to expect.

Oklahoma @ Kansas - No I don't expect Kansas to stay with 1000 points of Oklahoma. But I do remember Les Miles history vs Oklahoma. In 2001, Les Miles took over Oklahoma State, with 1st year OC Mike Gundy (who was a man, but only 34 years old). Oklahoma was defending BCS National Champs. Although Oklahoma had lost to Nebraska, they still were #4 and heading into the regular season finale vs Ok St, needed a win to head to the Big 12 Championship game. A win there likely would've meant a return to the BCS title game. However, 3-7 Ok St (with wins over Louisiana Tech, Northwestern St and 3-8 Baylor) won in Norman.

Don't think there's a repeat here, but there is precedent.

Texas @ WVU - Texas is only favored by 11.5. WVU is 3-1, but the loss is by 31 to a team that lost to Wyoming, and the 3 wins are over a FCS team, and by a combined 12 over James Madison (school, not the Founding Father) and Kansas. Seems too low, even for a game at WVU.

Florida @ Auburn - Florida has 2 wins over FCS schools, a 1 score wins over Miami and Kentucky, and a 31 pt blowout of the VLOLunteers. Auburn has beat Oregon, Texas AM and Miss St, but not sure if any of those teams are good. Both teams will rise in the polls, obviously.

Michigan State @ Ohio State - Quick recap of MSU vs OSU under Urban

2012 - OSU pulls out 17-16 win at East Lansing. Devin Smith scores winning TD and Carlos Hyde runs out the clock
2013 - Urban loses first game at OSU in B1G Champ Game and costs OSU a shot at the last BCS Title game. MSU blew a 17-0 lead, but scores 17 unanswered to win 34-24
2014 - In a night game at East Lansing, everyone was expecting MSU to win and maybe stay in the CFP playoff race. Zeke and JT ripped through the Sparty D. MSU was about to go up 28-14 late in the 2nd quarter after OSU's second special teams turnover. However, a hold nullified a TD and MSU missed the the subsequent FG. On the next play, Michael Thomas turned a quick slant into a long TD. OSU grabbed a 28-21 lead right before half on a bomb to Devin Smith and OSU never looked back.
2015 - MSU without Connor Cook beat OSU in the Shoe. A ghastly OSU offensive performance caused Zeke to publicly rip the coaching staff after the game. OSU was the most talented team that year, but couldn't replace Tom Herman and finally got bit this game. Unlike the SEC or ACC, where whoever beats Bama or Clemson is never good enough to win the division, this was the game OSU couldn't lose.
2016 - OSU stopped a late 2pt conversion to beat a 3-9 MSU squad. All that needs to be said.
2017 - A week after getting crushed by Iowa, OSU destroyed MSU, who was coming off a big win over PSU. The only time under Urban where the home team won.
2018 - Like 2015 and 2016, a low scoring affair, this time in bad weather. Brian Lewerke was benched, and replaced by something called a Rocky Lombardi (whose grandfather is names Vince....but not that Vince).

This MSU team is a typical middling Dantonio team. Offense is sluggish, although Lewerke has had a nice year. Defense is good, but not the elite units that sometimes Dantonio puts up. Spread is 20.5, and that's probably about right. MSU coming off a last second win vs Indiana at home.

Cal @ Oregon - A Cal loss probably knocks them out of the PAC12 North race. An Oregon win might put 4 teams with 1 loss in that division. PAC12 is fun.

Air Force @ Navy - All 3 of the service academies are solid this year, with Army looking again like the best team. Navy is coming off a loss to Memphis.

Pitt @ Duke - Virginia is 2-0 in the "Not Clemson" Division of the ACC. Pitt might have the best win of any ACC team this year, but already lost to Virginia. Pitt needs to win to have any legit hopes of going to the ACC lie down and get curb-stomped by Clemson Championship Game.

Arizona @ Colorado - Arizona beat Texas Tech by 14 but lost to Hawaii. Colorado beat Nebraska and lost to Air Force. Winner is in sole possession of 1st in PAC12 South.
 
I’m all aboard the 5-0 Wake Forest train dudes. Also, why is Michigan considered to have such a landslide advantage in the talent department? Is it the skill position group? Patterson? I don’t see any special talent defensively. Maybe I haven’t seen enough.

But I’m still ambivalent either way. Could see it going in so many different directions with that game. I’ll take Iowa just because fuck Michigan.
 
I’m all aboard the 5-0 Wake Forest train dudes. Also, why is Michigan considered to have such a landslide advantage in the talent department? Is it the skill position group? Patterson? I don’t see any special talent defensively. Maybe I haven’t seen enough.
Recruiting.

I know recruiting rankings aren't perfect, and some teams, like Iowa are great at "coaching up" and developing lower ranked recruits. But recruiting rankings definitely have some sort of predictive value on how good the recruits will be as college players. Michigan has definitely out-recruited Iowa, so their players should be better.
 
Recruiting.

I know recruiting rankings aren't perfect, and some teams, like Iowa are great at "coaching up" and developing lower ranked recruits. But recruiting rankings definitely have some sort of predictive value on how good the recruits will be as college players. Michigan has definitely out-recruited Iowa, so their players should be better.

No that’s absolutely fair and I won’t argue that at all. They’ve just looked so poorly coached and lost that it’s difficult to fathom that’s a group of top-10 recruiting classes compiled.

I think UM ultimatrly wins; don’t trust Iowa enough on the road in big games.
 

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