KCP has a 15% trade kicker and 15% in incentive which I have to assume Rich Paul would design to get him if he was traded.
My guess is CP3 will be begging LeBron to try to make it happen. Maybe you are right that LeBron knows CP3 is over the hill but maybe CP3 can convince him to push the Lakers to do it. I can't think that CP3 is happy to be going to OKC right now.
LBJ runs the show though. If LBJ let his friends run the show the Cavaliers would have traded for Melo. LBJ wants to win at the end of the day. Trading his whole team minus Anthony Davis, DeMarcus Cousins, and Kuzma for CP3 is not a winning trade. They need Danny Green to cover the other teams top wing, they need Bradley to guard the other teams PG, they need the pieces they signed more then they need CP3. If CP3 gets traded the only team desperate enough to take him is going to be Miami. Miami needs a 2nd star with Butler to keep him happy. CP3 is old as dirt but Riley is senile at this point. I don't think any other team is dumb enough to take CP3 at 40 M per not even his buddy.