Depends on the score and the inning.If they do go to the larger bases I'll bet the number of steal attempts goes up by a lot more than 0.4%, which would equate to one more attempt per 235 attempts.

I'm sure teams can easily go back and review the replays of each stolen base attempt the previous season and determine how many of the outs would have been safe with an extra 4.5". It may not be that many. In 2019, for example, the Indians stole 103 bases and were caught 35 times. There might have been only five times where the runner was out by less than 4". That's about the length of a player's fingers, or if he slides feet first, one-third the length of his foot.

If the team concludes that the shorter basepath wouldn't have made a difference in 30 out of 35 cases, then they probably won't change their strategy at all.

Late in close games would be the ticket and the shorter base paths would definitely change their strategy. You are talking a lot more late game drama at the very least.