I don't think this is entirely true, in part because his strengths and weaknesses are so stark. But it's true that his 3 games in college mostly reflect the skills that made him the #1 prospect in his class. He scores a lot. He rebounds a lot. He blocks a lot of shots.
I think you are unusually low on Ayton as a prospect. I also don't understand the 3 point shot comment.....Ayton took 30+ 3's as a 7 foot center in his one college season...and he shot 34%. He was one of the very few modern 7 foot prospects who even had game tape of him taking shots from extended range and he also had quality tape there during AAU ball as well. If teams' think Wiseman is as good as Ayton, he should be the #1 pick in this draft......if they think he is better, they should have all have a Wiseman jersey printed out prior to the lottery.
The raw numbers suggested a little bit of shooting ability for Ayton, but most scouts seemed to agree that his mechanics were unlikely to extend to NBA range, and that proved to be correct. I think Wiseman's in a similar boat...more shooting touch than the typical big, but still quite a ways away from making NBA 3's.
As for whether an Ayton-like player should be the #1 pick in this draft, I think that's less clear. Dunk/rebound machine centers are fun, but a lot of teams are finding success with floor spacers and defensive specialists at the 5. I think Okongwu would have a case over Ayton for the same reasons he has a case over Wiseman. Significantly better all-around defender, and noticeably quicker rolling to the basket on offense.
Better numbers in what way? I buy that Wiseman would've probably made fewer than Ayton's 12 threes (but don't see that as an important distinction since neither have NBA range). But what else? Again, we're talking about the #1 prospect in the country, so expectations should, reasonably, be set high.
