Maréchal d'Empire (AKA King Stannis)
- Jul 12, 2014
- Reaction score
Unbelievably, most voters aren't paying much mind to the primaries right now. They don't seek out information. So whatever happens to lead the headlines will likely stick.Having seen a little bit more information coming out on it, I don't know if we should take the Pete surge as the new reality. He's still not polling that great with minorities.
Whomever wins Iowa, or does well, will get a lot of press that virtually all voters will see. If Pete in wins in IA, I can all but guarantee that his national numbers will skyrocket.
The same can be said of the Big Three if they win. Warren, if she can hold onto 2nd there, will be in great shape moving in NH.
Numbers aside, one must feel out what is happening with the masses.
My gut (and the favorable/unfavorable game) tells me that all Pete needs is a big break to really get rolling. He is too well liked, and not disliked, to not pick up steam once he appears to be a legitimate candidate to win it all.
My gut also tells me that the voters are 1) nearly shell-shocked from 3 years of Trump, and endless bullshit, and 2) Are looking for safe rather than bold.
People need to listen to what the @CleveRocks and @jking948s of the world, those on the near side of the divide, Center-Right, Center-Left, that make up the true electors of national elections, are saying.
The Bernies and Warrens of the Party will get their chance, and it will happen, but I don't think that time is 2020.