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2022 Cleveland Guardians Regular Season Thread

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fwiw.. in the purest form.. BABIP, alone, doesn't give a helluva lot of context..

Combine it with a statistic that would seem to make sense:

BABIP combined with exit velocities.. says soft contact makes out.. lowers BA... but hard hit higher exit velos say that smash is going through the infield and more likely to be raise BA..

With the coming change in shift rules.. this could become "THEEE" most important offensive stat for the young Guardian hitters..

or it could be more of that stat mumbo jumbo crapola that ________________ is always spewing?..

We'll see..
Except the ban on extreme fielding shifts may not have a huge impact, per the Washington Post.

Does the shift really work, though?​

When you have a defense playing in an extreme shift, it also means you’re leaving a lot of open field for a player to take advantage of. These are professional hitters who are capable of beating shifts, and it happens probably more often than many people think.
According to the Washington Post, banning the defensive shift would probably result in a minimal increase of runs scored. For nearly as often as that would-be base hit up the middle gets robbed by the shift, you have a shift-busting hit into open field.
Via WaPo:
Baseball Info Solutions reports shifting caused 213 would-be hits to be turned into outs in last year’s shortened 60-game season, which translates to 575 hits-to-outs over a normal, 162-game season. Turning those outs back into hits would result in an increase of less than 1.5 percent in a typical season. That doesn’t feel like a sea change.
MLB teams and MLB owners know this. It’s probably why the players union agreed to banning the shift in the first place. The actual impact will be marginal at best, but aesthetically, the game could improve. You’ll no longer need access to an advanced scouting report to know why the Dodgers are playing with two right fielders against Freddie Freeman.
It potentially makes the game more approachable to the casual fan — even if other sports (like, um, the NFL) have unique alignments for given situations.
 
First off, a bit of an overreaction here...

Straw gets a long leash, for better or for worse, so let's see how he finishes the season/see if they give him a short minor league stint.

Though we are all ready for a change, Arias was sent down, which means they got to make some changes in the roster. I am hoping for Miller and Palacios down, while Freeman and Jones up. I want to see Jones and Freeman for the next couple weeks.

Also if Naylor actually has an injury, I think we have to DFA Mercado again... I am thinking we need to add Brooks to the 40 man to play 1B. He is more of a depth piece type, but has been good at taking walks and looks to be our best 1B defensively...
I was told some changes were coming to the roster.


More Luke Maile and Myles Straw. Unreal. We are just not a serious team right now.
 
This is an ultra stupid question, because I know what BABIP is but how to judge it is off in my head, so if anyone wants to take a crack at it…

If BABIP routinely favors contact hitters over power /K guys, is the value in comparing apples to apples?

As in, you wouldn’t compare Player A, who will k 100 times and hit 30 homers with player B, who will K 50 times and hit 10 homers, right? Wrong?
BABIP does not favor "contact hitters". It favors guys that can hit the ball hard. Guys with consistently higher BABIP numbers typically have higher EV numbers as well. Personally, I think BABIP is just above worthless.
 
BABIP does not favor "contact hitters". It favors guys that can hit the ball hard. Guys with consistently higher BABIP numbers typically have higher EV numbers as well. Personally, I think BABIP is just above worthless.

Actually I believe it's usually Tim Anderson who has one of the highest BABIP in the league...I could be wrong though
 
Did I miss an actual stat about Myles Straw being statistically the worst hitter in baseball?
 
Did I miss an actual stat about Myles Straw being statistically the worst hitter in baseball?
By OPS and those who qualify, he is... but only 16 "CF" qualify...
 
You want the organization's great track record to stand in for your past takes and to also never be challenged. If you don't criticize the organization after trading and then immediately extending a guy who is literally the worst hitter in all of Major League Baseball, when would you challenge them? Under what scenario would you say "you know what, the org just flat missed on that one" if not this literal exact scenario?

The answer is you won't. So just admit it. It's not "I think the organization has earned our trust." They have it, bub. Who are you talking to. What you really mean is "I'm never going to criticize the FO, particularly not when I've strongly supported the move for which they might deserve criticism, so consider this post for what it is--me padding my post count so my eBuds can give me more likes."

And once again, everything I just said is dead nuts facts.
I mean, do you think Straw is just going to hit .150 for the next 5 years?

He had a .348 OBP through his first 980 career plate appearances, so it's certainly a take to think he's going to be garbage for the next 5 years after 2 really rough months

Great defense, great speed, walks at a 10%+ rate, strikeouts out at a <20% rate. I think he'll end up being fine.
 
I mean, do you think Straw is just going to hit .150 for the next 5 years?

He had a .348 OBP through his first 980 career plate appearances, so it's certainly a take to think he's going to be garbage for the next 5 years after 2 really rough months

Great defense, great speed, walks at a 10%+ rate, strikeouts out at a <20% rate. I think he'll end up being fine.
If he were here back in 2018, you know exactly what his take would've been during Jose's slump.

Best to just ignore the reactionaries and let them continue to show us all how stupid they are with each increasingly asinine post.
 
If he were here back in 2018, you know exactly what his take would've been during Jose's slump.

Best to just ignore the reactionaries and let them continue to show us all how stupid they are with each increasingly asinine post.

Yeah.

But unlike all those posters who said Jose belongs in the Korean league (you know who you are) back in the day, this guy is always right.

Game, set, and match RCF.
 
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