Was unfortunate he went before us. Those don't sting as much as having the player fall to you, passing and then having that guy be exactly what you think he might have been.
Eason was such a bad, bad miss. Since they have kept track of the RAPTOR stats, Eason is 9th in rookie season WAR at the SF position. The 8 guys ahead of him, over 10 drafts:
Tatum, Luka, Mirotic, Herb Jones, Scottie Barnes, Franz, Mikal Bridges and OG.
OUCCCCH. That is brutal having had the chance to draft one of the (potentially) let's just say 15 best SF's in the last 10 years or so. He needs to develop but just how physically ready he was to play, that is tough.
Kessler also had a a historically great rookie year. Since they have kept track of the RAPTOR stats, Walker is 4th in rookie season WAR at the C position. The 3 guys ahead of him, over 10 drafts:
Jokic, Porzingis and KAT.
As a GM, that is just a really bad outcome in year 1. Both of those players went in the next 8 picks after your selection......and the guy you took was a 4 year, low ceiling prospect that has looked pretty underwhelming through a season. If I were Gilbert, I'd be offering the lead draft person or Memphis 3-4x what they currently make to overhaul our scouting process.
I'm convinced Eason seems really dumb or had a bad background check. Lots of guys passed on him. Usually guys like him get drafted higher just from physical measurements. The fact his rebounding and defensive numbers and scoring were all so good. Just doesn't make sense.
I'd love to hear what it was. Word was his workouts weren't good. Maybe it was just that. We know cavs put a lot of stock in workouts
You have the idea Koby about SFs which is funny, but seriously why did he even fall past us? Why didn't anyone else want him? Something is up there IMO
I like Eason still, but it's pretty obvious they could not start him with Allen and Mobley, so it would have been him of the bench, I dunno. They drafted for fit and it sucks.
I'm sure his workouts were underwhelming. I think guys of his profile aren't going to do things in workouts that are particularly exciting.
Like he's not a shooter.......not in the sense that he's going to hit 9 or 10 3's in a row. A game shooter who's a tick below average is likely to look like a below average shooter in workouts too. His dribble is effective but not exciting, he's a great athlete for his size but not Vince Carter, etc, etc. He's more of just a ball mover passing wise. But he does a lot of things that help a team.
That is always the problem with relying too much on workouts. This isn't unique to just Eason.......Kawhi basically slid for the same reason and I'm sure there are countless other examples where teams are ignoring a large set of data in favor of an hour or two of a guy doing random shit at 75% speed in an empty gym.
I also am unsure Eason wouldn't work with Mobley and Allen. He shot 34% on 172 attempts from 3. That is passable, especially for the versatility you get at that spot and the small ball lineups with him and Mobley would have been insane. It more-so was such a weird pick in the context of Garland specifically. Eason was basically created in a lab to pair with a small guard and we instead picked a low ceiling 4 year college shooter. Oh well.....I swear guys, I won't talk about this for all of eternity. Just some draft retro, a year in.
I'll try to tag some draft nerds.
@MD13 @Randolphkeys @RchfldCavRaised @InBoobieWeTrust @Smooth @adam81king @Sir'Dom Pointer @Cavatt @stick @MirORich @Cement @NMCav @ajz20 @TyGuy @Derek @foucault87
Temp check on this draft. I want to continually post these, just to track the model but it seems to have put another strong performance in in 2022. The point of anything like this is continuing to be transparent about how it has performed, so that is why I like to do these.
The top 10 players in this draft in VORP, to date, came from the high success bucket. Ditto for BPM. The one breakthrough in win shares is Braun (10th) but the data just consistently has said, for 10 years here, that you need to be taking players in above median (0.79) PDIFF bucket.
Pick wise, 5 of the top 10 were non lottery picks and it just absolutely loved Walker, as a guy outside the draft think consensus. So that was a really big hit after a season.
And then the guys it didn't like also held up......sniffing out Johnny Davis as a landmine in the lottery. Maybe a couple guys who could stick in the league? But no one breaking through as of year 1.