I don't know if Baltimore is that close to the post-season, especially in the same division as the Yankees, Rays, Blue Jays, and Red Sox. I expect the Red Sox, with an unlimited budget, will quickly bounce back. The O's are the only team under .500 in that division.
I like the O's top five hitters (Mullens, Mancini, Santander, Mountcastle, and Hays). They say Rutschmann is a budding superstar but he's already 24 and is hitting .137 in his first 50 AB's. But only one of their starters has an ERA under 4.50 and two of them are over 6.00 in a year when offense is down. It looks to me like their only decent starter is Tyler Wells (2-4, 3.78) although they'll get Means back eventually.
The bullpen is impressive.
Looks like they need 3-4 starters, a couple more position players who can hit, and Rutschman to achieve his potential before they challenge for the post-season in that division. Their problem is the Yankees and Red Sox have unlimited budgets while the Rays and Jays always produce talent. Thank goodness the Guardians didn't end up in that division.