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2022 Season | Series #43 | Guardians @ Royals | Sep. 5-7, 2022

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Wham with the Right Hand

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After taking a beating at the hands of the Mariners and Orioles the Guardians hit the road to Kansas City for a three-games series against the 55-80 Royals. The Guardians hold a 6-4 season edge against the Royals with nine games to play. The Royals have been much better at home (32-37) while the Guardians are 35-34 on the road. Two evenly matched teams when playing in KC.

The Royals made some trades at the deadline, most notably sending Andrew Benintendi (.320/.785) to the Yankees and Whit Merrifield to the Jays. It didn’t seem to affect them much as they are 15-18 since the deadline, averaging just over four runs per game.

The Royals are hitting .232/.597 against Cleveland pitching this year and averaging exactly 3.0 runs per game. However, Benintendi hit .441/1.072 against us and he is thankfully on a team we don’t have to play the rest of the season. The Royals have three home runs against the Guardians in 10 games and all three of those home runs have been traded.

Nicky Lopez has been a thorn in our side, hitting .357/.848, and he’s unfortunately still on the team.

The Royals’ bullpen ranks dead last in both ERA and xFIP so the key in this series will be to drive up pitch counts and get to the bullpen by the 6th inning if not sooner.

That won’t be easy tonight with Brady Singer (7-4, 3.33) starting and the Guardians likely to be hung over from an early morning night flight due to yesterday’s rain delay. Singer went 7 innings allowing 3 runs against the G’s on July 8. His ERA for the last two months is an excellent 2.53. Get ready for another frustrating night watching the G’s flail away.

The key is to get on base; batters are hitting .211/.593 with nobody on but that jumps to .298/.820 when he goes to the stretch. But with RISP his BAA is .192 so he is good at getting out of jams. The G’s need to foul off pitches and drive up his pitch count and get to the bullpen as early as possible. The third time through the order opponents are hitting .321/.864 against him. It’s all about getting on base and driving up his pitch count.

Tristan McKenzie will try to break the Guardians’ six-game losing streak. On July 9 he pitched six shutout innings against the Royals. His ERA is 2.24 since July 1. Nicky Lopez is 5-for-16 against him and Hunter Dozier is 4-for-14 with 4 RBIs.

This should be another close, low scoring game as Singer is an excellent starter and has been very good the last two months, plus the Guardians will be wiped out from traveling. McKenzie has been even better and the Royals are missing their best hitter. However, they have some guys like Dozier, Witt, and Perez who can take a mistake deep so all it takes is one or two bad pitches to lose a game if you don't score.

Tomorrow night Bieber goes against lefty Kris Bubic (2-10, 5.47) and Wednesday’s starters have not been announced for either team.

The Twins are in New York for four games against the Yankees this week so hopefully we can separate from them a bit before going to Minnesota next weekend. That will be a huge series plus the Browns have their opener. Big, big sports weekend. With a day off Thursday the starters in Minnesota should be Quantrill, McKenzie, and Bieber.

Those pesky White Sox are on the west coast for three games against the Mariners and four against Oakland. Hopefully the Mariners treat them the way they treated us and we can also get a little help from the A’s.
 
I came into this thread going "oh, we should sweep this team", then I see we're only 6-4 against them.
 
Must win series.
Must win A game first.

I came into this thread going "oh, we should sweep this team", then I see we're only 6-4 against them.

If we don’t make the playoffs, it will come down to not wiping the floor of our bottom feeders in our division before we go to a more balanced schedule. 10-9 vs Det won’t do it. We need to take our current 6-4 to 12-7 (so 6-3) if not much better (to make up for Det).
 
Lets assess where we stand, because this was the date...after a long run against contending teams was over...that such an assessment made the most sense.

We are tied for the lead in a close three way stretch run.

We have 30 games left...18 at home and 12 away. We have one series left vs a contender outside the division....3 home games vs Tampa.

Minnesota has 30 games left...12 at home and 18 away. They have four games @ NY, the only left vs a contender outside the division.

Chicago has 28 games left...11 at home and 17 away, including ten on the West Coast. They have six away games left against contending teams outside the division....three each at Seattle and San Diego.

In head to head, we have 5 of 8 at home vs Minnesota....and 1 of four at home vs Chicago.

Minnesota has 3 of 8 at home vs Cleveland....and 3 of six at home vs Chicago.

Chicago has 3 of 4 at home vs Cleveland...and 3 of 6 at home vs Minnesota.

The schedule is skewed in our favor.
 
Lets assess where we stand, because this was the date...after a long run against contending teams was over...that such an assessment made the most sense.

We are tied for the lead in a close three way stretch run.

We have 30 games left...18 at home and 12 away. We have one series left vs a contender outside the division....3 home games vs Tampa.

Minnesota has 30 games left...12 at home and 18 away. They have four games @ NY, the only left vs a contender outside the division.

Chicago has 28 games left...11 at home and 17 away, including ten on the West Coast. They have six away games left against contending teams outside the division....three each at Seattle and San Diego.

In head to head, we have 5 of 8 at home vs Minnesota....and 1 of four at home vs Chicago.

Minnesota has 3 of 8 at home vs Cleveland....and 3 of six at home vs Chicago.

Chicago has 3 of 4 at home vs Cleveland...and 3 of 6 at home vs Minnesota.

The schedule is skewed in our favor.
a week ago we had 36 gams left - 24 at home, 12 on the road
 
Lets assess where we stand, because this was the date...after a long run against contending teams was over...that such an assessment made the most sense.

We are tied for the lead in a close three way stretch run.

We have 30 games left...18 at home and 12 away. We have one series left vs a contender outside the division....3 home games vs Tampa.

Minnesota has 30 games left...12 at home and 18 away. They have four games @ NY, the only left vs a contender outside the division.

Chicago has 28 games left...11 at home and 17 away, including ten on the West Coast. They have six away games left against contending teams outside the division....three each at Seattle and San Diego.

In head to head, we have 5 of 8 at home vs Minnesota....and 1 of four at home vs Chicago.

Minnesota has 3 of 8 at home vs Cleveland....and 3 of six at home vs Chicago.

Chicago has 3 of 4 at home vs Cleveland...and 3 of 6 at home vs Minnesota.

The schedule is skewed in our favor.

And after this week, when we get done visiting KC and Minnesota, we'll have 18 home games, including 5 vs Minnesota and 6 vs KC. But . . . . gotta start hitting.
 
And after this week, when we get done visiting KC and Minnesota, we'll have 18 home games, including 5 vs Minnesota and 6 vs KC. But . . . . gotta start hitting.
This is true, but our lack of hitting is more about the quality of pitching we have been facing than anything else.

Since August 1st, we have played...

4 vs Houston
3 vs Toronto
3 vs Baltimore
7 vs Seattle

In that time span, this is the ranking of those staffs in the AL....

Seattle....1st
Houston...2nd
Baltimore...5th
Toronto....6th

Lets see how the offense does the rest of the way....

KC............14th
Texas.......12th
Minnesota....7th
Chicago....10th
Anaheim....8th
Tampa....4th
 
Gary Sanchez murdered a baseball 480 feet, if the Twins offense ever get cooking... they have the hitting to pull away, long away from the Guardians.

2-2 in the bronx
 

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