I did the math in my magic number thread.
Minn is eliminated in 8 games (so technically still alive but <1% chance as they need to win out and Chi/Cle to lose out)
3 Key scenarios for next 3 days
We lose all 3 games in Chi town -- Chicago still need to win more in final 12 than us to win division thus we lose division Cle 6-6 means 7-5 for them)
We win 1 game in Chi town - Chicago need to win 4 more games than us in final 12 - we go 6-6 they need 10-2) - this is 3 game TB swing
We win 2 games in Chi - Chicago then needs to win 6 more games than us in final 12 - we go 6-6 they need to win out)
3-game series remaining after Thurs (Home in Bold)
We have Tex, Tampa, KC, KC
Chi has Det, Twins, Padres, Twins