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2022 Season | Series #7 | Guardians @ A's | April 29 - May 1, 2022

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Wham with the Right Hand

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Staggering under the load of a seven-game losing streak during which they are averaging 2.0 runs per game, the Guardians move up the coast to Oakland to face a team that is in even more dire straits offensively.

The A’s are 10-9 but have scored just 12 runs in their last 8 games. The A’s conducted something of a fire sale after last season but still find themselves one game over .500. They have not won or lost more than two consecutive games this year, unlike the G’s who bounce from one streak to another.

The A’s rank 25th or lower in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. They are 19th in runs per game, but were doing better in the first 11 games. In their last eight games they have scored more than two runs only once. For the season their offense ranks 23rd in wRC+ at 87. The Guardians are 11th at 110, but like the A’s, most of their offense came in the first 10 games.

This has to be the league’s two coldest offenses matching up this weekend. Little things could decide these games. Runs will probably be very hard to come by on both sides.

The A’s are better at pitching than hitting, ranking 11th in team ERA, 12th in WHIP, and 10th in xFIP.

Tonight Aaron Civale tries to get untracked and this is the team you want to face if you’re a struggling pitcher. The A’s will go with RHP Frankie Montas, who is 2-2, 3.28. Montas ranks 8th in WHIP at 0.81. Last year he was 13-9, 3.37. Last year he started two games against the Indians and held them to a 2.05 BA and a 2.25 ERA. Good luck against him tonight.

Players currently on the G’s roster are hitting .101 against him. Jose is 4-for-13 but nobody else has managed more than one hit. Straw is 0-for-7. Opposing batters are hitting .180 against him this year.

Civale is off to a horrible start with a 9.58 ERA in three starts. At home the A’s are hitting .186/.542, so this is a great team for him to be going against. For the season the A’s are averaging 2.28 runs per game at home.

The A’s are a little short on starters. Cole Irvin goes tomorrow against Bieber; Irvin has a 3.32 ERA in four starts. But Sunday they’re going with a 27-year-old rookie, Adam Oller, who in three starts has lasted only 9.2 innings with an ERA of 11.17.
 
If we loose this series against the A's, then we're in worse shape than we think.
What's messed up is you could say the A's have a better team identity, they know who they are and where they stand... We are in much more flux, despite being a "better" team...
 
The Guardians cannot survive when their DH/cleanup hitter is absolutely useless and they're playing better teams like the Yankees and Angels. Hopefully Franmil will get going, Kwan will get back, and we'll start getting some opponents who are not in first place. So far in six series we've played three first place teams (SF, Yankees, Angels).

Since starting the season 0-for-19 Austin Hedges is 7-for-24 (.292) with 4 RBI's in 8 games.
 
I will say this in the G's defense:
I have never recalled such a road trip that goes from NYC to LA without a day off. Hard to catch your breath and refocus if you are traveling and playing every day.
 
I will say this in the G's defense:
I have never recalled such a road trip that goes from NYC to LA without a day off. Hard to catch your breath and refocus if you are traveling and playing every day.
it aint nyc, but the reds finished our series and flew to la to play the dodgers the next day
 
I said it months ago and I'm still saying it. The way this team's roster and farm system is constructed makes it hard to have an idea of what they might do or how they will do it. Regardless of the outcome of this 3 game set with the A's nothing will have changed.......yet.

I don't think I could be any happier with the pitching thus far. Plesac had a rough outing against a good offensive team and Clase blew a save. Neither big deals in the grand scheme of things. We have some young SP we need to see as well, but there has to be an opportunity. It's likely someone eventually goes on the IL opening the door for a prospect, but I'm thinking a plan to trade a SP needs to be discussed and it probably has been.

The lineup is another story altogether. I don't like the way it's constructed at the moment, but I'm willing to wait and see what happens(like I have a choice). Outside of OGon, nobody is knocking down the door to get promoted and there is a legitimate argument that his skillset won't translate. Valera and Noel are a couple of yrs away. Jones swings and misses more than OGon. Freeman has returned to Columbus, but he's not exactly the type of hitter we need right now and we have no place to play him. Tito and the FO are way more patient than I am, that's for sure.
 
Per Baseball-Reference, Cleveland starters are 0.0 Wins Above Average and relievers are -0.2 Wins Above Average. This puts them at slightly below league average.

Meanwhile per Fangraphs, Cleveland position players are +6.3 offensive runs above average and 1.4 defensive runs above average (roughly +0.8 Wins Above Average).

(I mixed BR and FG because I prefer the way BR evaluates pitching and FG evaluates hitting, not to cherry-pick)

So we have a slightly below average pitching situation and an above average but scuffling offensive situation. Really just looks like an average baseball team.
 
It was just posted...

CF Straw
1B Miller
3B JRam
RF Naylor
DH Reyes
SS Gimenez
2B Clement
LF Palacios
C Hedges
Yeah just caught it...

WTF is the point of putting Hedges in between 2 of your better baserunners?

Edit I guess you could treat your 6,7,8,9 like a top of the order.

6/1 Gimenez
7/2 Clement - some wheels -
8/3 Palacios
9/4 Hedges

1/5 Straw
 
Do we have a Kwan update? Thought he was back tonight.
 
Straw struck out, then got tagged out, then was forced out at first.
Inning should be over, right?
 

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