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2023 Cleveland Browns - Regular Season Thread II

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Does anyone have the tiebreaker info in case the Browns and Ravens end up tied at the end of the year?
I think it's record against division, record against common opponents, and then record against AFC.

So if we both win week 18 (Us vs. Bengals, Ravens vs. Steelers) we will be tied at 4-2 in the division.

Common opponents, right now we're both 5-2. We lost to Seattle and Pittsburg. They Lost to Indy and Pittsburg. Both still play the Jags and the Rams. We play Houston, who Ravens beat, and Ravens play 49ers who we beat.
 
Early line:

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Denver has weaknesses, but they're on a roll and playing confidently. I'm sure the Browns have science'd this all out, but I hope they optimize the adjustment to time and altitude change. If the offense can't generate sustainable drives, the D will get winded. That could tilt things in what's expected to be a close game.
 
where exactly did strong go? 1 carry?

I was wondering the same thing. Strong might not be as good at pass protection. I think alot of the plans with DTR was to keep the defense guessing if we would run or pass so the personnel had to stay pretty constant. Hunt and Ford split the snaps pretty evenly yesterday.
 
I was wondering the same thing. Strong might not be as good at pass protection. I think alot of the plans with DTR was to keep the defense guessing if we would run or pass so the personnel had to stay pretty constant. Hunt and Ford split the snaps pretty evenly yesterday.
From what I've heard, Strong is terrible at pass protection.

And while he does have explosiveness, if you so much as lay a finger on him he'll go down. He's decent/average size for a RB but never breaks tackles and coaches get really frustrated with that.

We might see more of him against the Broncos who are less of a physical team than the Steelers.
 
Despite insiders stating better options would be available (although slightly harder to acquire), Berry really sat on his hands, told Siri to call Falco and called it a day.
 
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Sitting here as the 5 seed with a 7-3 record currently has us in the driver's seat. Hard to believe we are here, but we truly can run the table from here on out.

Houston is 1 GB with a H2H coming up.

Pittsburgh is 1GB with with 3 division games remaining. Unfortunately two ate against the Bengals. That being said, in addition to the divisional games they play the Cardinals with Kyler, the Colts and at Seattle. All teams that can out score Kenny Pickett.

Buffalo is 2.5 GB with 5 losses....all within the conference. They still play the Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys, Chargers and Dolphins.

Indianapolis is 2.5 GB with us owning the H2H. Pittsburgh, Bengals, Raiders and a week 18 match up with the Texans are all ahead.

Denver is 2.5 GB with us next week. The H2H is obviously very important for tiebreakers, but they then have the Chargers 2x, Raiders & a surging Lions team.

Cincinnati is 2.5 GB as well. We will have a week 18 matchup which I suspect they will have nothing to play for. The Bengals still play the Chiefs, us, Steelers twice, Vikings, Colts & Jags. Theyll be lucky to beat anyone aside from Pittsburgh.

Raiders, Chargers & Jets are all 3.5 GB with us currently owning tiebreakers. All are at 6 losses, but they would lose a H2H tiebreaker with the Browns due to conference losses.

We will have our game with the Jets (who should be out of it by then). The Chargers however only have 3 conference losses with a few games we need them to win. Every team they play is competing for a playoff seed with the exception of the Patriots.

.... and incase anyone is even looking at how we move up if we somehow take the division lead.

Jags have 2 conference losses (like us) with a H2H coming up. Currently tied at 3 losses.

Ravens are up 1.5 games. Only one divisional game against the Steelers on the schedule. If we tie within the division it comes down to "common games". Way too much up in the air, but they get a nice break after next week with the Chargers and then a bye. They will then have the Jags, Rams, 49ers, Steelers & Dolphins on the schedule.

Miami is also tied in the L column with 2 conference losses. We need them to beat the Ravens. So this will be a tricky team to get HFA over.

Kansas City is 1.5 games up but has 3 games within their division, a game against the Bills and tonight against Philly. I think it would be easier to pass them, over Miami.


With all this being said, we still need to win.
Ravens #1 seed in AFC with that Chiefs loss. If we can somehow match the Ravens at the end of their, we would have the tiebreaker.
 
Ravens #1 seed in AFC with that Chiefs loss. If we can somehow match the Ravens at the end of their, we would have the tiebreaker.

“ESPN Analytics” have KC 44% chance at #1 seed AFTER the loss.

Can’t spell analytics without anal which fits because their predictive stats are pulled right out of Mickey Mouse’s ass.

Way too many variables for their model to be anything other than a bullshit talking point.
 
Actually the drop wasn’t as bad as I thought it was so it might not. That said the ravens beating the bengals at home and us beating the Steelers at home dropping us 4.5% seems excessive but I’d need @natedagg to report with the conditional probabilities


We are underdogs at Denver. Then we play LAR with Matt Stanford. No NFL road game is easy, especially w a rookie QB.

Let’s see the injury report toward the end of the week. Safety and OTs. Walker out, who is calling the plays and audibles?

We just aren’t that sweet rn. We can be, but you know what NFL stands for:

Not
Freaking actuaria
L

Tough business this forecasting is. E
“ESPN Analytics” have KC 44% chance at #1 seed AFTER the loss.

Can’t spell analytics without anal which fits because their predictive stats are pulled right out of Mickey Mouse’s ass.

Way too many variables for their model to be anything other than a bullshit talking point.
as you… talk about it. #zugzwang :chuckle:
 
And right on cue Eagles fans have a hand painted bedsheet “Brotherly Shove That Into Your Power Rankings.”
 
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