Sitting here as the 5 seed with a 7-3 record currently has us in the driver's seat. Hard to believe we are here, but we truly can run the table from here on out.
Houston is 1 GB with a H2H coming up.
Pittsburgh is 1GB with with 3 division games remaining. Unfortunately two ate against the Bengals. That being said, in addition to the divisional games they play the Cardinals with Kyler, the Colts and at Seattle. All teams that can out score Kenny Pickett.
Buffalo is 2.5 GB with 5 losses....all within the conference. They still play the Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys, Chargers and Dolphins.
Indianapolis is 2.5 GB with us owning the H2H. Pittsburgh, Bengals, Raiders and a week 18 match up with the Texans are all ahead.
Denver is 2.5 GB with us next week. The H2H is obviously very important for tiebreakers, but they then have the Chargers 2x, Raiders & a surging Lions team.
Cincinnati is 2.5 GB as well. We will have a week 18 matchup which I suspect they will have nothing to play for. The Bengals still play the Chiefs, us, Steelers twice, Vikings, Colts & Jags. Theyll be lucky to beat anyone aside from Pittsburgh.
Raiders, Chargers & Jets are all 3.5 GB with us currently owning tiebreakers. All are at 6 losses, but they would lose a H2H tiebreaker with the Browns due to conference losses.
We will have our game with the Jets (who should be out of it by then). The Chargers however only have 3 conference losses with a few games we need them to win. Every team they play is competing for a playoff seed with the exception of the Patriots.
.... and incase anyone is even looking at how we move up if we somehow take the division lead.
Jags have 2 conference losses (like us) with a H2H coming up. Currently tied at 3 losses.
Ravens are up 1.5 games. Only one divisional game against the Steelers on the schedule. If we tie within the division it comes down to "common games". Way too much up in the air, but they get a nice break after next week with the Chargers and then a bye. They will then have the Jags, Rams, 49ers, Steelers & Dolphins on the schedule.
Miami is also tied in the L column with 2 conference losses. We need them to beat the Ravens. So this will be a tricky team to get HFA over.
Kansas City is 1.5 games up but has 3 games within their division, a game against the Bills and tonight against Philly. I think it would be easier to pass them, over Miami.
With all this being said, we still need to win.