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2024 Season | Series #14 | Guardians @ Rangers | May 13-15, 2024

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Wham with the Right Hand

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After salvaging the series finale against the White Sox the Guardians mess with Texas in a three-game series against the Rangers. The Guardians will be playing for their 14th, 15th, and 16th days in a row so fatigue may be a factor.

The Rangers are 22-20 overall and 10-9 at home. They just lost three straight to the Rockies on the road. Colorado had baseball’s worst record at 9-28 going into that series so that was a shocker as the Rangers had won five of six. According to powerrankingsguru.com the Rangers have played the third easiest schedule in the majors, so they might not be as good as their record suggests.

The Rangers have had a lot of injuries to starting pitchers as Scherzer, DeGrom, Mahle, Eovaldi, and Dunning are out. Eovaldi went 5-0 in the post-season last year as the Rangers won the World Series in five games. He has a 2.61 ERA in seven starts this year. Glad we're missing him.

The Rangers are very good offensively as they rank 6th in runs per game at 5.0. They are not as imposing from a power standpoint as some Rangers' teams in the past, ranking 18th in isolated power and home run percentage. In fact, they’re 27th in extra base hit percentage but 5th in batting average, so they hit a lot of singles.

They’re only 28th in average exit velocity so they are not big bangers. They are especially good with runners on base (.281/.774) and runners in scoring position (.309/.860). Their wRC+ is 121 in both those situations.

In short, the Rangers hit a lot of singles and excel at hitting with ducks on the pond. Their ballpark is ranked as the 7th most hitter friendly over the last three years and 6th easiest to homer in.

Their pitching is just OK as they rank 19th in team ERA. They’re around average in most categories but are 24th in walk percentage, so patience is a virtue against this staff. The one area where they are weak is stolen base percentage where they rank 28th. Opponents have been successful at 85% of their steal attempts so look for a lot of running by the Guardians, assuming they can get on. Lately they’ve been scoring all their runs via the long ball.

In terms of hitters the Rangers don’t have anybody who is killing it but they have five guys who have been productive.

1B Nathaniel Lowe .333/.938 vs RHP’s, .303/.832 overall
3B Josh Smith .282/.831
2B Marcus Semien .285/.795 with 29 RBI’s
RF Adolis Garcia .253/.765 with 31 RBI’s
C Jonah Heim .295/.742 with 26 RBI’s

Michael Lorenzen goes against Tanner Bibee in the opener. Lorenzen is a 32-year-old right-hander with a career mark of 42-40 with a 4.14 ERA. Not impressed? You should be. By the end of this season he’ll have been paid $32.5 million for those 42 wins.

After seven years starting for the Reds he’s been with four teams in the last three years. This year in five starts he is 2-2 with a 4.66 ERA.

Lorenzen has some extreme reverse splits as lefties are hitting just .111 against him (4-for-36) while right-handed hitters are roughing him up at .313/1.022. But Vogt will probably pack the lineup with left-handed bats. Some things never change.

Lorenzen has been alternating good and bad starts. Hard to know what to expect as he gave up six runs in his last start against Oakland but shut down the Royals on one run in six innings the previous start.

Speaking of getting roughed up, Bibee has allowed ten earned runs in nine innings over his last two starts, so both of Monday’s starters are coming off bad games. This could go either way.

Ben Lively goes on Tuesday against a yet to be named starter. Carlos Carrasco pitches the finale against veteran right-hander Jon Gray. Then the Guardians get a well-deserved day off on Thursday.
 
Since Kwan went down the Guardians' leadoff hitters are 3-for-31 in eight games. Wow.

In those eight games 17 of the Guardians' 31 runs have come on home runs. Kwan's .407 OBP at the top of the order is sorely missed.

I'm wondering if at some point Vogt just gives up and puts Fry in the leadoff spot. Or just moves everybody up one spot with Gimenez 1st, Jose 2nd, Josh 3rd, etc. But Gimenez is 3-for-34 in his last nine games.

If I were the manager I would have Jose lead off, Josh 2nd, Fry 3rd, Brennan 4th, and the rest doesn't matter. Might as well have your four best hitters come up as often as possible. You're also alternating left- and right-handed hitters at the top of the order.

Vogt has said that players should not consider where they are hitting in the order - just try to have a good at-bat every time. So why not put your best hitters at the top to try and get out to an early lead in the first inning? Why put guys like Florial, Rocchio, and Freeman in the spot where they are going to get the most at-bats? Those guys should be in the bottom third with their numbers.
 
Since Kwan went down the Guardians' leadoff hitters are 3-for-31 in eight games. Wow.

In those eight games 17 of the Guardians' 31 runs have come on home runs. Kwan's .407 OBP at the top of the order is sorely missed.

I'm wondering if at some point Vogt just gives up and puts Fry in the leadoff spot. Or just moves everybody up one spot with Gimenez 1st, Jose 2nd, Josh 3rd, etc. But Gimenez is 3-for-34 in his last nine games.

If I were the manager I would have Jose lead off, Josh 2nd, Fry 3rd, Brennan 4th, and the rest doesn't matter. Might as well have your four best hitters come up as often as possible. You're also alternating left- and right-handed hitters at the top of the order.

Vogt has said that players should not consider where they are hitting in the order - just try to have a good at-bat every time. So why not put your best hitters at the top to try and get out to an early lead in the first inning? Why put guys like Florial, Rocchio, and Freeman in the spot where they are going to get the most at-bats? Those guys should be in the bottom third with their numbers.
I'd probably have Brennan leading off with Jose 2nd followed by Naylor and then Fry.

Oddly enough, this team has been slugging a bit better, but with few guys on base so yeah...Kwan is missed. You can't replace Kwan with the same type of hitter. There's all of 2-3 in the entire league. The best to hope for is a hitter like Brennan that can give production even if it's a different type.
 
While an opposing pitcher may have reverse splits, IMO a manager has to look at his own players.

Should Vogt ignore what his RH batters have done vs RHers?

Freeman...62 wRC+
Arias...47 wRC+
Laureano...73 wRC+

Should Jose and Rocchio bat right handed vs Lorenzon?

(Fry should play against everybody.)

IMO Vogt should base his lineup upon what his players do best.
 
While an opposing pitcher may have reverse splits, IMO a manager has to look at his own players.

Should Vogt ignore what his RH batters have done vs RHers?

Freeman...62 wRC+
Arias...47 wRC+
Laureano...73 wRC+

Should Jose and Rocchio bat right handed vs Lorenzon?

(Fry should play against everybody.)

IMO Vogt should base his lineup upon what his players do best.
This is like basing pitching decisions on ERA at night vs day so far this year.

The sample is garbage. And I think you'll be the first to tell us that having a 29.5% K rate against RHP is firmly in the Not Good category, which is what Fry has done in the MLB so far.

Both Arias and Freeman have shown more hints of being able to hit RHP than Fry, to me.

When I see Fry, I see Ryan Raburn, with positional versatility, which is valuable but not something you play every day.
 
Odd number day means Manzardo gets to play (start). His last even number day he started was the 6th. Evidently you don't need to start everyday if you're a rook out of Columbus, so what the fuck are we waiting for on replacing Laureano with JRod?
 
Freeman
Gimenez
Ramirez
J. Naylor
Brennan
Manzardo
Florial
B. Naylor
Rocchio


I like this lineup
Like, in general, or as in, I like it as the best they can do? I can see no. 2 but not no. 1.
 
Odd number day means Manzardo gets to play (start). His last even number day he started was the 6th. Evidently you don't need to start everyday if you're a rook out of Columbus, so what the fuck are we waiting for on replacing Laureano with JRod?
Boyzardo has struggled, I think Vogts approach is just fine for now. Eventually yes, if Kyle continues to struggle, send him down and bring up JRod, KRod, LRod, and MRod. But for now? Vogt giving him sips until he shows he can handle his MLB liquor is an acceptable move.
 
Odd number day means Manzardo gets to play (start). His last even number day he started was the 6th. Evidently you don't need to start everyday if you're a rook out of Columbus, so what the fuck are we waiting for on replacing Laureano with JRod?

When’s the last time you made a positive post about anything or weren’t complaining about something?

What’s going on man? Take a seat and talk it out.
 
When’s the last time you made a positive post about anything or weren’t complaining about something?

What’s going on man? Take a seat and talk it out.
Oh, just got a whiff of bullshit from another thread how you can't call up a guy from Columbus (JRod) because he won't play everyday, and when you do call up a player you want to play him everyday. Well, Manzardo's case tells me something else. That and RL shouldn't be on this damn team for another second.
 
Oh, just got a whiff of bullshit from another thread how you can't call up a guy from Columbus (JRod) because he won't play everyday, and when you do call up a player you want to play him everyday. Well, Manzardo's case tells me something else. That and RL shouldn't be on this damn team for another second.

Tell me how you really feel about my opinion.

Maybe that’ll make you feel better.
 

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