- Joined
- Oct 3, 2019
- Messages
- 12,126
- Reaction score
- 35,136
- Points
- 148
The Guardians take their talents to South Beach for a three-game set against the Marlins. Miami is having a brutal season with a 21-41 record. They have lost 6 of 8 and their home record of 11-23 is actually worse than their road record. The Guardians are 19-13 on the road and have won 16 of 20.
The Marlins are better offensively at home, ranking 20th in home scoring at 4.03 runs per game. At home they are 20th in OBP, 25th in slugging, and 30th in ISO. They only have 25 home runs in 34 games at home. They are 29th in home run percentage, extra base hit percentage, and 28th in walk percentage at home. However, they are 8th in hard hit percentage and 6th in BABIP, so maybe they just don’t elevate the ball much. They’re 12th in batting average at home but 20th in scoring because they don’t walk much and have little pop.
Pitching is the problem. Their home ERA is last in baseball at 5.20. They allow a lot of baserunners, ranking 29th in WHIP. They do prevent home runs, ranking 4th lowest in home run percentage, but they’re 26th in walk percentage so it looks like they would rather walk a batter than throw something crushable.
Defense is part of the pitching problem as they are last in the majors in zone rating. They’re 25th in defensive runs saved and 24th in defense overall. The result is their staff ranks 27th in opponents’ BABIP. A lot of batted balls fall in against this team.
Their top hitter who plays regularly is CF Jazz Chisholm Jr (one of the cooler names in the league). He’s hitting .247/.735. Next is former Guardian Josh Bell at .255/.716. Other than those two nobody has an OPS over .704 among the every day players.
Tim Anderson is hitting .188/.427 at 30 years old. I wonder if that punch by Jose affected his eyesight or something. In four years his OPS has declined from .886 to .427. What happened to him?
The opener pits Logan Allen against 24-year-old lefty Ryan Weathers who is 3-5 with a 3.41 ERA in 12 starts. His WHIP is 1.12 so he’s having a good year. However, his home ERA is 5.33 against 2.16 on the road. For his career he’s 8-20 with a 5.13 ERA, but he’s pitching much better this year.
The first time through the order Weathers is awesome with a slash line of .120/.365. But the second time through it jumps to .319/.896, so it’s a matter of getting a look at his pitches the first time through and then jumping him the second.
Current Guardians are 5-for-9 off him and David Fry hit a 3-run homer in his only at-bat against Weathers. But his numbers are much better this year than even last year when his ERA was 6.56.
Logan Allen is 6-3 with a 5.83 ERA. He is at or near the top in run support which explains the high number of wins despite the embarrassing ERA. He’s allowed 10 runs in his last 7.1 innings so he needs to get back on track. He has had eight days of rest since getting shelled by the Rockies so he’s pitched just 1.2 innings in the last 13 days.
Allen is better on the road (4.84 ERA versus 7.33 at home). He gets abused by right-handed hitters (.317/.948) and with nobody on base opponents are hitting .379/1.111. With runners on they’re hitting .218. I wonder if he subconsciously relaxes with nobody on base because he is getting drilled when pitching from a windup. Maybe he’s tipping his pitches.
Tim Anderson is 4-for-11 against Allen; the rest of the Marlins are 3-for-17. This is a big start for Allen against a weak offensive team; he needs to get back on the horse. He especially needs to figure out why he’s getting hammered with nobody on base and come up with a better approach against right-handed hitters.
Ben Lively goes against a yet-to-be-named starter Saturday and Cookie faces Trevor Rogers, 1-7, 5.68 ERA on Sunday. The Guardians have won 16 of 20 while the Fish have lost four in a row.
The Marlins are better offensively at home, ranking 20th in home scoring at 4.03 runs per game. At home they are 20th in OBP, 25th in slugging, and 30th in ISO. They only have 25 home runs in 34 games at home. They are 29th in home run percentage, extra base hit percentage, and 28th in walk percentage at home. However, they are 8th in hard hit percentage and 6th in BABIP, so maybe they just don’t elevate the ball much. They’re 12th in batting average at home but 20th in scoring because they don’t walk much and have little pop.
Pitching is the problem. Their home ERA is last in baseball at 5.20. They allow a lot of baserunners, ranking 29th in WHIP. They do prevent home runs, ranking 4th lowest in home run percentage, but they’re 26th in walk percentage so it looks like they would rather walk a batter than throw something crushable.
Defense is part of the pitching problem as they are last in the majors in zone rating. They’re 25th in defensive runs saved and 24th in defense overall. The result is their staff ranks 27th in opponents’ BABIP. A lot of batted balls fall in against this team.
Their top hitter who plays regularly is CF Jazz Chisholm Jr (one of the cooler names in the league). He’s hitting .247/.735. Next is former Guardian Josh Bell at .255/.716. Other than those two nobody has an OPS over .704 among the every day players.
Tim Anderson is hitting .188/.427 at 30 years old. I wonder if that punch by Jose affected his eyesight or something. In four years his OPS has declined from .886 to .427. What happened to him?
The opener pits Logan Allen against 24-year-old lefty Ryan Weathers who is 3-5 with a 3.41 ERA in 12 starts. His WHIP is 1.12 so he’s having a good year. However, his home ERA is 5.33 against 2.16 on the road. For his career he’s 8-20 with a 5.13 ERA, but he’s pitching much better this year.
The first time through the order Weathers is awesome with a slash line of .120/.365. But the second time through it jumps to .319/.896, so it’s a matter of getting a look at his pitches the first time through and then jumping him the second.
Current Guardians are 5-for-9 off him and David Fry hit a 3-run homer in his only at-bat against Weathers. But his numbers are much better this year than even last year when his ERA was 6.56.
Logan Allen is 6-3 with a 5.83 ERA. He is at or near the top in run support which explains the high number of wins despite the embarrassing ERA. He’s allowed 10 runs in his last 7.1 innings so he needs to get back on track. He has had eight days of rest since getting shelled by the Rockies so he’s pitched just 1.2 innings in the last 13 days.
Allen is better on the road (4.84 ERA versus 7.33 at home). He gets abused by right-handed hitters (.317/.948) and with nobody on base opponents are hitting .379/1.111. With runners on they’re hitting .218. I wonder if he subconsciously relaxes with nobody on base because he is getting drilled when pitching from a windup. Maybe he’s tipping his pitches.
Tim Anderson is 4-for-11 against Allen; the rest of the Marlins are 3-for-17. This is a big start for Allen against a weak offensive team; he needs to get back on the horse. He especially needs to figure out why he’s getting hammered with nobody on base and come up with a better approach against right-handed hitters.
Ben Lively goes against a yet-to-be-named starter Saturday and Cookie faces Trevor Rogers, 1-7, 5.68 ERA on Sunday. The Guardians have won 16 of 20 while the Fish have lost four in a row.
