2026 Season | Series #12 | Guardians @ Royals | May 4-7, 2026

Game 3 preview:

After messing up their best chance for a win with Gavin Williams going against a 29-year-old with 7 career wins (now 8), the Guardians try to keep their hopes alive for a split behind Joey Cantillo. It will be a battle of lefties as the Royals are starting Cole Ragans, who is 1-4 with a 5.29 ERA. The Guardians have hit lefties much better than righties this year, so maybe we'll see more than 3 runs.

Cantillo is 1-1 with a 3.67 ERA. He faced the Royals a month ago, allowing 1 run on 3 hits in 5.2 innings. Cantillo had a 2.61 ERA after four starts, but in his last three starts he's allowed 8 earned runs in 13.2 innings for a 5.54 ERA. He needs to get his mojo back.

Right-handed hitters are batting .275/.850 off him and he'll probably get Garcia, Witt, and Perez in the first inning so he needs to be ready. He struck out 9 Royals in his start last month so it will be interesting to see what they can do now that they've seen him once.

The first three times through the batting order Cantillo's BAA's are .193, .278, and .375 so with each subsequent look batters are more successful. I'm sure his numbers against right-handed hitters the third time he faces them are not good.

Bobby Witt, Jr is 3-for-9 against Cantillo with a pair of doubles, but Joey has been very tough against the rest of them. They're 5-for-45 off him, to be exact. Even with Witt's numbers included they're hitting .148 off him with no home runs.

Cole Ragans has made seven starts with a 5.29 ERA. His starts have been all over the place. He shut out the Tigers for 6 innings on 1 hit. Same for the Twins only with 4 hits. He went 6 against the Angels giving up 1 run. But he also had a couple of bad starts, The Yankees lit him up for 7 runs and in his last start the Mariners got 4 runs in 5.1 innings.

Against the Guardians he allowed 3 runs in the first inning before leaving after being hit on the thumb by a line drive.

In two starts at Kauffman his ERA is 0.75. On the road it's 7.97. He's struggled against left-handed hitters (.257/1.070). Too many walks and home runs. He's tough with RISP (2-for-15) and he maintains his effectiveness even three times through the order.

Hedges is 3-for-5 off him but the rest of the Guardians have not hit him well. Kwan is 4-for-14 while DeLauter and Manzardo are 1-for-1. All three are left-handed and Ragans has reverse splits. Jose gets to bat right-handed but he's just 2-for-14 against Ragans.

Ragans has had three very good starts, three bad starts, and one where he had to leave in the first inning due to a thumb bruise. No telling what we'll get on Wednesday.

DeLauter will try to extend his 9-game hitting streak.
 
Isaac Collins, the guy I wanted to trade for....all it took was Timmy Herrin

DeLauter using the whole field hits 300, the pull/lifters barely over 200 and totally reliant on HRs. Maybe there's a lesson to be learned here.
The Brewers specifically targeted Angel Zerpa, not Tim Herrin. Please stop making things up you don't know.

Delauter is a talented hitter, far more talented than others. This is not a matter of hitting philosophy, it's a difference in sheer talent.
 
The Royals have won 10 of their last 13. I don't get why they're only 17-19. They look like a really good team to me.
You evidently didn't notice that they went through hitting woes very similar to what we're going through now. In fact, they went through stretches far worse than what we're experiencing. Go back and look at their scores. The start of their season was exceedingly frustrating. Now the breaks are going their way. After all, it's baseball. Hope the worm turns for us soon or they'll sweep us out of town. Don't let the numbers fool you, Cole Ragans is by far their best pitcher.
 
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Idk, just don't think the numbers bear out to Kwan's struggles being tracable to being pull-and-lift happy. It may be an org philosophy and seen more negatively in someone like Manzo but Kwan is just swinging weak and hitting weak.
 
Last year on May 5th, Jose's wRC+ was 104. Fans were saying the exact same thing as they are today.

Whats wrong with Jose?

This year so far, Jose's wRC+ is 103.

Nothing is wrong with Jose. Worry about other things.
 
The Guardians as a team have the highest pull percentage in MLB, and the 6th highest FB%.

We have the lowest EV90, the 5th highest LA, the 5th lowest barrel%, and the second lowest hard hit%.

It is obvious that the org is emphasizing pull and lift in an org full of players that have tools that don't fit the plan.

We are diametrically opposed to the old school teachings of Charlie Manual and Charlie Lau.

We've seen it in the philosophy of being willing to strike out more, if it means more power. It's even been mentioned by Kwan and Kayfus.
 
This all began when, early in their MLB careers, the Indians brought Jose and Lindor to Cleveland for a winter hitting school. The goal was to teach two excellent contact hitters to hit for power. It worked spectacularly. EVs went up. LAs went up. In Joses case, they soared. Pull percentages went up. Who could ask for more?

The problem is that everyone is not a HOF talent. Very, very few can come close to hitting like Jose Ramirez. Most would fail miserably if they even tried.

The only cookie cutter approach that works is a lot closer to Charlie Manual's than whoever is making the decisions in Cleveland. CM's approach can be massaged, altered, geared to individual players' natural abilities. Strict pull and lift cannot.
 
Idk, just don't think the numbers bear out to Kwan's struggles being tracable to being pull-and-lift happy. It may be an org philosophy and seen more negatively in someone like Manzo but Kwan is just swinging weak and hitting weak.

Most of his oppo pops are pull lift gone wrong. Valera had plenty of them, often not even realizing they went the other way.

I see a hitter whos trying too hard to impact the ball. This is stress for his body (wear and tear) AND produces worse results (lower EV), it's a vicious cycle. He needs to be free and easy again.

Just watch DeLauter. He always looks at a pitch and hits it where it's pitched, not forcing the ball to hit to a direction where it's impossible to do.

Chase hits 300, the pull lifters barely over Mendoza line (after years of good minors BA)

Go. With. The. Pitch.

Guards hitters have completely abandoned this approach (other than Chase) and gone with grooved swings which will only punish mistake pitches and can be gameplanned and pitched to easily.

It's a terrible hitting mantra based off (chasing) results without the approach to actually maximize them.

It's simple psychology. If you are hellbent and want/chase something really bad, you're less likely to achieve it.
 
The Brewers specifically targeted Angel Zerpa, not Tim Herrin. Please stop making things up you don't know.

Delauter is a talented hitter, far more talented than others. This is not a matter of hitting philosophy, it's a difference in sheer talent.

Two bad arguments in one post.

1. You accuse the other of not knowing shit, while claiming you know. All the while missing the point.

2. Basically the Elon Musk is a genius argument.

Some of the players currently playing alongside Chase had as good if not better minors numbers. I just hope they don't ruin him too.

This is Grant Fink resumee as a pro hitter BTW. 297 K in 889 PA all in A Ball or lower. Lol.

YOU GOTTA GET TO YOUR A SWINGS!!!!

 
Hilarious.

Todd Van Burkleo

Chris Valaika

Grant Fink

All brought in to "teach" the same thing?

Riiiiiiiiight.

I've never seen a search more intense for a boogeyman to explain the team's hitting woes. Now it's all Grant Fink's fault.

It's a talent deficit, pure and simple, having nothing to do with organizational "hitting philosophy."

Hitters are born, people, not made.

Our talent evaluation sucks. We don't know why Kevin McGonigle works and Jace LaViollete doesn't.

Everyone wants to blather about "lift and pull" to have something to feel good complaining about, go right ahead.

All hitting instruction comes down to two things:

1. Put yourself in the best position to get a pitch you can hit.

2. Hit it.

The rest is nonsense. As for Charlie Manuel, guess who had the talent on hand to look like a good hitting coach? I'll grant you that Charlie had an old school ability to relate to players, but that's about it. Who can't be a great hitting coach with Jim Thome around?

It is particularly amusing to act like Chase Delauter has so far "ignored" what is dragging down others. I guess he has a steely mind and resolve that allows him to do what works while his teammates are so weak mentally they give in to autocratic directives?

Listen to yourself, people, we're acting nutty. Nobody has preached more than I have to take pitches right back where they came from, but even I'm not silly enough to ascribe our inability to hit changeups, our crappy approaches, or a failure to recognize pitches to a "hitting philosophy."

It's talent, pure and simple. Either you can calm your mind and have the physical and mental tools to "see ball, hit ball" or you can't.
 
Which teammates of CDL had as good or better numbers than him?

One...CJ Kayfus.
 
Last year on May 5th, Jose's wRC+ was 104. Fans were saying the exact same thing as they are today.

Whats wrong with Jose?

This year so far, Jose's wRC+ is 103.

Nothing is wrong with Jose. Worry about other things.
"Nothing is wrong with Jose"? Nothing?

You are correct, it is always about the 35 game mark, sometimes even a bit later, when Jose hits his stride, and becomes the hitter we all know we can depend on anchoring the middle of the order.

I wish splits information existed so a comparison could be made with previous years' starts, but what I find particularly unsettling this year is Jose is just so, SO bad against right-handed pitching.

One of Jose's hallmarks over the years were his relatively balanced splits. Oh, because of small sample sizes, his performance against LHP might vary some, but generally speaking, one of the things that made Jose so good was he was split-neutral. After all, his career OPS splits are .851 vs. RHP and .859 vs. LHP, and I bet coming into this year they were dead even.

Because this year, something is terribly wrong. Jose is hitting .182/.314/.303/.617 vs. RHP.

Or maybe something is "terribly right"? Because he's hitting .289/.372/.658/1.030 vs. LHP

Maybe it all starts to correct, and it all comes out in the wash, but right now Jose is looking like an extreme version of Ozzie Albies at the plate, and that ain't good. So yeah, I can't help but be concerned when I see something so vastly different in his game than what we're accustomed to seeing.
 
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"Nothing is wrong with Jose"? Nothing?

You are correct, it is always about the 35 game mark, sometimes even a bit later, when Jose hits his stride, and becomes the hitter we all know we can depend on anchoring the middle of the order.

I wish splits information existed so a comparison could be made with previous years' starts, but what I find particularly unsettling this year is Jose is just so, SO bad against right-handed pitching.

One of Jose's hallmarks over the years were his relatively balanced splits. Oh, because of small sample sizes, his performance against LHP might vary some, but generally speaking, one of the things that made Jose so good was he was split-neutral. After all, his career splits are .851 vs. RHP and .859 vs. LHP, and I bet coming into this year they were dead even.

Because this year, something is terribly wrong. Jose is hitting .182/.314/.303/.617 vs. RHP.

Or maybe something is "terribly right"? Because he's hitting .289/.372/.658/1.030 vs. LHP

Maybe it all starts to correct, and it all comes out in the wash, but right now Jose is looking like an extreme version of Ozzie Albies at the plate, and that ain't good. So yeah, I can't help but be concerned when I see something so vastly different in his game than what we're accustomed to seeing.
Jose still has little protection behind him. Manzo is working through his issues and looking better the past couple of weeks, but still flails at a lot of pitches. Hoskins is a professional hitter whose OBP is creeping up towards his prime Philly years but the bat has lost its thump. Hoskins is giving late stage Paul Sorrento vibes.
 
Hilarious.

Todd Van Burkleo

Chris Valaika

Grant Fink

All brought in to "teach" the same thing?

Riiiiiiiiight.

I've never seen a search more intense for a boogeyman to explain the team's hitting woes. Now it's all Grant Fink's fault.

It's a talent deficit, pure and simple, having nothing to do with organizational "hitting philosophy."

Hitters are born, people, not made.

Our talent evaluation sucks. We don't know why Kevin McGonigle works and Jace LaViollete doesn't.

Everyone wants to blather about "lift and pull" to have something to feel good complaining about, go right ahead.

All hitting instruction comes down to two things:

1. Put yourself in the best position to get a pitch you can hit.

2. Hit it.

The rest is nonsense. As for Charlie Manuel, guess who had the talent on hand to look like a good hitting coach? I'll grant you that Charlie had an old school ability to relate to players, but that's about it. Who can't be a great hitting coach with Jim Thome around?

It is particularly amusing to act like Chase Delauter has so far "ignored" what is dragging down others. I guess he has a steely mind and resolve that allows him to do what works while his teammates are so weak mentally they give in to autocratic directives?

Listen to yourself, people, we're acting nutty. Nobody has preached more than I have to take pitches right back where they came from, but even I'm not silly enough to ascribe our inability to hit changeups, our crappy approaches, or a failure to recognize pitches to a "hitting philosophy."

It's talent, pure and simple. Either you can calm your mind and have the physical and mental tools to "see ball, hit ball" or you can't.
I agree with some of this. A kid either has a hit tool, or he doesnt. Without it...Arias may be the poster boy...a kid isnt gonna hit in MLB.

Drafting a position player without the ability to consistently make contact is akin to throwing money away.

But the Guardians have definitely and demonstrably gone the way of extreme pull and lift. Hitting it where it is pitched is a foreign concept.

This doesnt mean that a batter should abandon pull and lift. But if he shows he can hit it where it is pitched, it takes away the pitcher's usually best weapon...and then he will get more pitches to pull and lift.
 
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