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Cleveland Browns 2020 Regular Season: What a Ride!
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8-8
Uneven play offensively and defensively. Injuries pile up. Just miss wild card.
Uneven play offensively and defensively. Injuries pile up. Just miss wild card.
DVOA projections and corresponding playoff odds are up.
www.footballoutsiders.com
Overall 37.4% chance of making the playoffs.
In addition to the "Hell Freezes Over" CLE vs. DET SB odds again, there are even more scenarios noted, it seems, than last year where we will be, um, drafting 31st or 32nd.
1.5% chance overall of, er, 32nd, and 2.0% chance of 31st.
2020 DVOA Projections
Our updated DVOA projections for 2020 still have New Orleans and Kansas City, and then Baltimore, far ahead of the rest of the league. COVID-19 opt outs help contribute to a good amount of movement since the book, especially with a couple of larger drops by teams in the AFC East.
Overall 37.4% chance of making the playoffs.
In addition to the "Hell Freezes Over" CLE vs. DET SB odds again, there are even more scenarios noted, it seems, than last year where we will be, um, drafting 31st or 32nd.
1.5% chance overall of, er, 32nd, and 2.0% chance of 31st.
MikeOC33
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6-10
New offense, not as much time to install leads to a shaky start. Covid off season leads to an increase in injuries across the league. The Brownies are not at the point where their depth can hold the line with injuries, especially o-line, def secondary and LB.
I think after 7 or 8 games the offense will look better. The defense won't be a top ten, but they will be the strength of the team this year. Doesn't seem that a running attack/TE heavy offense will be good at playing from behind, so they better hope the defense steps up BIG time.
Hope I am wrong and the team can at least play 500 ball, or better, but this is 2020. Has anything gone right in 2020?
New offense, not as much time to install leads to a shaky start. Covid off season leads to an increase in injuries across the league. The Brownies are not at the point where their depth can hold the line with injuries, especially o-line, def secondary and LB.
I think after 7 or 8 games the offense will look better. The defense won't be a top ten, but they will be the strength of the team this year. Doesn't seem that a running attack/TE heavy offense will be good at playing from behind, so they better hope the defense steps up BIG time.
Hope I am wrong and the team can at least play 500 ball, or better, but this is 2020. Has anything gone right in 2020?
MikeOC33
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Opening day score? Damn, Crackmore laying the wood. Will not watch.
JDailey23
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For those who forgot. Chubb ran wild on BMore....in BMore last season. They put a good whopping on them as a team. It’s gonna be a challenge, but the BROWNS have something to prove and have done it before.
Except a new system install with no game time practice versus a team returning a system, on both sides of the ball. Week one is not indicative of the season.
Browns go 6-10. Again.
I'mWithDan
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I've always said, a new system can be an advantage if the coaches know what they are doing and the players are good.
So if we believe in Stefanski and we think we have good offensive talent, Baltimore having no tape on us is an advantage.
So is having the entire training camp scheming to stop their offense.
Week 1 is a nice competency test for our coaches IMO.
Bob_The_Cat
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It's not about being pessimistic. It's about taking a realistic look at what's there. Actually, in all honesty, I can't remember a single time over the past 20 years where I was optimistic about a season and the Browns did nothing but fall on their faces. Truthfully I like the coaching hires, but they're still rookies at this point. I like some of the picks, though I have serious concerns over Wills' ability to adapt to LT and what that could mean short-and-long-term
In terms of the D, Delpit's done. He was supposed to be a huge addition and help shore up the secondary. Karl Joseph is coming off a season-ending right foot injury that happened in week 9 and was still a limited participant to start camp. He also tore his right ACL in college and has missed a number of games over his first four years in the league. Greedy's had his own injury concerns, missed four games last year, and is going to miss some to start the year. Ward has a laundry list of injury concerns, and Johnson is still recovering from his spleen injury. All of our starters or projected starters in the secondary have dicey histories in terms of staying healthy and overall we lack quality depth in that area.
Things are pretty barren at linebacker and will be especially so until Mack gets back. Not really much to say there.
That being said, the line should be a strength. The biggest problem I see is that teams are going to destroy the Browns defense over the middle of the field because there's just nothing there. Any team that is good at running between the tackles and has a QB that can exploit crossing routes, seams, posts, and middle screens is going to shred this defense. Fortunately or unfortunately, the Ravens offense is basically built perfectly to do this very thing, so we'll get a good look early on to see what happens.
Kbiz
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Agreed - offensively, we have as good of weapons as any team in the league but we will only go as far as our coaching allows. I think Baker's skillset is perfect for this type of offense but if he can't get it going early, Stefanski should be able to adjust much quicker than Kitchens thanks to our RB and TE committees. He has the intelligence to use a playbook outside of NFL Blitz.
Defensively there are some question marks but if we can get the best out of our D-line, everything else will be much easier. I really like our secondary depth and we were a different team when Myles was in last year. Losing him was deflating.
I think we may take some lumps early on and playing the Ravens WK 1 sucks but if our coaches can actually adjust to our play throughout the season, I can see a 9-7 wildcard berth.
Huber.
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I doubt they spend much time in training camp scheming to stop one opponent before the week of. Especially during a limited training camp and new coaching staff.
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Vee-Rex
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Being pessimistic is fine. I guess I put more weight into scheme and preparation than having a couple weak areas on defense. We could have pro bowlers everywhere and still have a bad defense or we could have some gaping holes and still do fairly decently. Coaching schemes and game-planning is ENORMOUSLY overlooked in this league, especially on the defensive end.
I've been a Browns fan for 20 years myself, so I know how exhausting it can be. But there's so many variables at play here and I just think it's kinda dramatic to be making any absolute declarations about this team from any angle.
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