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Looking at some of Collin's numbers....
He's shooting a little more this year, 24.8 field goal attempts per 100 possessions compared to 23.0 last year.
His shooting percentage is up from 43.0 to 44.0%, but his 3-point percentage has dropped from 40.2% to 30.2%, which is pretty steep. His 2-point percentage is up from 44.0% to 47.9%.
He's also drawing more fouls, 5.9 free throws per 100 possesions against 4.9 last year. Basically his 3-point shooting rate is about the same but he's shooting more 2-pointers.
Sexton's average shot distance has decreased from 13.5 to 11.0 feet since last year. From 0-3 feet his percentage of shot attempts increased from 26.6 to 33.4%. He's taking it to the rim more. His percentage of shots from 3-10 feet (mostly floaters) is up from 13.6 to 21.1%. So nearly 55% of his shots are within 10' of the rim.
His percentage in the 10-16' range has dropped from 17.0 to 14.3%. Fewer mid-range jumpers. His percentage from 16 feet plus has dropped precipitously, from 22.1% to only 6.4%.
Sexton is transitioning from a jump shooter to a slasher. His shot percentage from further than 10' is down nearly 50% from last year.
His steals are up from 0.8 to 1.4 per 100 possessions, an increase of 75%. His turnovers have dropped from 3.5 to 2.9 per 100. So there's some good stuff going on. Steals are up, turnovers are down, shooting percentage is up, and he's drawing more fouls. His turnover rate is in the 85th percentile for his position. Garland's is in the 2nd percentile; he's a turnover machine compared to Sexton.
But he's not a great offensive player. His points per shot attempt (103.3 per 100 shots) is the third worst on the Cavs, better than only Garland and Delly. Love, Clarkson and Nance are all north of 115.
He's awful at passing, ranking in the 2nd percentile in assist percentage for his position. He's basically the worst passer in the league for a point guard.
Is he a better player than last year? He's different, more of a slasher, less of a jump shooter. They seem to be transitioning him from a point guard to a shooting guard. I'm not sure if a 6'2" shooting guard who mainly attacks the rim can carve out a great career in this league, but Sexton has some things going for him.
One, he's effective in the open floor, beating opponents to the rim with sheer speed.
Two, he can get by his man in the half-court game and is developing an effective floater to increase his ability to finish without getting his shot blocked. He's also drawing more fouls.
Three, he has demonstrated that he can knock down the 3-pointer. He hit 40% last year on 296 attempts. That wasn't an accident. If Sexton can get back to being a high 30's or 40% shooter on 3's he could be an effective offensive player who can burn you from downtown, in the open floor, and in the half-court on blow-bys.
That being said, I think the Cavs' future at the 2-guard is Kevin Porter, Jr. They may end up with a three guard rotation of Sexton, Garland, and Porter after Clarkson moves on. That wouldn't be bad.
He's shooting a little more this year, 24.8 field goal attempts per 100 possessions compared to 23.0 last year.
His shooting percentage is up from 43.0 to 44.0%, but his 3-point percentage has dropped from 40.2% to 30.2%, which is pretty steep. His 2-point percentage is up from 44.0% to 47.9%.
He's also drawing more fouls, 5.9 free throws per 100 possesions against 4.9 last year. Basically his 3-point shooting rate is about the same but he's shooting more 2-pointers.
Sexton's average shot distance has decreased from 13.5 to 11.0 feet since last year. From 0-3 feet his percentage of shot attempts increased from 26.6 to 33.4%. He's taking it to the rim more. His percentage of shots from 3-10 feet (mostly floaters) is up from 13.6 to 21.1%. So nearly 55% of his shots are within 10' of the rim.
His percentage in the 10-16' range has dropped from 17.0 to 14.3%. Fewer mid-range jumpers. His percentage from 16 feet plus has dropped precipitously, from 22.1% to only 6.4%.
Sexton is transitioning from a jump shooter to a slasher. His shot percentage from further than 10' is down nearly 50% from last year.
His steals are up from 0.8 to 1.4 per 100 possessions, an increase of 75%. His turnovers have dropped from 3.5 to 2.9 per 100. So there's some good stuff going on. Steals are up, turnovers are down, shooting percentage is up, and he's drawing more fouls. His turnover rate is in the 85th percentile for his position. Garland's is in the 2nd percentile; he's a turnover machine compared to Sexton.
But he's not a great offensive player. His points per shot attempt (103.3 per 100 shots) is the third worst on the Cavs, better than only Garland and Delly. Love, Clarkson and Nance are all north of 115.
He's awful at passing, ranking in the 2nd percentile in assist percentage for his position. He's basically the worst passer in the league for a point guard.
Is he a better player than last year? He's different, more of a slasher, less of a jump shooter. They seem to be transitioning him from a point guard to a shooting guard. I'm not sure if a 6'2" shooting guard who mainly attacks the rim can carve out a great career in this league, but Sexton has some things going for him.
One, he's effective in the open floor, beating opponents to the rim with sheer speed.
Two, he can get by his man in the half-court game and is developing an effective floater to increase his ability to finish without getting his shot blocked. He's also drawing more fouls.
Three, he has demonstrated that he can knock down the 3-pointer. He hit 40% last year on 296 attempts. That wasn't an accident. If Sexton can get back to being a high 30's or 40% shooter on 3's he could be an effective offensive player who can burn you from downtown, in the open floor, and in the half-court on blow-bys.
That being said, I think the Cavs' future at the 2-guard is Kevin Porter, Jr. They may end up with a three guard rotation of Sexton, Garland, and Porter after Clarkson moves on. That wouldn't be bad.
