Cedi has been a major disappointment and he appears to be blowing a golden opportunity this season. At the beginning of the year I thought his minutes would be cut significantly. The Cavs had just used their #5 pick on a small forward. They had Dylan Windler, a first round pick the year before, ready to go and they had been raving about him. There was also Kevin Porter Jr who was seen as a player who could handle the 2 or 3. Finally, the Cavs had been very successful at the end of the previous season with a big front line of Drummond or TT at center, Love at PF, and Nance at SF. It looked to me like Cedi would be the odd man out.
But not so fast. Porter started the season in time out and was traded. Windler missed some time with an injury. Love went down right away, forcing the Cavs to play Nance exclusively at the 4. Then Nance went down. Not wanting to start Wade at the 4 JBB replaced Nance with Cedi. The Cavs traded for Taurean Prince, but he also missed some games.
The end result is Cedi started 15 of 36 games in the first half and has played over 900 minutes so far. He's gotten a real opportunity. He's in his fourth NBA season and will be 26 next month. He has youth, experience, and he's gotten plenty of minutes. No excuses.
However, he's done nothing to establish a role going forward. In January he shot 38.9% from the field - an extremely low percentage. To make things worse, in February he shot 35.3%. On 3-point attempts he made 36.2% in January and 27.1% in February. In the first two games of March he's shooting 26.7%. Among league qualifiers he ranks 129 out of 130 in shooting percentage. In 3-point percentage he ranks 146 out of 162. In effective field goal percentage he ranks 122 out of 130.
According to cleaningtheglass.com, which ranks players against other players at their position, Cedi is in the 14th percentile in both effective field goal percentage and points per shot attempt. He's also a below average rebounder for a forward, ranking in the 40th and 41st percentile in percentage of offensive and defensive rebounds. He's in the 9th percentile in shot blocking percentage.
On the positive side he's a good passer, ranking in the 71st percentile in assists per usage rate. He also protects the ball very well, ranking in the 80th percentile in turnover percentage.
But the bottom line is that compared to other forwards in the league he's well below average as a scorer, a little below average as a rebounder, and is a very poor shot blocker. His best skill is passing; his assist rate is well above average and he doesn't make many bad passes.
Cedi has gotten a lot more minutes than I expected this year due to injuries and has not taken advantage of the opportunity. He's shooting under 39% in both January and February. Last night he was 1-for-8, including 0-for-5 on 3's, in a 3-point loss. His rebounding is marginal and he's not a great defender. With Nance expected to be in the lineup when the second half starts and with Prince back in the lineup I expect Cedi's minutes will continue to decline. He averaged 31.5 minutes in January and that declined to 21.5 in February. In the first two games of March it's down to 18.5.
The emergence of Dean Wade as a viable power forward will also factor in. I think there's a chance Cedi could fall out of the rotation completely now that we have both Nance and Wade at PF (and possibly Love). That creates a logjam at SF with Okoro, Windler, Prince and Cedi. My guess is that Okoro and Windler will get most of those minutes.