DCTribefan
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National Media Season Predictions
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DCTribefan
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One WaPo prediction not coming true.
Triston McKenzie will win the AL Cy Young.
Why it could happen: Overshadowed by Cleveland Guardians ace Shane Bieber, McKenzie had a quietly stellar season, registering a 2.96 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP. The 25-year-old, who boasts a wicked curveball, averaged only about one strikeout per inning in 2022, but he has strikeout stuff, as evidenced by the fact that he was one of five pitchers with three games of 12 strikeouts or more. After cutting his walk rate in half from 2021, McKenzie’s 4.32 strikeout-to-walk ratio ranked 16th among qualified starters.
Why it probably won’t: McKenzie is prone to giving up the long ball, though 16 of the 25 home runs he allowed last season were solo shots. Hitters’ batting average on balls in play (BABIP) against McKenzie was .237, which was the third lowest in the majors among qualified starters, and his left-on-base percentage (80.3) ranked eighth, so some regression could be in order. McKenzie winning the Cy Young is even more unlikely after he was diagnosed with a muscle strain in his shoulder that could sideline him for up to eight weeks.
Triston McKenzie will win the AL Cy Young.
Why it could happen: Overshadowed by Cleveland Guardians ace Shane Bieber, McKenzie had a quietly stellar season, registering a 2.96 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP. The 25-year-old, who boasts a wicked curveball, averaged only about one strikeout per inning in 2022, but he has strikeout stuff, as evidenced by the fact that he was one of five pitchers with three games of 12 strikeouts or more. After cutting his walk rate in half from 2021, McKenzie’s 4.32 strikeout-to-walk ratio ranked 16th among qualified starters.
Why it probably won’t: McKenzie is prone to giving up the long ball, though 16 of the 25 home runs he allowed last season were solo shots. Hitters’ batting average on balls in play (BABIP) against McKenzie was .237, which was the third lowest in the majors among qualified starters, and his left-on-base percentage (80.3) ranked eighth, so some regression could be in order. McKenzie winning the Cy Young is even more unlikely after he was diagnosed with a muscle strain in his shoulder that could sideline him for up to eight weeks.
DCTribefan
Hall-of-Famer
- Joined
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