@billmac91 you land on your picks yet this week?
I’m sticking with my original 5, and did my max bet (3%) on each of them. Nothing I’ve seen this week takes me off my initial thoughts. A few games have moved .5 to 1 point in either direction which may make a difference. I’d buy a .5 point on KY at -14.5 now (on Bovada but I got it in on Tues).
KY -14 vs Eastern Michigan
Stoops has done a nice job with that program. They're pretty stout defensively even with their losses from last year, and have enough talent on offense. Like last week against Toledo, I think KY opens it up in second half. I think Toledo is better than Eastern Michigan and Kentucky would've covered -14. At home for KY again which is big.
UCF - 10 vs FAU
Game is at FAU, so some cause for concern, but FAU didn't show me much offensively against OSU, and FAU is likely without their best RB. UCF will score on that defense, and while I expect FAU to put some points up, I don;t think they can stay within 10 of UCF.
Bowling Green +24 vs Kansas St
I don't have a ton of info on this game other than Bowling Green's solid week 1 performance. Kansas St handled Nichols St 49-14 in week 1, but Nichols State isn't as good as Bowling Green. 24 just feels like a lot to me. I know Bowling Green was brutal last year, but I think Loefller does enough to keep Bowling Green respectable in this one.
Washington -13.5 vs Cal
I love Chris Peterson in this one. He has his most NFL talented QB in Jacob Eason, that I can recall (in terms of arm strength) and their defense should be solid again. Game is at home so added comfort. Cal struggled through a 27-13 win vs UC Davis last weekend. I think Washington covers pretty easily.
Auburn -19 vs Tulane.
Tulane is a solid mid-major and a respectable team. But I like Auburn here, riding high off a huge win vs Oregon. I think Malzahn has enough outside weapons and Bo Nix is capable of managing the game. Tulane will struggle putting points up in this one, and I think Auburn will physically dominate just about every part of this game.
I’m also leaning Stanford pretty hard with JT Daniels out at QB. Stanford is currently +1 dog, going against True Freshman Kedon Slovis. Im a bit surprised Stanford isn’t a 2-3 pt favorite. Will prob do a 2% bet on this. Almost seems too obvious....
My favorite game of the week is Auburn. Just have a feeling they are too much for Tulane. Surprised that line has gone to -18.....wish I waited until later in week for the extra point. I thought it’d slide closer to 20 or 21.