Stocks to Watch Thread

[Out of the Rafters at the Q]

do you consider that we are on week 2?

also I have been trying to pick a financial advisor lately and the 1 told me that after every recession (or major drop) the stock market has always recovered within 36 months, and most of the time its a lot faster than that. Something to keep in mind

Eh, I'm counting last Wednesday as a starting point, so about to begin week 2. But again, I have absolutely nothing to back any of this up and it's completely arbitrary.

I think the average time to recover from a recession is WAY shorter than 3 years. Typically that's closer to the recession cycle. I think this past 10-year stretch without a recession is an abnormality, so who knows. Maybe it's going to take us longer to come out of because of it? Not being able to drop interest rates because we never bothered to bring them back up is going to hurt.

 

[bob2the2nd]

Eh, I'm counting last Wednesday as a starting point, so about to begin week 2. But again, I have absolutely nothing to back any of this up and it's completely arbitrary.

I think the average time to recover from a recession is WAY shorter than 3 years. Typically that's closer to the recession cycle. I think this past 10-year stretch without a recession is an abnormality, so who knows. Maybe it's going to take us longer to come out of because of it? Not being able to drop interest rates because we never bothered to bring them back up is going to hurt.

i think its 18 months or somethign of that nature. But even still it always recovers. So for everyone out there if you are just looking for a decent deal, now isnt a terrible time to jump back in. You can find most things down 20%. Just know we are probably not at the bottom yet, meaning you would expect to lose value in the short term.

 

[The Wizard of Moz]

do you consider that we are on week 2?

also I have been trying to pick a financial advisor lately and the 1 told me that after every recession (or major drop) the stock market has always recovered within 36 months, and most of the time its a lot faster than that. Something to keep in mind

That’s not true and it highlights a very important fact: financial advisors vary WILDLY from very good to providing dangerous value because they really don’t know the subject they are preaching and make misleading statements that impact how someone deploys their capital

 

[The Wizard of Moz]

Upozornění na přesměrování

www.google.com

This is a short read with some good graphs in it. I can’t get that image copied over from my phone, but the length to recovery varies greatly based on what type of recession they categorize it as (they split into structural, cyclical, and event-driven). The average time to recover is around 5 years but it varies wildly by type with event-driven being much shorter

 

[Out of the Rafters at the Q]

That’s not true and it highlights a very important fact: financial advisors vary WILDLY from very good to providing dangerous value because they really don’t know the subject they are preaching

Here's how long stock market corrections last and how bad they can get

Here's what you need to know about how long and how severe the typical correction tends to be, according to CNBC and Goldman Sachs analysis.

www.cnbc.com

The most recent was October 2007 to March 2009, when the market dropped 57% and then took more than four years to recover

 

[The Wizard of Moz]

Would it be dumb to put some shares of Tesla into my Roth? Thinking of pulling the trigger.

Would your reason for not buying be to find a better price point later or because you think in 5 years Tesla might be below it’s current price?

 

[The Wizard of Moz]

Here's how long stock market corrections last and how bad they can get

Here's what you need to know about how long and how severe the typical correction tends to be, according to CNBC and Goldman Sachs analysis.

www.cnbc.com

I edited my previous post with an article highlighting some of Goldman’s analysis. There was a better one but I can’t find it now and that one has some good graphs

 

[BMAN]

Would your reason for not buying be to find a better price point later or because you think in 5 years Tesla might be below it’s current price?

I think my hesitation is putting it in my Roth. I think they’re legit and will be one of the next company’s trading over $1k a share. I don’t mind being risky at all. Just wondering if anyone else has shares of individual stocks in their retirement accounts?

 

[The Wizard of Moz]

I think my hesitation is putting it in my Roth. I think they’re legit and will be one of the next company’s trading over $1k a share. I don’t mind being risky at all. Just wondering if anyone else has shares of individual stocks in their retirement accounts?

Ah I gotcha. Yeah I struggle with this as well.

Personally I’ve stayed away from it in my retirement account, but honestly I go back and forth on it a lot

 

[BMAN]

Hey @Ob1 what do you think of my question? Should I buy some Tesla stock and put it into my Roth? Should any individual stock go into my retirement account?

 

[Out of the Rafters at the Q]

Hey @Ob1 what do you think of my question? Should I buy some Tesla stock and put it into my Roth? Should any individual stock go into my retirement account?

I'm not @Ob1 , but I only buy individual stocks if I feel I have a unique insight or perspective. Working in the tech field, I felt comfortable enough saying I was ahead of the curve on Verizon, Nvidia, AMD, and Tesla in the past 15 years.

If the information you're relying on is just general knowledge, my take is that info is already baked into the price. The valuation of the stock already includes the knowledge you have.

At that point, I see it more akin to gambling.

 

[The Wizard of Moz]

Today was a weird day
After the halt I scooped up 100 shares of Delta at 21. Then wrote a 30 strike call expiring April 4th for 250 dollars. 11% of the share price at the time

For a 30% out of the money option. That expires in 2 weeks

holy fuck is this a weird time

 

[Ob1]

Hey @Ob1 what do you think of my question? Should I buy some Tesla stock and put it into my Roth? Should any individual stock go into my retirement account?

I 100% echo out of the rafters. There is a place for individual stocks in a portfolio... The place is NOT in a retirement account. Stick to safer funds and diversify. Once you have the money to max those all put, you can fuck around with some stocks in a taxable account.

 

[bob2the2nd]

im young and stupid and have some cash laying around in my "new car fund". Put some money in tesla (on wed), and about to put some money in on royal carribean cruise

 

[The Wizard of Moz]

I fucking STARED at Uber call options for like an hour Monday and decided they were too expensive

why didn’t I try to catch that falling knife