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The Game (2022) | #2 Ohio State vs. #3 TTUN | November 26th, 2022 @ High Noon

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I agree, OSUs DLine was incredibly disappointing. It's not really a new thing, unfortunately. Outside of the Penn State game this year they've been MIA since Chase Young left.

It is impressive what Michigan has put together with a 3 star army from New England. I say that both jokingly and seriously. They couldn't develop talent for shit for years but they have figured something out recently.

They’ve developed it enough to beat OSU. Win in the playoff? TBD. Truth be told, I saw nothing in The Game that has me thinking McCarthy is suddenly Patrick Mahomes. I saw busted coverage after busted coverage, resulting in huge chunks of yardage and points for Michigan before their run game finally got going and OSU quit.

They are the better team, absolutely - perhaps less talented, but far more goes into making a team than just talent. OSU is less disciplined, has a worse culture, is not nearly as tough…. I could go on and on. Literally the only bad thing I’d say about Michigan is again, not sold on the QB at all. I wouldn’t rely on UGA having nobody within 10 yards of receivers.
 
They’ve developed it enough to beat OSU. Win in the playoff? TBD. Truth be told, I saw nothing in The Game that has me thinking McCarthy is suddenly Patrick Mahomes. I saw busted coverage after busted coverage, resulting in huge chunks of yardage and points for Michigan before their run game finally got going and OSU quit.

There's a difference between someone being Patrick Mahomes and being capable. OSU treated McCarthy as if he wasn't even the latter. He was a 5-star recruit who started at IMG. You would have thought he was a walk on that couldn't throw it more than 15 yards down field, relative to the game plan defensively.

He hasn't thrown an interception since the second week of October. During that stretch, he has taken just 4 sacks, scored 11 TD's and made countless big plays with his legs. That stretch also included digging them out of the dirt against Illinois late and then hitting nearly every single big play that was presented to him against OSU.

He's making his 12th career start and has only attempted 300 college passes in his career. For him to make the plays he did, with so little experience, is nothing but encouraging. Do I think he will ever be Pat Mahomes? No. Do I think he's the perfect style of QB for Michigan's system? I do.

Literally the only bad thing I’d say about Michigan is again, not sold on the QB at all. I wouldn’t rely on UGA having nobody within 10 yards of receivers.

I would suspect with 4-5 weeks to heal, Corum will be, at worst, 90-95%? Assuming his knee is structurally sound and he needs a bone bruise / mild sprain to heal. Depends on the severity though. From what Michigan has said post game, Edwards hand should be 100% by the CFP. Both those dynamics change their offense pretty considerably and give similar 1 on 1 opportunities in the pass game. Will they be streaking down field? No. Are Bell, Wilson and Johnson good enough to win at a decent clip 1 on 1? Sure.

Michigan will probably be an 8-10 point dog against Georgia.......but there's more of a punchers chance. Georgia hasn't been as good in both phases (which admittedly was truly, truly elite). Bennett is even more of a game manager and has been pretty mistake prone recently. I'm not saying Michigan walks in and beats them but it is a more realistic endeavor this season, assuming Michigan can get Corum, Edwards, Morris, etc. healthy. If they can't, it is a pretty tall task, even if Georgia makes some mistakes.

The thing they (Michigan) certainly have working for themselves this season is a path to avoid Georgia in the semis, which helps. Not having to play them with weeks of concentrated prep levels the field a bit......as does it introduce elements like injuries or fluke losses prior to even playing them. If Michigan wins Saturday, they know they will not play Georgia in the semis......and I think that is big, as TCU strikes me as a pretty flawed team.
 
Michigan will beat TCU easily, hence why I didn’t even address that. Lol.

Mccarthy didn’t need to be Patrick Mahomes to beat Ohio State. But he needs to be more effective to beat UGA (again, only team I think is borderline elite this year, hence why I keep using them). Ohio State did him plenty of favors. Still floored by how undisciplined and awful OSU was in the secondary. Not sure if coaching or talent or both.
 
Michigan will beat TCU easily, hence why I didn’t even address that. Lol.

TCU is one of the stranger undefeated teams to me in recent memory. I admittedly have very regional college football interests and have not paid too much attention to the other teams like TCU......but it is rather astonishing to me a team can be undefeated with these defensive metrics:

Total defense: 74th
Rush defense: 62nd
Pass defense: 87th
Scoring defense: 53rd

I genuinely thought I was looking at the wrong year at first. Those have to be the most mind blowing stats I have ever seen for a 12-0 team. Complete mediocrity on defense. Literally no stand out metrics.

Mccarthy didn’t need to be Patrick Mahomes to beat Ohio State. But he needs to be more effective to beat UGA (again, only team I think is borderline elite this year, hence why I keep using them). Ohio State did him plenty of favors. Still floored by how undisciplined and awful OSU was in the secondary. Not sure if coaching or talent or both.

Playing Georgia in the NC game would certainly help. You can throw out needing to keep McCarthy upright for a second game and lean on him more as a runner / moving the pocket. It also helps that Michigan opted to give JJ meaningful reps last season. He got a taste of the speed of that type of team.

To me, it probably all comes down to Edwards' health though. He was the one player that flashed athletically against Georgia and they really need his pass catching ability to stretch them horizontally and slow down their box players. Corum would be a nice bonus, certainly.....but if they can, at minimum, get Edwards hand healed up and Morris back on the defensive front, they at least have a chance. Still will take a perfect, mistake free game......but possible.
 
UM should be able to roll over TCU. That said, don’t sleep on Duggan. TCU will have the more experienced and polished QB, especially at this point in their careers.
 
I mean, we’ve all been saying it for weeks. This is Georgia’s year. They’ve been an easy pick over the field for weeks now. Would be quite the upset to take them down.
 
There has been nothing special about the Big Ten this year.

I would absolutely not write off TCU just because they aren't a name brand.

Based on quality of play within the conference I wouldn't be shocked if the Big Ten gets smoked this bowl season.

It's been a weak, weak year.
 
Michigan was in a very different situation, but keep in mind they waited through 5 losses, taking some of their toughest in the Rivalry, and stuck by Harbaugh to get here. As much criticism as Day deserves, this is his first time building a program and I think he's capable of growth. I don't want to wait around and let another Cooper happen, but I'd rather keep him around than go back to Urban Meyer who has proven to be an skeezy assclown.

I think someone else should be calling plays and there will need to be adjustments in recruitment & development. We have so much talent returning next year, we can get back on the damn horse.
 
So Columbus talk radio and the local blogs are all talking about that 4th and 5 play we've discussed.

Well, I guess the rumor is that was supposed to be a fake punt. If you remember, OSU took a delay of game on that and I guess that was intentional to throw Michigan off.

I haven't watched the play, but apparently there's some big tells in there like the way the line was blocking and the reaction of up-man when the ball was snapped that has led people to believe it was supposed to be a fake, with the snap going to the up-man.

Somewhere in there lines got crossed and the long snapper snapped it to the punter.
 
So Columbus talk radio and the local blogs are all talking about that 4th and 5 play we've discussed.

Well, I guess the rumor is that was supposed to be a fake punt. If you remember, OSU took a delay of game on that and I guess that was intentional to throw Michigan off.

I haven't watched the play, but apparently there's some big tells in there like the way the line was blocking and the reaction of up-man when the ball was snapped that has led people to believe it was supposed to be a fake, with the snap going to the up-man.

Somewhere in there lines got crossed and the long snapper snapped it to the punter.
 
So Columbus talk radio and the local blogs are all talking about that 4th and 5 play we've discussed.

Well, I guess the rumor is that was supposed to be a fake punt. If you remember, OSU took a delay of game on that and I guess that was intentional to throw Michigan off.

I haven't watched the play, but apparently there's some big tells in there like the way the line was blocking and the reaction of up-man when the ball was snapped that has led people to believe it was supposed to be a fake, with the snap going to the up-man.

Somewhere in there lines got crossed and the long snapper snapped it to the punter.

It wasn't called a fake from what I gather.......but they got a look where they are trying to check to it. Michigan overloaded the punt side. The two up backs and the the left side get the check and the punter does not.

34 taps the other up backs hip. Some sort of call or check can be heard.

Screen-Shot-2022-11-29-at-1-14-16-PM.png


On the snap, the line down blocks, the inside up back kicks out the end then 34 enters as the lead blocker.

Screen-Shot-2022-11-29-at-1-14-43-PM.png


Is this 34 turning around to see if the punter is running? Or is he turning around because he thinks they blew a protection? It feels the like former........that he is expecting the punter to have gotten the check and be running behind him. I don't entirely know why he is looking though and not just running through the hole or cleaning up anyone on a double team?

Screen-Shot-2022-11-29-at-1-14-58-PM.png[


They are actually incredibly lucky they even got that punt off. It should have been blocked if Michigan reacted better off the snap.....but it does appear the up man checked in to the fake with the punter running and the punter didn't hear it. To me, it was snapped too hard to be intended for the up man....so maybe the center fucked up?

It is also possible, relative to the reaction of the blockers, that they were trying to check away from the overload and roll him or side step left to kick. Like a more traditional punt. The snap went to his left shoulder......so it may have been the blockers saying "what the hell are you doing rolling? that almost got blocked." I would guess they checked in to a fake but there was a decent amount of confusion in everyone's reaction, to not know for sure if that is what happened.
 
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More time wasting sleuthing. You see the look they wanted. Here is a sequence of the punts leading up to that point. Last image shows the LB, that had been more head up / just barely shaded right of the center kicks all the way out.

I don't buy the false start on purpose......that would be idiotic. Why? Because Michigan gave them the exact look they wanted on 4 & 6 as well......and it literally makes no sense to false start to "throw them off" when the play was already set up with the exact defensive look they wanted.

Also, looking at the first image, they got pretty much the same look early second quarter, around mid field, same down / distance and opted not to run it.

punt-sequence.png
 
Personally, I don't care about the "failed fake punt" story. Just fucking go for it; you have CJ Stroud, Marvin Harrison JR and Emeka Egbuka. The fuck are we doing punting that ball or the one down 11 with 11 minutes left. Fucking stupid, chickenshit coaching.
 
The buzz is starting to pickup for Hartline for the UC job at Kentucky OC job.

I know of one way to keep him at OSU. Promote to OC...........
 
The buzz is starting to pickup for Hartline for the UC job at Kentucky OC job.

I know of one way to keep him at OSU. Promote to OC...........
Letting him call the plays might not be a terrible idea either...especially since Ryan Day apparently sucks at it now.
 

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