2006-07 season: Who dat? An undrafted rookie out of South Carolina, Kinsey appeared from the ether to take over a starting job late in the season, and played well enough that it seems he'll be here for some time. The 6-6 wing averaged 18.8 points per game in eight April contests, and his overall numbers weren't too shabby either. Most notably, Kinsey had the second-highest rate of steals among small forwards.
The one red flag is that Kinsey shot amazingly well on long 2-pointers -- some would say flukishly well. He hit 48.6 percent from that distance, an area most players make around 40 percent from, and what makes it more interesting is that he's not regarded as much of a shooter. By comparison, he shot virtually the same percentage -- 48.7 percent -- on close-in shots. Maybe he's just a really good midrange shooter, but color me dubious that he can repeat that effort.
Scouting report: Kinsey can get out in transition for easy buckets and, last year at least, knocked down midrange jumpers repeatedly. He's also a quality athlete who isn't going to need to score a ton to keep his spot on the roster, because he has the agility to defend NBA wing players. Surprisingly, he did very little on the boards -- he ranked 57th among small forwards in rebound rate.
An even bigger shock is his paltry blocked shot total -- one all season. Kinsey had the lowest blocked-shot rate of any NBA small forward, which is jaw-dropping news considering the athleticism he showed.
2007-08 outlook: Kinsey should have more opportunity to make a name for himself, as he should one of the Grizzlies' top wing reserves. How bright his future is depends in large part on his ability to make shots. He doesn't have much of a 3-point stroke (28.3 percent), and I suspect the long 2s will prove more troublesome for him this year than they were a year ago. So he might have to develop his game in other areas to make up for it.
Most similar at age: Tyrone Nesby