Not sure. The problem is once we got LeBron, other teams were going to be asking for more back in any trade because they were helping a title contender - or at least a team that was setting itself up to be one. Those teams pay more.
People make this claim from time to time, and maybe it's true -- I've certainly never negotiated a trade in the NBA. But I don't think this particular trade proves it and I tend to think it's not a huge factor. Makes more sense to me that teams make deals that they feel are in their best interest.
In this instance, the Cavs could have bargained more aggressively by playing off Boston (who have Wright) and Memphis (who have Koufos) and any other team with a serviceable big. Hey, for the purpose of strengthening your negotiating posture, you could get into discussions with the Lakers for Sacre or Ed Davis, even if you really didn't want either of them.
Taking this approach, I think it likely you could eventually have gotten one of your targets for just one of the picks. However, it wouldn't have happened right away, and there is some value in getting the guy you want now instead of a month or more from now. Plus, it seems pretty clear to me that Mozgov is the guy the Cavs really preferred. For them, it wasn't a matter of getting a "serviceable" big (which was my concern), but rather to get Mozgov, and if Denver absolutely refused to deal him you try to get Wright or Koufos.
Personally, if I am Denver I couldn't care less what Cleveland is doing or whether they win a championship, especially since they are an Eastern conference team. I am interested in Denver, and at the end of the day if the best offer out there for Mozgov is one pick, I would consider making the deal. Boston presumably has to trade Wright this year, since he is expiring, and ultimately they'd likely trade him for one pick. Of course, unlike Mozgov, he becomes a free agent in the off-season, so there's that.
We've also seen teams being willing to sell late first round picks in the past for a variety of reasons
Sure, that's possible, but as Wuck recently reminded us, the Cavs have used at least $1.3M of the $3.3M they can use in trades this year (July-June). So they likely won't be buying a first round pick this year.
I am sort of indifferent about whether the Cavs actually use their draft picks. David Griffin himself called the draft a "guessing game," and I think so long as the Cavs feel they are a contender it is reasonable to use picks as trade chips to get proven NBA players. I have no real problem with this strategy, but it's sort of alarming how quickly the Cavs have gone through their collected assets. Unfortunately, they started the process with the Deng and Hawes trades.
So my concern isn't whether they actually draft players, but whether they have draft picks to use in deals. At least so long as they feel they are potentially a competitive team.
I would be shocked if one of them turned into the #1 pick. If it did, it depends on our results. If Mozgov contributes to the Cavs winning a championship, few would complain. We're so starved for one from any one of our teams.
If OKC improves, as expected, then that pick will probably be in the 20s. Time will tell. Right now the Cavs get a present asset for future promise. If they hold onto Mozgov long term and he proves a vital cog in the paint for a handful of years, I think a strong argument could be made for the trade.