Re: #1: Andrew Wiggins - G/F - Kansas University
A few thoughts on Wiggins…
About his dribbling; it’s not so much that Wiggins can’t dribble and beat his man off the dribble, he can, it’s that he possesses very poor offensive awareness with the ball in his hand. He can beat his man off the dribble going right and he has a spin move, so he can beat his man off the dibble whenever he wants to. Go right and he’s at the rim or, gets cut off, and he spins back left and he’s at the rim. Or forced left, then he goes left and spins back right and he’s at the rim. Or forced left with no intent to recover, then he goes left and he’s at the rim.
The point is even without a left he’s quick and explosive enough to get by his man at will almost every time. The problem is when he has clear lanes to the rim, he almost always pulls up, watch it, he does this every time. Or he drives right into a help defender and is forced to pull up instead of driving where the lane is. He did this all the time in college too. With the ball in his hands his court awareness is absolutely horrible and it’s something that’s really hard to improve on (it can improve but it’s very rare). Most likely you either have it by this stage or you don’t, it’s like court vision with point guards, becoming a pure point isn’t something you usually do at 19,20,21,22 years old, it’s in you way before that.
This leads me to believe that Wiggins will never be a Pippen (come on guys, Pippen was a point forward, pretty much the exact opposite of Wiggins with the ball), or a Durant, LeBron, or even a Paul George offensively. That’s just not who he is, he’s not that type of player offensively. I see him more of a (and I hate comparisons, I’m not talking about percentages just game in general) Rudy Gay type player on offense while being a Paul George type player or better on defense. That’s an all-star or superstar type player and a player that should have a huge impact on each game. In my opinion because of Wiggins physical gifts, he can be a 20-25 ppg scorer while being non-ball dominant just because his shot looks good and he can score, he’s just not that alpha dog ball dominant scorer. Maybe even a usage rate of around 20% compared to LeBron, Durant, and PG who have around 30%. And the argument could even be made that while playing with ball dominant player(s) that he would be even more valuable being a non-ball dominant player than a ball dominant player.