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What I want to know is what factors is his draft rater based on that Thompson scored so well on?
Your answer from Hollinger himself:
Joe (Seattle)
For us non math geeks how does Draft rater work? The Morris twins had high PER yet so low on the rater. T. Thompson the opposite what gives?
John Hollinger
It's a regression analysis that looks at a series of variables, determines which are statistically significant predictors of pro success, and weights them accordingly. A couple of the biggest for frontcourt players are age (younger=better), years of college experience (fewer=better), blocked shot rate (more=better) and free-throw rate (more=better). There are others (16 in all) but those are the ones that favor Thompson.
For us non math geeks how does Draft rater work? The Morris twins had high PER yet so low on the rater. T. Thompson the opposite what gives?
John Hollinger
It's a regression analysis that looks at a series of variables, determines which are statistically significant predictors of pro success, and weights them accordingly. A couple of the biggest for frontcourt players are age (younger=better), years of college experience (fewer=better), blocked shot rate (more=better) and free-throw rate (more=better). There are others (16 in all) but those are the ones that favor Thompson.
Also from that chat:
Ricardo (Orlando)
Is it my impression or we started to hear Tristan Thompson's a lot more since you posted your Draft Rater, J.H.?
John Hollinger
We did, but it may be coincidence. Everyone I talk to raves about Thompson on the character/intangibles stuff, and I think that makes him a much safer pick in the eyes of many GMs once it gets time to actually pull the lever.
Is it my impression or we started to hear Tristan Thompson's a lot more since you posted your Draft Rater, J.H.?
John Hollinger
We did, but it may be coincidence. Everyone I talk to raves about Thompson on the character/intangibles stuff, and I think that makes him a much safer pick in the eyes of many GMs once it gets time to actually pull the lever.
Link: http://espn.go.com/sportsnation/chat/_/id/39005