Kouki
Kouki, Not Cookie.
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So I did some analysis of wins and wins vs. top 10 teams.
One of the comments made by Koby was something like "Bad teams don't accidentally win 51 games"
Black line is 1:1 (teams that win just as much against top 10 teams as they do against everyone)
Of course you would expect teams to do worse against top 10 teams, so everything is below the 1:1 line, except for GSW.
The blue dotted line is the curve fit for everybody. Basically if you are above that line, you are better than league average against top 10 teams compared to against all teams, if that makes sense. Above line = overperform vs. top teams, below line = underperform vs. top teams.
Guess which dot corresponds to the Cavs...hint, it is the red one. This means that despite our excellent overall record, we performed piss poor against top 10 teams.
But wait it gets better.
If you calculate the difference between the curve fit line and the data point, you get the residual.
The Cavs had, by far, the largest negative residual amongst the top 16 teams. And the largest residual in the league. Basically the exact opposite residual of GSW.
Translating that residual to an 82 game season to put it into perspective and sorted by winning percentage vs top 10 teams -
So basically our record was a farce, and confirming suspicions that some have said, we beat up on mediocre teams but performed poorly vs. good teams.
One of the comments made by Koby was something like "Bad teams don't accidentally win 51 games"
Black line is 1:1 (teams that win just as much against top 10 teams as they do against everyone)
Of course you would expect teams to do worse against top 10 teams, so everything is below the 1:1 line, except for GSW.
The blue dotted line is the curve fit for everybody. Basically if you are above that line, you are better than league average against top 10 teams compared to against all teams, if that makes sense. Above line = overperform vs. top teams, below line = underperform vs. top teams.
Guess which dot corresponds to the Cavs...hint, it is the red one. This means that despite our excellent overall record, we performed piss poor against top 10 teams.
But wait it gets better.
If you calculate the difference between the curve fit line and the data point, you get the residual.
The Cavs had, by far, the largest negative residual amongst the top 16 teams. And the largest residual in the league. Basically the exact opposite residual of GSW.
Translating that residual to an 82 game season to put it into perspective and sorted by winning percentage vs top 10 teams -
So basically our record was a farce, and confirming suspicions that some have said, we beat up on mediocre teams but performed poorly vs. good teams.