Re: 2009 NBA Draft: The bottom of the first round
DeJuan Blair is someone I would like... He's slotted to go right before us in some of the mocks out there right now...He's a bit undersized, but he's a a tremendous rebounder, and is more in that Millsap mold than Darnell Jackson mold...
I'm not in any kind of "know" with this situation, but I can almost assure you that DeJuan Blair doesn't enter the draft this year. First, he's listed at an extremely generous 6'8" some places, and 6'7" on ESPN. I've seen him on campus several times and can tell you he's probably about 6'6.5" with shoes on. He's an absolute monster, but this isn't the first time a player his size has turned heads at the college level (Craig Smith, Marco Killingsworth, etc.). I just don't think he has the size to become anything other than a 3rd or 4th big in the NBA. A third big is obvious not an awful thing, but I see it as his ceiling. While the kid is a beast, I think the adjustment from stocky PF in college to the NBA may be one of the most difficult ones to make. It's very difficult to ask players like Blair, who guarded 6'9"
205 lb Devin Ebanks earlier today at West Virginia, to guard players like Duncan, KG, Bosh, and Aldridge who use their size advantage to shoot over the top of smaller players.
While I still think he could carve a niche out for himself in the NBA, I see Blair as a 4-year player, possibly getting a first round nod at the end of his college career. Best case scenario: Jason Maxiell, Craig Smith. I hope I'm wrong, but I just don't see him becoming as good as Paul Millsap has been. Also, in order for him to play high quality minutes in the NBA, he needs to learn to watch his foul troubles and develop a better outside-of-the-paint game. Ultimately, for him to do this, I think at least one more year of college is necessary.