shoes22
Hall-of-Famer
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- Dec 4, 2012
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Well that was a shitty night last night. Rondo is indefinitely out, fucking up that series. And Blake Griffin is out for the Clippers, fucking up that series. OKC-HOU went as expected though.
In any case, I consider most of the projections below inaccurate, because even with the injuries it's pulling too much from the previous games in the series. I will adjust for that in time for the second round, but here's how things stand for now:
Boston Celtics (1) vs. Chicago Bulls (8)
Celtics in 4: 0.0%
Celtics in 5: 0.0%
Celtics in 6: 10.05% (+7.82%)
Celtics in 7: 20.15% (+12.62%)
Bulls in 7: 15.21% (+8.26%)
Bulls in 6: 29.65% (+10.45%)
Bulls in 5: 24.94% (+3.1%)
Bulls in 4: 0.0% (-42.25%)
Game 4 Odds:
Celtics win 42%/Bulls Win 58%
Odds Boston forces a Game 6: 75.06% (+39.15%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 35.36% (+20.88%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.10 (+1.02)
Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 30.2% likely (+20.44%)
Bulls win series: 69.8% likely (-20.44%)
Houston Rockets (3) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (6)
Rockets in 4: 0.0% (-24.01%)
Rockets in 5: 35.52% (-1.96%)
Rockets in 6: 24.46% (+8.78%)
Rockets in 7: 24.41% (+9.78%)
Thunder in 7: 8.58% (+3.7%)
Thunder in 6: 7.03% (+3.71%)
Thunder in 5: 0.0%
Thunder in 4: 0.0%
Game 4 Odds:
Rockets win 48%/Thunder Win 52%
Odds Oklahoma City forces a Game 6: 64.48% (+25.97%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 32.99% (+13.48%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.97 (+0.63)
Overall Odds:
Rockets win series: 84.39% likely (-7.41%)
Thunder win series: 15.61% likely (+7.41%)
Los Angeles Clippers (4) vs. Utah Jazz (5)
Clippers in 4: 0.0%
Clippers in 5: 20.65% (+11.97%)
Clippers in 6: 18.45% (+5.8%)
Clippers in 7: 25.71% (+0.35%)
Jazz in 7: 17.87% (+5.38%)
Jazz in 6: 17.32% (-9.98%)
Jazz in 5: 0.0% (-13.52%)
Jazz in 4: 0.0%
Game 4 Odds:
Clippers win 35%/Jazz Win 65%
Odds Utah forces a Game 6: 79.35% (+1.55%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 43.58% (+5.73%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.23 (+0.07)
Overall Odds:
Clippers win series: 64.81% likely (+18.12%)
Jazz win series: 35.19% likely (-18.12%)
In any case, I consider most of the projections below inaccurate, because even with the injuries it's pulling too much from the previous games in the series. I will adjust for that in time for the second round, but here's how things stand for now:
Boston Celtics (1) vs. Chicago Bulls (8)
Celtics in 5: 0.0%
Celtics in 6: 10.05% (+7.82%)
Celtics in 7: 20.15% (+12.62%)
Bulls in 7: 15.21% (+8.26%)
Bulls in 6: 29.65% (+10.45%)
Bulls in 5: 24.94% (+3.1%)
Game 4 Odds:
Celtics win 42%/Bulls Win 58%
Odds Boston forces a Game 6: 75.06% (+39.15%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 35.36% (+20.88%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.10 (+1.02)
Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 30.2% likely (+20.44%)
Bulls win series: 69.8% likely (-20.44%)
Houston Rockets (3) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (6)
Rockets in 5: 35.52% (-1.96%)
Rockets in 6: 24.46% (+8.78%)
Rockets in 7: 24.41% (+9.78%)
Thunder in 7: 8.58% (+3.7%)
Thunder in 6: 7.03% (+3.71%)
Thunder in 4: 0.0%
Game 4 Odds:
Rockets win 48%/Thunder Win 52%
Odds Oklahoma City forces a Game 6: 64.48% (+25.97%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 32.99% (+13.48%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.97 (+0.63)
Overall Odds:
Rockets win series: 84.39% likely (-7.41%)
Thunder win series: 15.61% likely (+7.41%)
Los Angeles Clippers (4) vs. Utah Jazz (5)
Clippers in 5: 20.65% (+11.97%)
Clippers in 6: 18.45% (+5.8%)
Clippers in 7: 25.71% (+0.35%)
Jazz in 7: 17.87% (+5.38%)
Jazz in 6: 17.32% (-9.98%)
Game 4 Odds:
Clippers win 35%/Jazz Win 65%
Odds Utah forces a Game 6: 79.35% (+1.55%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 43.58% (+5.73%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.23 (+0.07)
Overall Odds:
Clippers win series: 64.81% likely (+18.12%)
Jazz win series: 35.19% likely (-18.12%)