Then prepare for disaster. Even the team with the WORST record has only a 40.1% chance at a top three pick.
Tanking is grossly overrated with the revised distribution of ping pong balls.
The worst three finishers have the following percent chances at the top FOUR picks:
14.0%; 13.4%; 12.7%; 12.0%
Fourth-worst:
12.5%; 12.2%; 11.9%; 11.5%
Fifth-worst:
10.5%; 10.5%; 10.6%; 10.5%
Falling from third-worst to fourth-worst would hurt, but not by an enormous amount.
Here's what's really interesting: Previously the bottom half of lottery teams (8-14) only had 82 balls (8.2%) -- now they have 185 balls (18.5%). The WORST team used to have 25% -- so that means they had over three times as many chances to get the #1 overall as 8-14 combined. But now, the 8-14 finishers actually have a BETTER chance to get the #1 pick overall than the WORST team (18.5% vs. 14.0%).
Tank commanders are fighting the last war.