Cavatt
Hall-of-Famer
- Joined
- Sep 7, 2008
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Teams can't even really run "small ball" lineups against the Lakers because when the Lakers go 'small,' they're still pretty massive. They've been running Morris/LeBron/AD as their small ball lineup, which is 6'8/245 pounds, 6'9/255 pounds, and 6'10/250 pounds. The Lakers have three guys as big as Bam on the floor at almost all times.
Miami's biggest problem, imo, is that their best defenders can't shoot well, and their best shooters can't defend well. If they play Robinson and Herro, LeBron is just going to constantly hunt them.
After facing Lillard, Harden, and Jokic/Murray, this is the first series the Lakers aren't facing an elite guard who can break down a defense. After the Murray/Jokic pick and roll, this matchup is much easier for them. I don't want to be too confident, but I have a hard time seeing the Heat win this series. Their two best players play the same positions as the Lakers' two best players, and they're much worse.
I think you are right a penetrating guard is the an obvious missing piece in Miami in this specific series. Dragic is good, but he just can't get to the paint like he once did. Him and Bam running pick and roll was one of their best plays. Now he is out. A faster first step guy would be something to hurt the Lakers with. Who is going to run the offense? I would say Butler, but he looks really overmatched.
I think they got blindsided by the physicality of the Lakers, losing their own game. I don't think they could possibly look so overmatched next game, but missing guys? Oof. Definitely thought they would put up a better fight.
Nathan S posted Bam's matchups with Davis and how he has consistently lost those. I thought it was a regular season thing, and I really didn't realize how much bigger Davis looks once they are next to each other.
Davis has seriously gone nuclear for the playoffs. I don't know how they will stop him, and Lebron is just out there orchestrating and Letting Davis do the heavy lifting. I think Davis would have to get hurt for them to win.
You never know though, playoff outcomes can swing wildly, but I agree about your 2 best player points.