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2022 Predictions: National Media only

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DCTribefan

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Puts Guardians in Tier 7 grouping of 8 tiers. Sadly, Can’t say I disagree.
 
Am I allowed to say the AL Central will be as strong if not stronger in 22 than the AL East?
 
If you believe, as fangraphs does, that the Guardians have the WORST pitching staff (tied with KC) in the division, your pessimism is understandable. The staff is projected to be worse than last year.

But they don't, not even close.
 
If you believe, as fangraphs does, that the Guardians have the WORST pitching staff (tied with KC) in the division, your pessimism is understandable. The staff is projected to be worse than last year.

But they don't, not even close.

If we are healthy, I have no clue how we could be worse...
 
Here's the Sporting News' hot take:

AL Central​

  1. White Sox (94-68)
  2. Tigers (81-81)
  3. Royals (81-81)
  4. Twins (77-85)
  5. Guardians (67-95)
TeamWin divisionWild cardMiss playoffsFirst-round bye
White Sox84.3%10.1%5.7%64.7%
Tigers7.0%24.7%68.3%3.7%
Royals6.0%22.2%71.8%2.8%
Twins2.7%12.0%85.3%1.1%
Guardians0.0%0.5%99.5%0%
 
Here's the Sporting News' hot take:

AL Central​


TeamWin divisionWild cardMiss playoffsFirst-round bye
White Sox84.3%10.1%5.7%64.7%
Tigers7.0%24.7%68.3%3.7%
Royals6.0%22.2%71.8%2.8%
Twins2.7%12.0%85.3%1.1%
Guardians0.0%0.5%99.5%0%
This is downright disrespectful....
 
If you believe, as fangraphs does, that the Guardians have the WORST pitching staff (tied with KC) in the division, your pessimism is understandable. The staff is projected to be worse than last year.

But they don't, not even close.
Makes you wonder WTF they could/would even base that off of. Not only is it unlikely that our top 3 starters are simultaneously injured, but the quality of depth far exceeds what we had last season. Oh well, you know what they say about opinions.
 
Here's the Sporting News' hot take:

AL Central​


TeamWin divisionWild cardMiss playoffsFirst-round bye
White Sox84.3%10.1%5.7%64.7%
Tigers7.0%24.7%68.3%3.7%
Royals6.0%22.2%71.8%2.8%
Twins2.7%12.0%85.3%1.1%
Guardians0.0%0.5%99.5%0%

This is a joke honestly... We have to good of a starting staff for this to actually happen. If we get average production fro the bats, we are a wild card team...
 
This is a joke honestly... We have to good of a starting staff for this to actually happen. If we get average production fro the bats, we are a wild card team...

They may have been factoring in a Ramirez trade and thus our odds plummeted ... see how odds look tomorrow.
 
Fangraphs is a lot more open in their numbers so at least you know where they're coming for. IMO they overestimate some of the offensive pieces like Naylor and underestimate our SP but at least I know where they're coming from.
 
Fangraphs is a lot more open in their numbers so at least you know where they're coming for. IMO they overestimate some of the offensive pieces like Naylor and underestimate our SP but at least I know where they're coming from.

Naylor isn't going to miss a lot of time though and his bat actually was looking pretty good this spring...
 
His wRC+ year-by-year is 90-70 (shortened)-90 for a career of 87.

Fangraphs is projecting him for 110 out of seemingly nowhere. Coming off an injury I'm not exactly expecting him to take huge steps forward from his priors, but hey I'll welcome that if it comes. I just don't see it as likely at all.

His Spring Training was 9 plate appearances.
 
His wRC+ year-by-year is 90-70 (shortened)-90 for a career of 87.

Fangraphs is projecting him for 110 out of seemingly nowhere. Coming off an injury I'm not exactly expecting him to take huge steps forward from his priors, but hey I'll welcome that if it comes. I just don't see it as likely at all.

His Spring Training was 9 plate appearances.
Just curious.. how can you possibly argue for or against a projection from Fangraphs?.. I don't get it..
 

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