Urban
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OSU has 3 games on their schedule they could realistically lose. 9 wins seems like the absolute floor for them, 10 wins seems likely.
For Michigan to get to 10 wins they are going to have to beat 3 of Texas, USC, @Washington, Oregon and @OSU.
Out of those 5 more talent heavy programs, 3 of the games come in the first 6 weeks of the season.
A lot will be determined by transfer portal and returnees…..but Michigan has a schedule where I think 7-8 wins could be the floor…..and something like 10 wins seems like a really, really, really good season.
I was moreso commenting on you saying OSU drew an insanely lucky schedule- Texas is probably the toughest opponent on either team's schedule (ignoring The Game) but that game was scheduled, not randomly drawn.
@ Oregon > Oregon
@ Penn State > @ Washington
USC > Iowa
I know USC has the talent and they took the right step in removing Grinch to hopefully fix that awful defense. But without Caleb I'm not super convinced they're anything to worry about at home in Week 4. @ Washington is definitely not a walk in the park but they're losing Penix, Odunze, Polk, and Trice. And I know Iowa has no real shot at beating either Michigan or Ohio State but they're probably the 4th best team Ohio State plays next year