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2023 Season | Series #47 | Guardians @ Giants | Sep. 10-12, 2023

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Wham with the Right Hand

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With the season winding down and the Guardians all but mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, they're now playing out the string, as they say. Time to get a look at some young guys, IMO.

The Giants are 73-70 and 1.5 games out of the wild card, so this series is huge for them. They are 10 games over .500 at home and 7games under on the road, so they're a good home team. They are much better against left-handed pitching (9 games over .500) than against right-handers (6 games under). We will start Williams and Quantrill in the first two games and Logan Allen on Wednesday afternoon.

The Giants don't have a starter listed for tomorrow and on Wednesday they're starting a 22-year-old rookie making his fifth career start. However, he is a lefty so the Guardians chances on Wednesday don't look good. The Giants are at their best at home against a lefty (we have Allen going)while the Guardians can't hit even minor league lefties. If the Giants are smart they'll bring up a lefty from AAA (any one will do) to beat the Guardians tomorrow.

The Giants are five games under .500 since the All-Star break. They lost six in a row before sweeping the pitiful Rockies at home this weekend. They're not exactly on a roll at the moment.

The Giants rank 22nd in runs per game. At home they are averaging just 4.0 runs and hitting .242/.696. They only have two players with an OPS over .800; Wilmer Flores (.880) and Mike Yastrzemski (.804). Offensively they rank between 21-26 in OBP, BA, home runs per game, and slugging percentage. Their ball park is the fourth most difficult in baseball to homer in; 17% harder than the average park. I don't expect a lot of home runs from either team this series. Neither hits a lot of home runs and the ball park is not conducive.

This should be a low scoring series. The Guardians are coming off a series against the Angels where they scored 11 runs in four games against a team that just gave away three pitchers and had a team ERA over 6.00 in the second half. The situational hitting was awful; they were 1-for-15 with RISP in one of the games. Even with Josh Naylor back they're pitiful offensively right now.

Alex Cobb, a 35-year-old right-hander, starts for the Giants tonight. Cobb is 7-6 with a 3.74 ERA. However, in his last seven starts his ERA is 5.87. On Aug. 29, two starts back, he came within one out of a no-hitter against the Reds. He threw 131 pitches in that game. In his next start he only went three innings and gave up four runs. So we'll see tonight if that 131 pitch start at age 35 was a mistake or if he's recovered.

Cobb's home ERA is 2.09 against a 5.26 ERA on the road, so he has been very effective in this ball park. He's allowed five home runs in 11 starts at home and a batting average of .230 versus .307 on the road. Based on those numbers and the way the Guardians have been hitting recently I don't expect them to score more than three runs, if that.

Gavin Williams (2-5, 3.34) only has two wins thanks to poor run support, but he has been impressive in his first 14 career starts. The Big Rig is coming off a five-inning, one-hit performance against the Twins. He has been much better on the road (1.96 ERA) and this is a pitcher's park and a below average Giants' offense, so I expect another strong performance with little or no run support tonight.

I don't think there will be much interest in this series from Guardians' fans. The outcomes are irrelevant at this point with the Guardians 7.5 games back of the Twins. The Giants are a team without any interesting players. The Guardians just lost three of four to the Angels without Ohtani and Trout and also with half their pitching staff either injured or released. The Giants are below .500 in the second half. Not much of a series to get excited about.
 
Watching these games only because this ballpark is beautiful.
 
Win. Lose. Kind of irrelevant.
Not really, it is the must tank series. Right now, we pick around 12th with only a 10% chance of moving up to top 6. We are 2 back from Mets 6th pick. Even if we dive to Pitt 7th pick, that’s 43% chance of picking in top-6 (even first).

Even though a top pick won’t help right away, it does give more ammo to trade for the right vet. It also gives more $$$$ to spend on later picks.
 
Not really, it is the must tank series. Right now, we pick around 12th with only a 10% chance of moving up to top 6. We are 2 back from Mets 6th pick. Even if we dive to Pitt 7th pick, that’s 43% chance of picking in top-6 (even first).

Even though a top pick won’t help right away, it does give more ammo to trade for the right vet. It also gives more $$$$ to spend on later picks.

I hate to tell you this, but this team would never lose on purpose... So they will win lol
 
Please no more Gallagher. More Jose at DH, and a lot more Freeman and Fry.
 
Are we still playing Sportscoach's boy Kole Calhoun every chance we get?

I also see Straw is at .582 OPS. Probably dead last, or very close to in active players. That trade blew up in our face.
 
First. inning for Williams.. he gives up a Solo Homer.. followed by a fly ball that straw played too casually allowing the runner on first to tag and advance.. a walk and an easy comebacker to retire the side.. A lot of pitches.. but only the solo homer.. 1-0 Giants..
 
Nice swing by Brennan..but right at the 2B..

Naylor.. the same swing.. but it goes by the Giants SS for a single..

Cobb's not fooling these guys..
 
straw puts one in play.. but is thrown out at first by a whisker.. 1-0..still..
 

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