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2023 Season | Series #52 | Guardians @ Tigers | Sep. 28-30, 2023

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Wham with the Right Hand

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The Guardians wrap up a disappointing season against the team they probably played the worst against; the Detroit Tigers. The Guardians have lost all three series they've played against this team and are 3-7 on the season. This is their last chance to salvage a little self-respect and send Tito into retirement on a winning note.

To add insult to injury, the Tigers are now in 2nd place, one game ahead of the Guardians. By winning two of three this weekend the Guardians could tie the Tigers for 2nd, but at this point I doubt if anybody cares whether we finish 2nd or 3rd.

The Tigers' pitching staff has dominated the Guardians' hitters. The G's have managed to score just 20 runs in 10 games, hitting .192/.532. The Tigers have an ERA of 4.32 in all games this year, which is average, but it's about 2.00 against the Guardians.

The Guardians' staff hasn't been that bad against the Tigers, who have scored just 31 runs in 10 games. But the Tigers have excelled in the close games, winning by scores of 1-0, 4-2, 4-3, 4-3, and 4-1. On the season the Guardians have been outscored by 26 runs while the Tigers have been outscored by 88, yet the Tigers have one more win. They're just better at winning the close ones.

Jose is hitting .132 against the Tigers, Kwan is at .194, and Straw is 2-for-27. A major reason for the Guardians pathetic offensive performance against the Tigers this year is that left-handed pitchers have started 7 of the 10 games and have a combined record of 5-0 against Cleveland. Lefties Tyler Holton and Jason Shreve have combined to pitch 6 scoreless innings out of the pen, allowing just two hits. By my calculation Tigers lefties have pitched 49.1 innings against the Guardians this year and allowed 7 earned runs for an ERA of 1.27.

We suck against all lefties but even more so against Tigers' lefties.

The beatings will continue this weekend as the Tigers will be starting lefties on Friday and Sunday; Saturday appears to be a bullpen game. Eduardo Rodriguez (12-9, 3.40) starts Sunday. Rodriguez has started three games against the Guardians this year, pitching 21.2 innings and allowing 12 hits and 1 earned run for an ERA of 0.42. IOW, the Guardians may as well just take every pitch and hope he walks four batters in an inning. It couldn't be any worse than swinging at his pitches.

Rodriquez's ERA in his non-Guardians starts this year is 3.91. He's a solid starter but nothing spectacular until he faces the Guardians, at which point he morphs into Sandy Koufax in his prime.

Cal Quantrill takes the hill for the Guardians in Friday's opener. Cal has a 1.95 ERA in five starts since returning from injury. Back in April he went six innings against the Tigers and shut them out. It's been a disappointing year for Cal (3-7, 5.13), but he has a chance to finish with a very strong September with a good start Friday.

Lefty Joey Wentz goes for Detroit. Wentz is 3-12 with a 6.45 ERA. Looks like a big advantage for the Guardians, except that Wentz has started two games against the Guardians, allowing 2 runs in 10.2 innings for a 1.69 ERA. Guardian batters are hitting .184 against him. His ERA against the rest of baseball is 6.99. The way the rest of baseball has trashed him this year he must love pitching against us.

The Lucas Giolito era ends Sunday in his last chance to make a good impression before hitting free agency. Gio is 8-14 with a 4.77 ERA for three teams this year, but he's been especially bad for the Guardians with a 6.66 ERA in five starts.

Tristan McKenzie makes his second start Saturday. He couldn't find the plate in his first start back from injury, but Bieber improved greatly between his first and second starts so maybe Tristan can finish his incredibly disappointing season with a solid outing.

I'd like to see the Guardians take two games and at least win one series out of four, but it's not looking likely having to face two lefties who have owned us and with a very rusty McKenzie going against their bullpen.

The Tigers with three lefty starters in Rodriguez, Wentz, and Skubal are set up to beat Cleveland. The Tigers have all of them under team control for at least three more years so unless we find some hitters who can hit average left-handed pitching we're going to continue to be dominated by this team.

For those of you who take the time to read these previews I hope you enjoyed them as much as I enjoyed putting them together. I wish I could do a couple of playoff previews but it won't happen this year. Maybe next year if the front office makes the right moves and we have better injury luck with our starters and a bounce back year from a few relievers.
 
The Guardians wrap up a disappointing season against the team they probably played the worst against; the Detroit Tigers. The Guardians have lost all three series they've played against this team and are 3-7 on the season. This is their last chance to salvage a little self-respect and send Tito into retirement on a winning note.

To add insult to injury, the Tigers are now in 2nd place, one game ahead of the Guardians. By winning two of three this weekend the Guardians could tie the Tigers for 2nd, but at this point I doubt if anybody cares whether we finish 2nd or 3rd.

The Tigers' pitching staff has dominated the Guardians' hitters. The G's have managed to score just 20 runs in 10 games, hitting .192/.532. The Tigers have an ERA of 4.32 in all games this year, which is average, but it's about 2.00 against the Guardians.

The Guardians' staff hasn't been that bad against the Tigers, who have scored just 31 runs in 10 games. But the Tigers have excelled in the close games, winning by scores of 1-0, 4-2, 4-3, 4-3, and 4-1. On the season the Guardians have been outscored by 26 runs while the Tigers have been outscored by 88, yet the Tigers have one more win. They're just better at winning the close ones.

Jose is hitting .132 against the Tigers, Kwan is at .194, and Straw is 2-for-27. A major reason for the Guardians pathetic offensive performance against the Tigers this year is that left-handed pitchers have started 7 of the 10 games and have a combined record of 5-0 against Cleveland. Lefties Tyler Holton and Jason Shreve have combined to pitch 6 scoreless innings out of the pen, allowing just two hits. By my calculation Tigers lefties have pitched 49.1 innings against the Guardians this year and allowed 7 earned runs for an ERA of 1.27.

We suck against all lefties but even more so against Tigers' lefties.

The beatings will continue this weekend as the Tigers will be starting lefties on Friday and Sunday; Saturday appears to be a bullpen game. Eduardo Rodriguez (12-9, 3.40) starts Sunday. Rodriguez has started three games against the Guardians this year, pitching 21.2 innings and allowing 12 hits and 1 earned run for an ERA of 0.42. IOW, the Guardians may as well just take every pitch and hope he walks four batters in an inning. It couldn't be any worse than swinging at his pitches.

Rodriquez's ERA in his non-Guardians starts this year is 3.91. He's a solid starter but nothing spectacular until he faces the Guardians, at which point he morphs into Sandy Koufax in his prime.

Cal Quantrill takes the hill for the Guardians in Friday's opener. Cal has a 1.95 ERA in five starts since returning from injury. Back in April he went six innings against the Tigers and shut them out. It's been a disappointing year for Cal (3-7, 5.13), but he has a chance to finish with a very strong September with a good start Friday.

Lefty Joey Wentz goes for Detroit. Wentz is 3-12 with a 6.45 ERA. Looks like a big advantage for the Guardians, except that Wentz has started two games against the Guardians, allowing 2 runs in 10.2 innings for a 1.69 ERA. Guardian batters are hitting .184 against him. His ERA against the rest of baseball is 6.99. The way the rest of baseball has trashed him this year he must love pitching against us.

The Lucas Giolito era ends Sunday in his last chance to make a good impression before hitting free agency. Gio is 8-14 with a 4.77 ERA for three teams this year, but he's been especially bad for the Guardians with a 6.66 ERA in five starts.

Tristan McKenzie makes his second start Saturday. He couldn't find the plate in his first start back from injury, but Bieber improved greatly between his first and second starts so maybe Tristan can finish his incredibly disappointing season with a solid outing.

I'd like to see the Guardians take two games and at least win one series out of four, but it's not looking likely having to face two lefties who have owned us and with a very rusty McKenzie going against their bullpen.

The Tigers with three lefty starters in Rodriguez, Wentz, and Skubal are set up to beat Cleveland. The Tigers have all of them under team control for at least three more years so unless we find some hitters who can hit average left-handed pitching we're going to continue to be dominated by this team.

For those of you who take the time to read these previews I hope you enjoyed them as much as I enjoyed putting them together. I wish I could do a couple of playoff previews but it won't happen this year. Maybe next year if the front office makes the right moves and we have better injury luck with our starters and a bounce back year from a few relievers.
More thought was put into these previews than some of the bating lineups earlier in the year which is great for you but also sad at the same time . Great job, are you doing the Cavs ones too?
 
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The disappointment was found in the results.. finishing not in first place in the AL Central, in and of itself.. is disappointing..

This season was more about overcoming adversity.. The loss of four of five starters for extended periods of time while playing three rookies in the starting staff and a dozen mostly first year position players.. while finishing with a record approach .500.. can only be deemed success..

More than anything else.. these guys were entertaining..

More than anything else.. the weather cooperated for the vast majority of the season..

More than anything else.. the future looks bright..

This season's final series will be a send off for both Miggy and Tito.. Both are dead sure locks for Cooperstown in five years.. These last few games should showcase the talent aboard and the health of the returnee.. McStix gets his second start.. Quantrill gets to show his game is more than enough if he is healthy.. The season long shortstop audition will see a very short display of Brayan Rocchio.. I'm sure he'll more than rise up to meet the challenge.. It's in his DNA to succeed.. Two of the three games will see Bo behind the dish.. The game he doesn't don the instruments of stupidity is the reason why that spot in the lineup is a dire need.. The pen will be on full display in the middle game..

It's been a fun season.. Hopefully, it will be a productive and entertaining hot stove season...
 
I guess I missed it, but Gavin Williams was presumably shut down?
 
Tank vs Pride series…. (Sorry board this morning).

For Det, it’s more about pride and getting out of cellar of Central. Finishing 2nd will go a long way with their fan base.

For Cle, they won’t tank on purpose but to finish in 9th draft slot is huge in rebuilding the depleted farm system to get a top-6 pick …. (due to Naylor, Williams and Bibee all graduating). Right now, we are in 10th slot (as Pitt wins tie-breaker due to worst 2022 record). Picking 9th or 11th or 12th isn't that big of deal difference (as Wash has 10th slot - not eligible for top-9 pick). Just based on regular odds .... that 23% chance by letting Pitt and Det win out over us would make the draft ping pong balls process interesting.

8th (32% chance top 6)
9th (23% chance)
10th (16% chance)
11th (12.5% chance)
12th (10% chance)
13th (8% chance)
 
The disappointment was found in the results.. finishing not in first place in the AL Central, in and of itself.. is disappointing..

This season was more about overcoming adversity.. The loss of four of five starters for extended periods of time while playing three rookies in the starting staff and a dozen mostly first year position players.. while finishing with a record approach .500.. can only be deemed success..

More than anything else.. these guys were entertaining..

More than anything else.. the weather cooperated for the vast majority of the season..

More than anything else.. the future looks bright..

This season's final series will be a send off for both Miggy and Tito.. Both are dead sure locks for Cooperstown in five years.. These last few games should showcase the talent aboard and the health of the returnee.. McStix gets his second start.. Quantrill gets to show his game is more than enough if he is healthy.. The season long shortstop audition will see a very short display of Brayan Rocchio.. I'm sure he'll more than rise up to meet the challenge.. It's in his DNA to succeed.. Two of the three games will see Bo behind the dish.. The game he doesn't don the instruments of stupidity is the reason why that spot in the lineup is a dire need.. The pen will be on full display in the middle game..

It's been a fun season.. Hopefully, it will be a productive and entertaining hot stove season...
The future does look bright and attendance was way up this year despite all the adversity and a team that ranked 27th in runs per game. Home attendance increased 41.5% over last year's 92-win season which featured many thrilling come-from-behind and walk-off wins.
 
I forgot to mention in the preview that Eric Haase is 7-for-14 against Cleveland this year, Spencer Torkelson is hitting .382/1.181, and Kerry Carpenter is hitting .286/.953 with 7 RBI's in 7 games. Torkelson has also been walked six times. His OBP against the Guardians is .475; he's been on base 19 times in 10 games against the Guardians. If you take away his two home runs he's been on base 17 times and scored 3 runs, so the Guardians have done a good job against the middle of their lineup. He normally hits 2nd, 3rd, or 4th.

Torkelson is hitting .218 at home so maybe the Guardians' pitchers will be able to contain him a little this weekend.

Zach McKinstry is hitting .357/.884 in nine games against the Guardians.

On the other side of the coin, Miggy is 3-for-24 and Nick Maton is 1-for-22. It's been either feast or famine for most of the Tiger hitters when facing the Guardians. We need a better approach against Torkelson, Carpenter, and McKinstry this weekend. Also Eric Haase; he's a .201 hitter overall but .500 against Cleveland.
 
This is the end... hold your breath and count to ten...
 
I forgot to mention in the preview that Eric Haase is 7-for-14 against Cleveland this year, Spencer Torkelson is hitting .382/1.181, and Kerry Carpenter is hitting .286/.953 with 7 RBI's in 7 games. Torkelson has also been walked six times. His OBP against the Guardians is .475; he's been on base 19 times in 10 games against the Guardians. If you take away his two home runs he's been on base 17 times and scored 3 runs, so the Guardians have done a good job against the middle of their lineup. He normally hits 2nd, 3rd, or 4th.

Torkelson is hitting .218 at home so maybe the Guardians' pitchers will be able to contain him a little this weekend.

Zach McKinstry is hitting .357/.884 in nine games against the Guardians.

On the other side of the coin, Miggy is 3-for-24 and Nick Maton is 1-for-22. It's been either feast or famine for most of the Tiger hitters when facing the Guardians. We need a better approach against Torkelson, Carpenter, and McKinstry this weekend. Also Eric Haase; he's a .201 hitter overall but .500 against Cleveland.
I don’t think we have to worry about Eric Haase hitting against us this series.
 

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