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I think the more arm talent you have, especially with confidence, the more likely you'll make risky plays.
Look at Rodgers. One of the best in the league (he is, imo), right? He makes some of the most ridiculous throws where I scratch my head why he made the throw, or even thought to do it.
Your goal with Kizer is that Hue fixes the technical problems, and as a result, those boneheaded risky throws become 50/50 plus throws (plus as in positive result), and that the technical flaws eliminate the underthrow/overthrow picks.
Kizer has made some silly throws in college no doubt. He has everything physically you want in a QB and his attitude from reports has been excellent. Gym rat, taking it all in, learning and correcting mistakes. If he keeps that kind of mentality up, especially early, he could be special.