• Changing RCF's index page, please click on "Forums" to access the forums.

Chad Ford's Thoughts

Do Not Sell My Personal Information
Joined
May 18, 2005
Messages
31
Reaction score
3
Points
8
Here's what Chad has to say today about the Cavs.

The free-agent frenzy slowed down over the holiday weekend as NBA executives hunkered down for what appears to be an extended period of negotiations and trade talk.

League sources say that progress on working out the specifics of the new collective bargaining agreement is going slower than expected, and several NBA executives believe the league may extend the player-signing moratorium beyond the July 22 date already set by the league.

The good news is that this gives teams lots of time to formulate and reformulate their free-agent strategies. From the look of things, some teams need more time than the NBA can give them.

The bad news is that the moratorium leaves a number of teams in limbo. Remember, restricted free agents must wait an additional seven days if they sign an offer sheet with another team. That means many teams won't be able to settle their rosters until August.

In the meantime, every agent in the league is sitting back a little and waiting to see what Michael Redd does. Now that Ray Allen has agreed to return to Seattle, Redd is the other big domino that needs to fall (and set the market) before the rest of the free-agent class starts seeing their final offers.

Here's what we're hearing coming out of the holiday break:

Cavs: It's becoming clearer what new GM Danny Ferry's strategy is: He'd like to lure Michael Redd away from Milwaukee, bring in Lithuanian point guard Sarunas Jasikevicius from overseas, re-sign Zydrunas Ilgauskas and find a way to swap Drew Gooden for a more blue-collar, defense-oriented power forward.

It's not a bad plan, and it's one, if completed, that should propel the Cavs into the playoffs.

To make it happen, first Ferry has to convince Redd to agree to the home-state discount (Redd is from Ohio). That would mean Redd would lose a year of guaranteed money -- roughly $20 million, depending on what happens with the new cap figures.

It's a long shot. However, Redd hasn't agreed to the Bucks' huge max offer yet and is planning to visit Cleveland this week -- encouraging signs for the Cavs.

On most teams (including the Bucks), Redd isn't worth a max contract offer. He's a fantastic shooter, but what else does he do? He's not really a go-to guy, he isn't a great defender and he doesn't rebound or handle the ball well. However, paired next to LeBron and Ilgauskas, he might be worth the cash. The Cavs desperately need a shooter, and Redd's stroke could be deadly in Cleveland with LeBron and Ilgauskas commanding double teams.

Could is the operative word here. Joe Johnson was the team's first choice, but the Cavs believe the Suns will match any offer to him. Johnson was actually a better shooter last year, is three inches taller than Redd, can play the point and is a better defender -- and is two years younger, to boot. Before Ray Allen agreed to re-sign with Seattle, he was the Cavs' backup plan -- as a more versatile and experienced, but much older, choice. Hughes is also an option (and statistically the best of the top four guards), though everyone believes he'll re-sign with Washington.

Jasikevicius is next on the to-do list for the Cavs. He's also being wooed strongly by the Pacers and Celtics and wants to make a decision soon. The Cavs appeal to him because they're one of the few teams in the league that have starting jobs available. The asking price is high (he'd like the full $5 million mid-level exception), but he might be worth it. If the Cavs want championship experience in their point guard, Jasikevicius has it. He's won three straight Euroleague titles, leading two different squads. However, if the Cavs want a point guard who plays defense, they'd better start looking elsewhere. If Ferry can't sign Jasikevicius, look for the Cavs to switch gears and make a strong push for Antonio Daniels and Marko Jaric.

Ilgauskas is demanding more cash than the Cavs are willing to offer and appears to have a legitimate suitor in the Hawks. However, the Cavs believe his agent, Herb Rudoy, is bluffing when he claims that Ilgauskas really wants to play elsewhere. They've already added one fellow Lithuanian to the roster (draft pick Martynas Andriuskevicius) and are in the process of potentially adding another. Ilgauskas loves Cleveland and knows the Cavs are in position to offer him a big deal.

If the Cavs land Redd and Jasikevicius, they'll be left with roughly $9 to $11 million to offer Ilgauskas as a starting salary (again, depending on where the new salary cap comes in).

If Ilgauskas can't live with that, the Cavs might be better off going young and trying to lure Tyson Chandler, Samuel Dalembert or LeBron's favorite, Eddy Curry, to Cleveland.

If they can add a big, athletic, shot-blocking rebounder like Chandler or Dalembert to the mix, they could either keep Gooden or swap him for a more stable low-post scorer. Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Al Harrington, Mike Sweetney and Chris Wilcox are all available via trade or sign-and-trade.

If they keep Ilgauskas or grab a guy like Curry, the Cavs will look for a bruising, rebounding power forward who can defend and do the dirty work in the paint that Ilgauskas and Gooden don't provide. Reggie Evans, Udonis Haslem, P.J. Brown or even, yes, Carlos Boozer could be available via trade or sign-and-trade.
 
Hi flight :)

Great article you got there. I will cry if Dru is traded :(
 
Boozer makes no sense as a bruising defender. Haslem would be a nice fit, though. I'll take more than that to pry him away from Miami, though.
 
its like reading a summary of the RCF boards
 
Im still interested in Al Harrington, he has potential and is a big body. I dont know if id trade Gooden for him, but if we can get him for like Newbs, Id do it.
 
Al Harringtom is certainly on the block. He is that classic tweener. Not quite a power forward / small forward. Talented score but not to crash hot on defense. Definately an upgrade on Gooden, but nothing significant.
 
A Mac aka The Truth said:
Im still interested in Al Harrington, he has potential and is a big body. I dont know if id trade Gooden for him, but if we can get him for like Newbs, Id do it.


I'd like AL Harington as well but I dount we could get him and only lose Newble.. but if it was on the table I would jump on it soo fast.
 
hoops24 said:
Hi flight :)

Great article you got there. I will cry if Dru is traded :(
WE DON'T CRY in the forum ;)

suck it up and live with it....................... :chuckles:
 
Al Harrington is a good player, but isn't he 6'7? He's pretty undersized if you ask me. He is still better than Drew, but if he was faced against and elite PF, he would get drilled.

I don't think Chad Ford meant Boozer is a defender, he was probably talking about someone who can do all the dirty work and rebound. Because we all know that Boozer doesn't do squat on defense.

Out of all those PF's listed for a trade, I would look strongly at Udonis Haslim. We all seen how well he played next to Shaq, I'm pretty sure it would be simular if he played next to Z.
 
I think Udonis Haslem would be a good Cav especially if we have both Redd and Lebron on the team. He'd be a banger similar to a Ben Wallace.

Edwin
 
Haslem definately improved his stock, but I dont know if he'll be the same guy without Shaq or if he'll even want to leave Miami.
 
I'm not as high on Harrington as I used to be. He's a decent player but he is a tweener who's not a true PF and not a true SF. I don't think the Cavs have anyone that would interest Atlanta in a trade for Harrington anyway.

Good point about Haslem without Shaq. Haslem is a solid player but I think got a bit overrated this season. I'm not sure he's worth the more than $5 million a year it would take to get him. If the Cavs do resign Z and can add Redd than Haslem would be a pretty good fit as a hustling rebounding PF.
 
some more of chad ford on his chat today on espn about redd. i guess our guess is as good as his as to where redd will go.

Tom (STL): Where does Michael Redd sign? And what do the Cavaliers do if he does not sign with them?

Chad Ford: He "visited" the Bucks on Tuesday (your guess is as good as mine on why he needs to visit the team he's played for his whole career) and he's in Cleveland today. The Bucks are offering him the max. So are the Cavs. Because of differences in the CBA, the Bucks offer is $20 million more. 99 percent of the free agents I've covered over the past seven years take the money and run. The fact that Redd is still deciding speaks to how appealing the Cavs situation must be. If he cares about winning and a great situation it's Cleveland. But $20 million is a lot to leave on the table. In other words I'll be shocked if he bolts the Bucks.
 

Rubber Rim Job Podcast Video

Episode 3-15: "Cavs Survive and Advance"

Rubber Rim Job Podcast Spotify

Episode 3:15: Cavs Survive and Advance
Top