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Game Thread | 2021-2022 Season | Game #24 | Jazz @ Cavs | Dec. 5, 2021 | 3:30 p.m.

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Wham with the Right Hand

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The Cavaliers, on a four-game roll, return home to take on the 15-7 Utah Jazz. Both teams were off yesterday. This is the first game of a road trip for the Jazz, who are 6-3 on the road. With the Browns on a bye the NBA scheduled a Sunday matinee. Game starts at 3:30.

The Jazz, coming off an extended home stand, are hot, winning 7 of their last 9. In their last three games they scored 127, 129, and 137 points. On Friday they beat Boston 137-130. The Celtics rank 12th in scoring defense. The Jazz are blistering the nets and are the 2nd highest scoring team in the Association at 114.2 ppg.

Utah hit a season-high 27 3-pointers and shot 53% from long distance against the Celtics. It marked the first time this season that an opponent had made 20 or more 3-pointers against Boston. - nba.com

This game will be a great test of the Cavaliers’ defense, currently ranked 2nd in scoring and allowing an average of 93.5 points over their four-game winning streak. The irresistible force against the immovable object.

The Jazz depend on 3-point shooting more than any team; they are first in 3-point rate, putting up a 3 on 49.2% of their shots. They are first in percentage of points from 3’s and last in percentage of points from 2’s. They are 10th in shooting percentage on 3’s at 36.6%. Any game plan against Utah has to start with defending the 3.

Fortunately, the Cavs excel in defending the 3, ranking 6th in opponent’s 3-point percentage. They rank 5th in opponents’ 3-point rate, meaning teams don’t take many 3’s against the Cavs. It’s not just shooting percentage, it’s also shot prevention. In a lot of cases opponents want to take a 3 but can’t because they have a 7-footer in their face.

Recently the Cavs have been even better. In their last 13 games no opponent has shot 40% on 3’s, which is the longest current streak in the NBA. This game could come down to whether the Cavs can effectively defend the Jazz long range shooting.

When Cleveland has the ball it’s the opposite; Utah ranks 4th in defending 3’s and 17th in allowing points in the paint. Outside of Rudy Gobert the Jazz have a small lineup. They remind me of Miami - a smaller but very skilled and very experienced (and older) team.

Their starters are: Gobert (7’1”), Bogdanovich (6’7”), O’Neale (6’5”), Mitchell (6’1”), and Conley (6’1”). Coming off the bench are Jordan Clarkson (6’4”), Joe Ingles (6’8”), and Rudy Gay (6’8”). Bogdanovich is 32, Conley 34, Ingles 34, and Gay 35. Ingles and Gay are pretty much strictly 3-point shooters at this point. If youth is an advantage the Cavs have it.

Other than the Allen/Gobert matchup the Cavs will have a big height advantage with Mobley and Marky matched up with guys 6’7” and 6’5”. Since the Jazz defend the 3 very well but are only average in the paint, I expect the Cavs to pound the rock inside whenever possible. Gobert will try to help and get some ambush blocks, which will leave Allen open for passes under the rim.

That being said, the Cavs are white hot on 3’s lately. In their last three games they are 39-for-80 from deep (48.8%). They’re at home after a day off so if the shot is there they should take it.

What’s really impressive is that their top 3-point shooter, Cedi Osman at 43.0%, missed those games and they still shot nearly 50%. Looks like they’re getting used to the new ball.

Boston scored 130 in Utah without Jaylen Brown Friday night. They average 107. Utah ranks 5th in scoring defense, but Boston figured something out. The Cavs should watch that tape.

Within the game it will be fun to watch the individual matchups of Allen vs. Gobert and Donovan Mitchell vs. Isaac Okoro (when Utah has the ball).

Mitchell averages 23.7 ppg on 44% from the field and 33% on 3’s. He puts up 20 shots per game. The Cavs held Bradley Beal to 10-for-36 in two games so it will be interesting to see how well they can contain Mitchell.

Gobert averages 15.3 points, 14.4 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks on 73.9% shooting. Obviously he has a similar game to Jarrett Allen. Gobert is a three-time NBA DPOY so we’ll see what Allen can do against him. Darius Garland is going to have to make those lobs a little higher than usual to get them over Gobert.

Allen has scored between 19-28 points in his last six games on 73.7% so he’s on a roll but facing Gobert will be a huge test.

If Garland is guarded by 34-year-old Mike Conley he should be able to get penetration. If Mitchell takes him that will be another great individual matchup to watch.

I’d like to see Marky and Love taking corner 3’s against the shorter Utah forwards when they’re not punishing them in the low post.

Bogdanovich at age 32 is still shooting very well; 46.2% and 40.6%. He’s averaging 16.9 ppg and is their second leading scorer. Jordan Clarkson is only shooting 37.7% and 30.1%. He’s well below his career averages for some reason but gets 15.1 ppg on shot volume.

Here are the top 3-point shooters the Cavs need to be concerned about: Bogdanovich 40.6%, Conley 47.0%, O’Neale 37.0%, Gay 48.7%, and Ingles 41.7%. Pretty impressive numbers.

So I think it will come down to the Cavs’ ability to stop the 3-point shot and prevent Mitchell from going off. He hasn’t had any 50-point games yet but got his season high of 34 against Boston on Friday.

Utah leads the league in 3-pointers made per game and they just hit 27 of them against a team that hasn’t allowed 20 all season. The Cavs are 3rd in 3’s allowed per game, so something has to give.

On offense the keys will be the Cavs’ ability to score in the paint while also knocking down their open 3’s like they were doing on the road this week.

Utah has been extremely fortunate with injuries - in 22 games their starters have missed only 5 out of a possible 110 starts (Cavs’ starters have missed 30). The Jazz are 15-7 but they’ve played 13 of 22 games at home. They have also played a few bad teams. They beat Sacramento three times, OKC twice, Houston, Toronto, and New Orleans. That’s eight wins against some of the worst teams in the NBA. The Cavs haven’t played any of those teams except Toronto once. The Jazz have lost to some bad teams; New Orleans, Indy, and Orlando.

Let’s not kid ourselves, they’re a very good team with a +9.2 scoring differential which is second in the league. But they’ve played a lot of games at home, a lot against bad teams, and so far they’ve been injury free. The only player on the injured list is backup center Hassan Whiteside, who is day-to-day.

ESPN has Dean Wade out and Cedi Osman questionable.

This game will be a big test of where the Cavs are really at right now. Dallas is overrated and Miami was missing Butler and Bam. The win over the Wizards was impressive in every way, now let’s see if they can play like that against a better opponent.
 
Thanks for the write-up. I think we can match up okay with Gobert, since we have better overall height. I'm more worried about truly big men, like Joel Embid, who can push Allen and Mobley around.

With the Browns not playing, I'd like to think the arena will be rocking and the home-court advantage will make the difference. But it will really come down to who shoots the 3-pointers better. Hopefully Osman will play and will continue shooting well.
 
Some of you have me more confident about today but I have concerns with Darius confidence attacking the rim. Gobert will not let that cute shit go & will make Oops more difficult. If that's shit down, not only do we lose a key part of offense but we lose Darius' confidence for today.
 
Utah -4.5, at the moment. This team is like a better version of us…
 
This is our biggest test of the season so far imo.

Utah has the #2 SRS in the league along with the #1 offense by far. To give perspective, their 116.2 ORTG is 3.7 points higher than the 2nd ranked offense Warriors. The gap between them and 2nd is bigger than the gap between 2nd and 13.

Gobert also has the potential to really give us trouble because he’ll take away those DG floaters and lobs to Allen that have been such a staple of our offense. Mitchell will be a super tough guard because of how quick he is, and we know Garland and Okoro struggle to contain penetration against those kinds of athletes.

Finally, we’ve got our most important pieces back and I don’t think Utah is going to take us lightly. We were pretty injured when we faced GS, Brooklyn, and Phoenix so there weren’t any real expectations and we probably caught those guys by surprise as well. We’ve proven we’re a good team now when healthy and Utah is going to really come for us.

On paper this is maybe the worst matchup for us in the league, outside of maybe Milwaukee because of the Giannis factor. If we manage to win this game, we’re going to really put the league on notice.
 
People have been sleeping on the Cavs, expecting them to fall back into oblivion. I think today notice gets served to the NBA that the Cavs are for real and they are here to stay…

Cavs- 115
Jazz- 97

Allen & Gobert will neutralize each other. Our big advantage is at point guard (DG’s young legs) and forward, where we have a huge size advantage.
 
I really hope we don’t try to take advantage of the Mobley-Royce O’Neale matchup by just posting Mobley up against him. That’s exactly how Utah wants us to spend our possessions. Sure Mobley has a ton of height and length on him but O’Neale is strong and like 15 pounds heavier with a way lower center of gravity. We don’t want Mobley just taking turnaround mid range jumpers.

We need to actually be creative. Get Mobley on the move towards the hoop, so that he can use his length to finish over O’Neale who has no hope of contesting. If Gobert tries to help, Mobley is a good enough passer to hit Allen. And then I don’t even mind putting Mobley in the corner and hitting him for some spot up threes at times since O’Neale would have to play so close to him in order to prevent wide open looks due to length advantage, which helps space the floor for us.
 
Allen is going to have a battle on his hands with Gobert.

I think we really need to get Mobley in an offensive rhythm early today. Gobert isn’t just gonna let a basic screen and roll with Allen and DG light him up. We will need Mobley’s scoring, and we will need him to draw attention to the middle of the court and make good reads either with his high-low passing or with kicking to the corners. We need Mobley to have a game like he did in MSG moreso than the Wiz last night.

Do we have word on Osman? We could really use him today…
 
I get to watch this game live so I expect it will be a sloppy affair
 
I really hope we don’t try to take advantage of the Mobley-Royce O’Neale matchup by just posting Mobley up against him. That’s exactly how Utah wants us to spend our possessions. Sure Mobley has a ton of height and length on him but O’Neale is strong and like 15 pounds heavier with a way lower center of gravity. We don’t want Mobley just taking turnaround mid range jumpers.

We need to actually be creative. Get Mobley on the move towards the hoop, so that he can use his length to finish over O’Neale who has no hope of contesting. If Gobert tries to help, Mobley is a good enough passer to hit Allen. And then I don’t even mind putting Mobley in the corner and hitting him for some spot up threes at times since O’Neale would have to play so close to him in order to prevent wide open looks due to length advantage, which helps space the floor for us.
Mobley should bust out the face up game against him. Playing from the high post or the middle of the key. That little bread and butter 12 footer, a spin move into a right hook shot. Some high low passing, finding cutters and kicking to shooters.
 
I feel like this is definitely a game that we only win if mobley plays well. He is our difference maker.
 
Everyone is worried about Gobert protecting the rim, but are also forgetting that the Cavs have been so successful with their lobs and with Allen because they run high pick and rolls that pull opposing Cs out of the paint to start those sets to exploit their size difference.

I think that's the best way to break down and neutralize Gobert's defensive impact, making him the focal point of all of your actions or actions to get into sets and wear him down. It's what T Lue did to the Jazz in the playoffs last year. He just high pick and rolled them to death with whoever had the ball and whoever had Gobert on them and let PG or Kawhi get switched onto him on the perimeter, where he is not as effective as a defender, and let them go to work.

I think if they are able to run those actions early on and have success it will lead to harder switches by the Jazz and favorable Allen on Bogdanovic or Mobley on Bogdanovic matchups. Once that happens they can collapse their defense and free up shooters for good looks at 3s.

Just keep playing the way they have and I think they can more than hang. Need Lauri and Okoro to keep shooting well from 3 when those looks come, cause they will come.
 
Gobert and Allen is probably a wash. This game will be decided on whether the Cavs can neutralize the Jazz 3-point shooting. They get a higher percentage of their points on 3's than any team in the league.

On offense I'd like to see the Cavs play an inside-outside game where they dump the ball in to the low post, forcing the Jazz to double team, then kicking it out for open 3's. The Cavs are sizzling from deep the last few games. Let's take advantage of that.
 
Not gonna be able to watch until later in the day. This game should be a good one. Cavs have a solid chance to get the W here, but it won't be easy.

Have fun with this one everyone!
 

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