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Game Thread | 2021-2022 Season | Game #62 | Hornets @ Cavs | March 2, 2022 | 7:00 p.m.

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Wham with the Right Hand

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February is in the books and we move into March and the final quarter of the regular season. The Cavaliers play their third straight home game after a day off, taking on the spiraling Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets hit their high water mark with a record of 28-22 but have since lost 11 of 13. However, three of those losses were in OT, including losses to Minnesota and Miami, so they are capable of playing good basketball on any given night. They will be playing their third game in four days.

Gordon Hayward is out for Charlotte with an ankle injury. Since his last full game the Hornets are 2-7. Rondo and LeVert are out for Cleveland but Darius Garland played some one-on-one yesterday and is listed as questionable.

These teams last played a month ago with the Cavs escaping with a 102-101 win in the game where Ed Davis came off the bench to foul a 3-point shooter. The refs totally blew the call and admitted it later, but it still cost the Cavs four points in a close game. Jarrett Allen had a huge game with 29 points and 22 rebounds the day after learning he wasn’t selected for the All-Star game. Lauri Marrkanen and Darius Garland were out but the Cavs hung on.

Since that game the Cavs have Markkanen back and the Hornets lost Hayward so advantage Cavs. If Garland can go then big advantage for the Cavs.

On Monday the Hornets were trashed by the Bucks 130-106. The Bucks were up 32 points after three quarters and all their starters were +16 to +30. The Hornets appear to be a mess right now but most teams come out slugging after getting smoked (like the T-Wolves Monday) so I expect a strong effort from Charlotte tonight. It seems like the Cavs are getting everybody’s best effort now that they’ve earned some respect.

The Hornets are the NBA’s highest scoring team at 114 ppg. They may be down a little since Hayward’s injury - he averages 16.1 ppg. They are 6th in steals and 2nd in fast break points so this is another team that plays gambling, aggressive defense and goes for steals. The Cavs rank 27th in points given up off turnovers so they need to be vigilant in protecting the ball. The Hornets have a lot of length between Ball, Bridges, Washington, Oubre, and Plumlee.

The Hornets are 9th in 3-point percentage and 16th in 2-point percentage so they’re a little more dangerous from outside. Their top four scorers are wings; PG LaMelo Ball (19.9 ppg), SF Miles Bridges (19.9), Terry Rozier (19.0), and Kelly Oubre (16.1). Backup center Montrezl Harrell averages 14.6 points and 7.0 rebounds in 27 minutes off the bench, including 2.6 offensive boards. Oubre has had games of 39, 37, 35, and 32 this year so when he heats up he can take over a game.

Ball does it all with 7.0 rebounds, 7.4 assists, and a team high 1.5 steals in addition to the 19.9 points. Bridges is shooting 48% from the field. SF Cody Martin is shooting 41% on 3’s off the bench. They have a lot of scorers.

Defensively it’s a different story as the Hornets rank 28th in points allowed per game. They’re 25th in effective field goal percentage and 28th in defensive rebound percentage, so they’re pretty bad at forcing missed shots and even when they do they’re near the bottom at getting the rebound. When Mason Plumlee is out, which is about half the game, they don’t have anybody over 6’7” on the floor. The Cavs should be crashing the offensive glass.

If you can avoid getting the ball stolen you have a good chance of getting a bucket.

The last time these teams played the Cavs only managed 102 points, but with Markkanen back I’m hoping for around 110 while continuing to hold Charlotte to around 100. With Garland playing early in the season the Cavs scored 112 and 113 against Charlotte. The Hornets have scored 123, 110, and 101 in their three games against the Cavs (although the refs gifted them four points in that last game). Hopefully that trend will continue. In the last game the Cavs held Bridges to 12 points and Ball to 15 while Rozier was 4-for-14 on 3’s. We need to do that again tonight.
 
Just found this at CBSSports.com. It's basically a preview for bettors.

Why the Hornets can cover

Charlotte's offense is very strong, headlined by fantastic ball security and efficiency. The Hornets are in the top six of the NBA in turnover rate (13.1 percent) and assists (27.2 per game), and Charlotte is No. 3 in the league in assist-to-turnover ratio at 2.02-to-1. The Hornets also assist on more than 64 percent of field goals, a top-five mark, and ball movement is a clear strength. Charlotte also puts pressure on opponents with speed and physicality, as the Hornets are in the top three of the NBA in fast break points (15.8 per game) and points in the paint (50.3 per game).

The Hornets are in the top 10 in 3-pointers (13.7 per game) and 3-point accuracy (35.7 percent), and Charlotte is above-average in creating free throw attempts. On defense, the Hornets are elite in creating turnovers, forcing 15.3 per game, and Charlotte averages 8.7 steals per contest. Cleveland is No. 28 in the NBA in turnovers per game on offense, with bottom-tier marks in points per game and free throw percentage.

Why the Cavaliers can cover

Cleveland should benefit from a porous Charlotte defense. The Hornets rank in the bottom third of the NBA in defensive efficiency, fast break points allowed, two-point shooting allowed and free throw attempts allowed. Charlotte is also dead-last in the league in second-chance points allowed and assists allowed, with Cleveland ranking in the top 10 in field goal percentage, assists per game, and offensive rebound rate.

From there, Cleveland's top-tier defense takes over, with the Cavaliers ranking No. 4 in the league in defensive efficiency this season. Cleveland leads the NBA in free throw prevention, allowing only 18.2 attempts per game, and the Cavaliers are in the top four in field goal percentage allowed and two-point percentage allowed. Opponents are averaging only 23.2 assists per game against Cleveland, No. 6 in the league, and the Cavaliers are in the top 10 in second-chance points allowed and points allowed in the paint.


The Cavs are favored by 3 points and the over/under is 218.5, meaning the experts expect a final score something like 118-110. I can't see it since the Cavs basically gave up 97 to the Hornets a month ago (the refs gifted them four points). And I can't see the Cavs getting 118 against anybody unless Garland plays 30 minutes and everybody else has a good shooting night.

That part about the Hornets forcing lots of turnovers while the Cavs are 28th in turnovers scares me. But the Hornets are last in second chance points allowed, so even when the Cavs miss they should be able to get some put-backs. I'm hoping the Hornets not having Hayward while the Cavs get Markkanen back will get the Cavs another win, and this time by more than one point.
 
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Just found this at CBSSports.com. It's basically a preview for bettors.

Why the Hornets can cover

Charlotte's offense is very strong, headlined by fantastic ball security and efficiency. The Hornets are in the top six of the NBA in turnover rate (13.1 percent) and assists (27.2 per game), and Charlotte is No. 3 in the league in assist-to-turnover ratio at 2.02-to-1. The Hornets also assist on more than 64 percent of field goals, a top-five mark, and ball movement is a clear strength. Charlotte also puts pressure on opponents with speed and physicality, as the Hornets are in the top three of the NBA in fast break points (15.8 per game) and points in the paint (50.3 per game).

The Hornets are in the top 10 in 3-pointers (13.7 per game) and 3-point accuracy (35.7 percent), and Charlotte is above-average in creating free throw attempts. On defense, the Hornets are elite in creating turnovers, forcing 15.3 per game, and Charlotte averages 8.7 steals per contest. Cleveland is No. 28 in the NBA in turnovers per game on offense, with bottom-tier marks in points per game and free throw percentage.

Why the Cavaliers can cover

Cleveland should benefit from a porous Charlotte defense. The Hornets rank in the bottom third of the NBA in defensive efficiency, fast break points allowed, two-point shooting allowed and free throw attempts allowed. Charlotte is also dead-last in the league in second-chance points allowed and assists allowed, with Cleveland ranking in the top 10 in field goal percentage, assists per game, and offensive rebound rate.

From there, Cleveland's top-tier defense takes over, with the Cavaliers ranking No. 4 in the league in defensive efficiency this season. Cleveland leads the NBA in free throw prevention, allowing only 18.2 attempts per game, and the Cavaliers are in the top four in field goal percentage allowed and two-point percentage allowed. Opponents are averaging only 23.2 assists per game against Cleveland, No. 6 in the league, and the Cavaliers are in the top 10 in second-chance points allowed and points allowed in the paint.


The Cavs are favored by 3 points and the over/under is 118.5, meaning the experts expect a final score something like 118-110. I can't see it since the Cavs basically gave up 97 to the Hornets a month ago (the refs gifted them four points). And I can't see the Cavs getting 118 against anybody unless Garland plays 30 minutes and everybody else has a good shooting night.

That part about the Hornets forcing lots of turnovers while the Cavs are 28th in turnovers scares me. But the Hornets are last in second chance points allowed, so even when the Cavs miss they should be able to get some put-backs. I'm hoping the Hornets not having Hayward while the Cavs get Markkanen back will get the Cavs another win, and this time by more than one point.
Ok, I'll go out on a limb and say the Cavs will win if Garland plays.
 
How are the team's turnover numbers if we exclude Cedi?
 
This game will be a nightmare.
Where's the following post with the opposite take, Jigo!? Where is it???

-----
On another topic...

Last 8 games:

Evan Mobley - 26/32 from the free throw line (81.3%)

Issac Okoro - 17/21 from the free throw line (81.0%)

FT Legends.
 
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Where's the following post with the opposite take, Jigo!? Where is it???

-----
On another topic...

Last 8 games:

Evan Mobley - 26/32 from the free throw line (81.3%)

Issac Okoro - 17/21 from the free throw line (81.0%)

FT Legends.
Way to jinx them for tonight. This game is going to be a nightmare.
 
How are the team's turnover numbers if we exclude Cedi?
I looked up Cedi's numbers: 50 turnovers in 49 games.

BY YEARTEAMGPMINPTSFGMFGAFG%3PM3PA3P%FTMFTAFT%OREBDREBREBASTTOVSTLBLKPFFPDD2TD3+/-
2021-22CLE49113454718944642.410227936.66710365.019931121025042893934.40032
 
How are the team's turnover numbers if we exclude Cedi?
last game it was our bigs coughing it up - 5 apiece for Markk & Mobley. 15 total between Mobley, Markk, Love & Allen.
 
Way to jinx them for tonight. This game is going to be a nightmare.
If I did... I'm going to take a walk of shame to a local bball court and won't leave til I make 100 free throws and film/post it (unedited)


-from a mountain top-
Are you appeased basketball gods!?


(Condition: if Okoro/Mobley don't combine for 80+ percent from the foul line in this game. Fair? Should be adjusted?)
 
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