KeyzerSozee
Situational Stopper
- Joined
- Mar 10, 2011
- Messages
- 953
- Reaction score
- 477
- Points
- 63
Ok. I started the bracket at work.
I HATE college basketball. IMO the skill level is just so inferior to the pros, so I never watch.
I am going to have no clue. I don't want to be another guy that loses to the receiptionists (work at law firm).
So I was wondering if anyone has been following the season. Or even more than that, if anyone knows a good site that has stats well presented. For example I won in a pickem nfl league this year. I read like 3 PHD dissertations about NFL gambling, and found a staticians site. I had no clue what the calculus they were talking about meant but I understood the conclusions. SO that was helpful (if interested it is that there is about a 10% bias (for the handicap) in favor of "elite" teams at home against road underdogs. I almost always then (we picked 5) picked road underdogs and was about 60%. Also, another paper showed herd mentality is actually the OPPOSITE of where you want to bet. I.e. if the line is 7 and moves to 5, you should still go with the favorite even though the dog is getting momentum (why Idk why it works but it does, I suppose vegas makes money and know what they're doing).
My hope was that someone may post something to give idiots like me (who only care about players the cavs might get) some insight. In exchange for those tips, heh.
I HATE college basketball. IMO the skill level is just so inferior to the pros, so I never watch.
I am going to have no clue. I don't want to be another guy that loses to the receiptionists (work at law firm).
So I was wondering if anyone has been following the season. Or even more than that, if anyone knows a good site that has stats well presented. For example I won in a pickem nfl league this year. I read like 3 PHD dissertations about NFL gambling, and found a staticians site. I had no clue what the calculus they were talking about meant but I understood the conclusions. SO that was helpful (if interested it is that there is about a 10% bias (for the handicap) in favor of "elite" teams at home against road underdogs. I almost always then (we picked 5) picked road underdogs and was about 60%. Also, another paper showed herd mentality is actually the OPPOSITE of where you want to bet. I.e. if the line is 7 and moves to 5, you should still go with the favorite even though the dog is getting momentum (why Idk why it works but it does, I suppose vegas makes money and know what they're doing).
My hope was that someone may post something to give idiots like me (who only care about players the cavs might get) some insight. In exchange for those tips, heh.